Vasco da Gama at Athletico Paranaense

Updated

Vasco da Gama

18.0%25.4%56.5%
WinDrawAthletico Paranaense Win
0.75Projected Goals 1.56
0Final Score 0

Athletico Paranaense

Last 5 Games

Vasco da Gama
Money Line
T 2-2 at Cruzeiro
W 1-2 vs America (MG)
W 0-1 vs Botafogo RJ
W 2-0 at Cuiaba
T 1-1 at Goias
Athletico Paranaense
Money Line
T 1-1 at Bahia
T 1-1 vs Fortaleza
L 0-1 at Palmeiras
L 0-1 at Corinthians
T 1-1 vs Sao Paulo

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Vasco da Gama+340-+320+290+290+290+320+309.8
Athletico Paranaense-120--105+102+102+102+102+112.3
Draw+260-+245+234+234+234+245+251.0
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Vasco da Gama-----+309.8
Athletico Paranaense-----+112.3
Draw-----+251.0

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Vasco da Gama: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Athletico Paranaense: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Vasco da Gama: 0.0%
Athletico Paranaense: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Vasco da Gama: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Vasco da Gama: 30.0%
Athletico Paranaense: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Vasco da Gama ML
No Steam Moves On Athletico Paranaense ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼+102-o2¼-109o2¼-108o2¼-108o2¼-108o2¼-108o2¼+102
Underu2¼-122-u2¼-105u2¼-112u2¼-112u2¼-112u2¼-105u2¼-102
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¼+102
Under-----u2¼-102

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes41.8%
 
No58.2%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 09.91%
Exactly 226.48%
Exactly 411.79%
Exactly 62.10%
Exactly 80.20%
 
Exactly 122.91%
Exactly 320.40%
Exactly 55.45%
Exactly 70.69%
Exact Goals Scored - Vasco da Gama
Exactly 047.09%
Exactly 135.46%
Exactly 213.35%
Exactly 33.35%
Exactly 40.63%
Exact Goals Scored - Athletico Paranaense
Exactly 021.05%
Exactly 132.80%
Exactly 225.56%
Exactly 313.27%
Exactly 45.17%
Exactly 51.61%
Exactly 60.42%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 034.30%
Exactly 219.64%
Exactly 41.87%
 
Exactly 136.70%
Exactly 37.00%
Exactly 50.40%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Vasco da Gama
Exactly 070.56%
Exactly 124.60%
Exactly 24.29%
Exactly 30.50%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Athletico Paranaense
Exactly 048.61%
Exactly 135.07%
Exactly 212.65%
Exactly 33.04%
Exactly 40.55%

Alternate Props

Spread

Vasco da Gama
Wins by 2+ goals5.12%
Wins by 3+ goals1.05%
Wins by 4+ goals0.13%
Athletico Paranaense
Wins by 2+ goals29.97%
Wins by 3+ goals12.48%
Wins by 4+ goals4.17%
Wins by 5+ goals1.10%
Wins by 6+ goals0.20%

Exact Winning Margin

Vasco da Gama
Athletico Paranaense
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Vasco da Gama
Wins by 1 goal12.79%
Wins by 2 goals4.07%
Wins by 3 goals0.91%
Wins by 4 goals0.13%
Athletico Paranaense
Wins by 1 goal26.47%
Wins by 2 goals17.49%
Wins by 3 goals8.31%
Wins by 4 goals3.06%
Wins by 5 goals0.91%
Wins by 6 goals0.20%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.590.09%9.91%
1.567.17%32.83%
2.540.69%59.31%
3.520.29%79.71%
4.58.51%91.49%
5.53.06%96.94%

Total Goals Vasco da Gama Over/Under

OverUnder
0.552.91%47.09%
1.517.45%82.55%
2.54.09%95.91%

Total Goals Athletico Paranaense Over/Under

OverUnder
0.578.95%21.05%
1.546.14%53.86%
2.520.59%79.41%
3.57.32%92.68%
4.52.14%97.86%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.565.70%34.30%
1.529.00%71.00%
2.59.36%90.64%
3.52.36%97.64%

Score Props

Correct Score

Vasco da Gama
Athletico Paranaense
Score012345
0
9.91%
15.45%
12.03%
6.25%
2.43%
0.76%
1
7.47%
11.63%
9.06%
4.71%
1.83%
0.57%
2
2.81%
4.38%
3.41%
1.77%
0.69%
0.22%
3
0.71%
1.10%
0.86%
0.44%
0.17%
0.05%
4
0.13%
0.21%
0.16%
0.08%
0.03%
0.01%
Vasco da Gama
1-07.47%
2-02.81%
2-14.38%
3-00.71%
3-11.10%
3-20.86%
4-00.13%
4-10.21%
4-20.16%
Draw
0-09.91%
1-111.63%
2-23.41%
3-30.44%
Athletico Paranaense
0-115.45%
0-212.03%
1-29.06%
0-36.25%
1-34.71%
2-31.77%
0-42.43%
1-41.83%
2-40.69%
3-40.17%
0-50.76%
1-50.57%
2-50.22%

Correct Score - First Half

Vasco da Gama
Athletico Paranaense
Score01234
0
34.30%
24.74%
8.92%
2.15%
0.39%
1
11.96%
8.63%
3.11%
0.75%
0.13%
2
2.09%
1.50%
0.54%
0.13%
0.02%
3
0.24%
0.17%
0.06%
0.02%
0.00%
Vasco da Gama
1-011.96%
2-02.09%
2-11.50%
3-00.24%
3-10.17%
Draw
0-034.30%
1-18.63%
2-20.54%
Athletico Paranaense
0-124.74%
0-28.92%
1-23.11%
0-32.15%
1-30.75%
2-30.13%
0-40.39%
1-40.13%
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