Aston Villa at Paris S-G

Updated

Aston Villa

15.5%20.2%64.3%
WinDrawParis S-G Win
0.90Projected Goals 2.07
1Final Score 3

Paris Saint-Germain

Last 5 Games

Aston Villa
Money Line
W 0-3 vs Club Brugge-135
W 3-1 at Club Brugge+140
W 2-4 vs Celtic-185
L 0-1 at Monaco+170
W 3-2 at RB Leipzig+135
Paris Saint-Germain
Money Line
W 4-1 at Liverpool+200
L 1-0 vs Liverpool+150
W 0-7 vs Brest-750
W 3-0 at Brest-350
W 4-1 at VfB Stuttgart+155

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Aston Villa+575--+560+518+560+560+582.5
Paris S-G-225---200-201-200-200-181.4
Draw+376--+363+344+363+363+378.8
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Aston Villa+585-+550+625+625+540+625+582.5
Paris S-G-235--210-280-300-215-210-181.4
Draw+390-+363+375+390+375+390+378.8

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Aston Villa: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Paris S-G: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Aston Villa: 0.0%
Paris S-G: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Aston Villa: 0.0%
Paris S-G: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Aston Villa ML moved from +535 to +518
Paris S-G ML moved from -209 to -215

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Aston Villa: 70.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Paris S-G: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Aston Villa: 20.0%
Paris S-G: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Aston Villa: 40.0%
Paris S-G: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Aston Villa ML moved from +535 to +520
Paris S-G ML moved from -210 to -225

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-101--o3-103o3-102o3-103o3-102o3+106
Underu3-119--u3-117u3-118u3-117u3-117u3-106
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3+100o3-125o3-105o3-110o3-135o3-110o3-105o3+106
Underu3-120u3+105u3-115u3-110u3+105u3-110u3+105u3-106

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes51.9%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 05.13%
Exactly 222.63%
Exactly 416.63%
Exactly 64.89%
Exactly 80.77%
 
Exactly 115.25%
Exactly 322.40%
Exactly 59.87%
Exactly 72.07%
Exactly 90.25%
Exact Goals Scored - Aston Villa
Exactly 040.56%
Exactly 136.60%
Exactly 216.51%
Exactly 34.97%
Exactly 41.12%
Exactly 50.20%
Exact Goals Scored - Paris Saint-Germain
Exactly 012.66%
Exactly 126.16%
Exactly 227.04%
Exactly 318.63%
Exactly 49.62%
Exactly 53.98%
Exactly 61.37%
Exactly 70.40%
Exactly 80.10%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 025.29%
Exactly 223.90%
Exactly 43.76%
Exactly 60.24%
 
Exactly 134.77%
Exactly 310.95%
Exactly 51.03%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Aston Villa
Exactly 065.85%
Exactly 127.51%
Exactly 25.75%
Exactly 30.80%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Paris Saint-Germain
Exactly 038.41%
Exactly 136.75%
Exactly 217.58%
Exactly 35.61%
Exactly 41.34%
Exactly 50.26%

Alternate Props

Spread

Aston Villa
Wins by 2+ goals4.93%
Wins by 3+ goals1.20%
Wins by 4+ goals0.22%
Paris Saint-Germain
Wins by 2+ goals40.16%
Wins by 3+ goals20.57%
Wins by 4+ goals8.76%
Wins by 5+ goals3.15%
Wins by 6+ goals0.97%
Wins by 7+ goals0.24%

Exact Winning Margin

Aston Villa
Paris Saint-Germain
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Aston Villa
Wins by 1 goal10.52%
Wins by 2 goals3.73%
Wins by 3 goals0.98%
Wins by 4 goals0.19%
Paris Saint-Germain
Wins by 1 goal24.11%
Wins by 2 goals19.59%
Wins by 3 goals11.81%
Wins by 4 goals5.61%
Wins by 5 goals2.19%
Wins by 6 goals0.72%
Wins by 7 goals0.20%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.87%5.13%
1.579.62%20.38%
2.556.99%43.01%
3.534.59%65.41%
4.517.96%82.04%
5.58.08%91.92%
6.53.20%96.80%
7.51.13%98.87%

Total Goals Aston Villa Over/Under

OverUnder
0.559.44%40.56%
1.522.84%77.16%
2.56.32%93.68%
3.51.36%98.64%

Total Goals Paris Saint-Germain Over/Under

OverUnder
0.587.34%12.66%
1.561.18%38.82%
2.534.14%65.86%
3.515.51%84.49%
4.55.89%94.11%
5.51.91%98.09%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.574.71%25.29%
1.539.94%60.06%
2.516.04%83.96%
3.55.09%94.91%
4.51.33%98.67%

Score Props

Correct Score

Aston Villa
Paris Saint-Germain
Score012345
0
5.13%
10.61%
10.97%
7.56%
3.90%
1.61%
1
4.63%
9.58%
9.90%
6.82%
3.52%
1.46%
2
2.09%
4.32%
4.46%
3.08%
1.59%
0.66%
3
0.63%
1.30%
1.34%
0.93%
0.48%
0.20%
4
0.14%
0.29%
0.30%
0.21%
0.11%
0.04%
Aston Villa
1-04.63%
2-02.09%
2-14.32%
3-00.63%
3-11.30%
3-21.34%
4-00.14%
4-10.29%
4-20.30%
4-30.21%
Draw
0-05.13%
1-19.58%
2-24.46%
3-30.93%
4-40.11%
Paris Saint-Germain
0-110.61%
0-210.97%
1-29.90%
0-37.56%
1-36.82%
2-33.08%
0-43.90%
1-43.52%
2-41.59%
3-40.48%
0-51.61%
1-51.46%
2-50.66%
3-50.20%

Correct Score - First Half

Aston Villa
Paris Saint-Germain
Score012345
0
25.29%
24.20%
11.58%
3.69%
0.88%
0.17%
1
10.57%
10.11%
4.84%
1.54%
0.37%
0.07%
2
2.21%
2.11%
1.01%
0.32%
0.08%
0.01%
3
0.31%
0.29%
0.14%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
Aston Villa
1-010.57%
2-02.21%
2-12.11%
3-00.31%
3-10.29%
3-20.14%
Draw
0-025.29%
1-110.11%
2-21.01%
Paris Saint-Germain
0-124.20%
0-211.58%
1-24.84%
0-33.69%
1-31.54%
2-30.32%
0-40.88%
1-40.37%
0-50.17%