Red Star at Milan

Updated

Red Star

12.2%18.6%69.2%
WinDrawMilan Win
0.79Projected Goals 2.18
1Final Score 2

Milan

Last 5 Games

Red Star
Money Line
W 1-5 vs VfB Stuttgart+325
L 5-2 vs Barcelona+1000
L 1-5 at Monaco+800
L 0-4 at Inter+1250
L 2-1 vs Benfica+310
Milan
Money Line
W 3-2 at Slovan Bratislava-435
W 3-1 at Real Madrid+570
W 1-3 vs Club Brugge-261
L 0-1 at Bayer 04 Leverkusen+390
L 3-1 vs Liverpool+280

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Red Star+1067+1019+900+1100+1066+1100+1100+1142.4
Milan-380-410-420-435-455-435-410-365.9
Draw+515+582+600+620+570+620+620+645.4
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Red Star+775-+925--+1025+1025+1142.4
Milan-340--425---450-425-365.9
Draw+510-+585--+600+600+645.4

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Red Star: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Milan: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Red Star: 30.0%
Milan: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Red Star: 20.0%
Milan: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Red Star ML moved from +900 to +850
Milan ML moved from -420 to -435

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Red Star: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Milan: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Red Star: 30.0%
Milan: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Red Star: 10.0%
Milan: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Red Star ML moved from +895 to +860
Milan ML moved from -425 to -450

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-119o3½-115o3½-112o3½-114o3½-114o3½-114o3½-112o3½-104
Underu3+101u3½-102u3½-108u3½-106u3½-106u3½-106u3½-102u3½+104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-125o3½-110o3½-110o3½-115o3½-105o3½-110o3½-105o3½-104
Underu3-105u3½-110u3½-110u3½-105u3½-125u3½-110u3½-105u3½+104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o3-125 to o3½-105
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes48.5%
 
No51.5%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 05.12%
Exactly 222.62%
Exactly 416.64%
Exactly 64.90%
Exactly 80.77%
 
Exactly 115.22%
Exactly 322.40%
Exactly 59.89%
Exactly 72.08%
Exactly 90.26%
Exact Goals Scored - Red Star
Exactly 045.33%
Exactly 135.86%
Exactly 214.19%
Exactly 33.74%
Exactly 40.74%
Exactly 50.12%
Exact Goals Scored - Milan
Exactly 011.30%
Exactly 124.64%
Exactly 226.86%
Exactly 319.52%
Exactly 410.64%
Exactly 54.64%
Exactly 61.69%
Exactly 70.53%
Exactly 80.14%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 025.26%
Exactly 223.91%
Exactly 43.77%
Exactly 60.24%
 
Exactly 134.76%
Exactly 310.97%
Exactly 51.04%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Red Star
Exactly 069.33%
Exactly 125.39%
Exactly 24.65%
Exactly 30.57%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Milan
Exactly 036.44%
Exactly 136.79%
Exactly 218.57%
Exactly 36.25%
Exactly 41.58%
Exactly 50.32%

Alternate Props

Spread

Red Star
Wins by 2+ goals3.51%
Wins by 3+ goals0.76%
Milan
Wins by 2+ goals45.13%
Wins by 3+ goals24.26%
Wins by 4+ goals10.87%
Wins by 5+ goals4.12%
Wins by 6+ goals1.33%
Wins by 7+ goals0.35%

Exact Winning Margin

Red Star
Milan
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Red Star
Wins by 1 goal8.71%
Wins by 2 goals2.75%
Wins by 3 goals0.64%
Milan
Wins by 1 goal24.01%
Wins by 2 goals20.87%
Wins by 3 goals13.39%
Wins by 4 goals6.75%
Wins by 5 goals2.79%
Wins by 6 goals0.97%
Wins by 7 goals0.29%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.88%5.12%
1.579.66%20.34%
2.557.04%42.96%
3.534.64%65.36%
4.518.00%82.00%
5.58.11%91.89%
6.53.21%96.79%
7.51.13%98.87%

Total Goals Red Star Over/Under

OverUnder
0.554.67%45.33%
1.518.80%81.20%
2.54.62%95.38%

Total Goals Milan Over/Under

OverUnder
0.588.70%11.30%
1.564.06%35.94%
2.537.20%62.80%
3.517.68%82.32%
4.57.04%92.96%
5.52.40%97.60%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.574.74%25.26%
1.539.98%60.02%
2.516.07%83.93%
3.55.10%94.90%
4.51.33%98.67%

Score Props

Correct Score

Red Star
Milan
Score012345
0
5.12%
11.17%
12.18%
8.85%
4.82%
2.10%
1
4.05%
8.84%
9.63%
7.00%
3.82%
1.66%
2
1.60%
3.50%
3.81%
2.77%
1.51%
0.66%
3
0.42%
0.92%
1.00%
0.73%
0.40%
0.17%
Red Star
1-04.05%
2-01.60%
2-13.50%
3-00.42%
3-10.92%
3-21.00%
Draw
0-05.12%
1-18.84%
2-23.81%
3-30.73%
Milan
0-111.17%
0-212.18%
1-29.63%
0-38.85%
1-37.00%
2-32.77%
0-44.82%
1-43.82%
2-41.51%
3-40.40%
0-52.10%
1-51.66%
2-50.66%
3-50.17%

Correct Score - First Half

Red Star
Milan
Score012345
0
25.26%
25.50%
12.87%
4.33%
1.09%
0.22%
1
9.25%
9.34%
4.72%
1.59%
0.40%
0.08%
2
1.69%
1.71%
0.86%
0.29%
0.07%
0.01%
3
0.21%
0.21%
0.11%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
Red Star
1-09.25%
2-01.69%
2-11.71%
3-00.21%
3-10.21%
3-20.11%
Draw
0-025.26%
1-19.34%
2-20.86%
Milan
0-125.50%
0-212.87%
1-24.72%
0-34.33%
1-31.59%
2-30.29%
0-41.09%
1-40.40%
0-50.22%