Aston Villa at RB Leipzig

Updated

Aston Villa

21.3%22.6%56.1%
Aston Villa WinDrawRB Leipzig Win
1.06Projected Goals 1.86
3Final Score 2

RB Leipzig

Last 5 Games

Aston Villa
Money Line
T 0-0 vs Juventus+125
L 0-1 at Club Brugge+115
W 0-2 vs Bologna-155
W 0-1 vs Bayern Munich+350
W 3-0 at Young Boys-160
RB Leipzig
Money Line
L 0-1 at Inter+630
L 1-3 at Celtic+170
L 1-0 vs Liverpool+250
L 3-2 vs Juventus+145
L 1-2 at Atletico Madrid+382

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Aston Villa+160+140+145+146+141+144+144+152.5
RB Leipzig+165+206+190+208+195+208+208+218.7
Draw+258+237+240+230+231+233+240+244.6
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Aston Villa+155-+135+135+125+135+135+152.5
RB Leipzig+150-+205+180+190+210+210+218.7
Draw+240-+235+240+230+230+240+244.6

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Aston Villa: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
RB Leipzig: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Aston Villa: 0.0%
RB Leipzig: 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Aston Villa: 0.0%
RB Leipzig: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Aston Villa ML moved from +152 to +138
No Steam Moves On RB Leipzig ML

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Aston Villa: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
RB Leipzig: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Aston Villa: 0.0%
RB Leipzig: 60.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Aston Villa: 0.0%
RB Leipzig: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Aston Villa ML moved from +135 to +125
No Steam Moves On RB Leipzig ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3+110o2½-106o2½-110o2½-107o2½-108o2½-107o2½-106o2½+103
Underu3-129u2½-111u2½-110u2½-113u2½-112u2½-113u2½-110u2½-103
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3+110o2½-105o2½-105o2½-105o2½-130o2½-105o2½-105o2½+103
Underu3-140u2½-115u2½-115u2½-115u2½+100u2½-115u2½+100u2½-103

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u3-130 to u2½-130

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes55.2%
 
No44.8%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 05.39%
Exactly 222.98%
Exactly 416.35%
Exactly 64.65%
Exactly 80.71%
 
Exactly 115.73%
Exactly 322.38%
Exactly 59.55%
Exactly 71.94%
Exactly 90.23%
Exact Goals Scored - Aston Villa
Exactly 034.66%
Exactly 136.72%
Exactly 219.46%
Exactly 36.87%
Exactly 41.82%
Exactly 50.39%
Exact Goals Scored - RB Leipzig
Exactly 015.54%
Exactly 128.93%
Exactly 226.93%
Exactly 316.71%
Exactly 47.78%
Exactly 52.90%
Exactly 60.90%
Exactly 70.24%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 025.86%
Exactly 223.65%
Exactly 43.61%
Exactly 60.22%
 
Exactly 134.97%
Exactly 310.67%
Exactly 50.98%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Aston Villa
Exactly 061.22%
Exactly 130.04%
Exactly 27.37%
Exactly 31.21%
Exactly 40.15%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - RB Leipzig
Exactly 042.23%
Exactly 136.40%
Exactly 215.69%
Exactly 34.51%
Exactly 40.97%
Exactly 50.17%

Alternate Props

Spread

Aston Villa
Wins by 2+ goals7.72%
Wins by 3+ goals2.15%
Wins by 4+ goals0.45%
RB Leipzig
Wins by 2+ goals32.29%
Wins by 3+ goals15.09%
Wins by 4+ goals5.81%
Wins by 5+ goals1.86%
Wins by 6+ goals0.48%

Exact Winning Margin

Aston Villa
RB Leipzig
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Aston Villa
Wins by 1 goal13.52%
Wins by 2 goals5.57%
Wins by 3 goals1.70%
Wins by 4 goals0.39%
RB Leipzig
Wins by 1 goal23.76%
Wins by 2 goals17.20%
Wins by 3 goals9.28%
Wins by 4 goals3.95%
Wins by 5 goals1.38%
Wins by 6 goals0.40%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.61%5.39%
1.578.88%21.12%
2.555.90%44.10%
3.533.52%66.48%
4.517.17%82.83%
5.57.62%92.38%
6.52.97%97.03%
7.51.03%98.97%

Total Goals Aston Villa Over/Under

OverUnder
0.565.34%34.66%
1.528.62%71.38%
2.59.16%90.84%
3.52.29%97.71%

Total Goals RB Leipzig Over/Under

OverUnder
0.584.46%15.54%
1.555.53%44.47%
2.528.60%71.40%
3.511.88%88.12%
4.54.10%95.90%
5.51.21%98.79%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.574.14%25.86%
1.539.17%60.83%
2.515.52%84.48%
3.54.85%95.15%
4.51.25%98.75%

Score Props

Correct Score

Aston Villa
RB Leipzig
Score012345
0
5.39%
10.03%
9.33%
5.79%
2.70%
1.00%
1
5.71%
10.62%
9.89%
6.14%
2.86%
1.06%
2
3.02%
5.63%
5.24%
3.25%
1.51%
0.56%
3
1.07%
1.99%
1.85%
1.15%
0.53%
0.20%
4
0.28%
0.53%
0.49%
0.30%
0.14%
0.05%
Aston Villa
1-05.71%
2-03.02%
2-15.63%
3-01.07%
3-11.99%
3-21.85%
4-00.28%
4-10.53%
4-20.49%
4-30.30%
Draw
0-05.39%
1-110.62%
2-25.24%
3-31.15%
4-40.14%
RB Leipzig
0-110.03%
0-29.33%
1-29.89%
0-35.79%
1-36.14%
2-33.25%
0-42.70%
1-42.86%
2-41.51%
3-40.53%
0-51.00%
1-51.06%
2-50.56%
3-50.20%

Correct Score - First Half

Aston Villa
RB Leipzig
Score012345
0
25.86%
22.29%
9.61%
2.76%
0.59%
0.10%
1
12.69%
10.94%
4.71%
1.35%
0.29%
0.05%
2
3.11%
2.68%
1.16%
0.33%
0.07%
0.01%
3
0.51%
0.44%
0.19%
0.05%
0.01%
0.00%
Aston Villa
1-012.69%
2-03.11%
2-12.68%
3-00.51%
3-10.44%
3-20.19%
Draw
0-025.86%
1-110.94%
2-21.16%
RB Leipzig
0-122.29%
0-29.61%
1-24.71%
0-32.76%
1-31.35%
2-30.33%
0-40.59%
1-40.29%
0-50.10%