Aston Villa at Monaco

Updated

Aston Villa

33.6%26.5%39.9%
Aston Villa WinDrawMonaco Win
1.23Projected Goals 1.35
0Final Score 1

Monaco

Last 5 Games

Aston Villa
Money Line
W 3-2 at RB Leipzig+135
T 0-0 vs Juventus+125
L 0-1 at Club Brugge+115
W 0-2 vs Bologna-155
W 0-1 vs Bayern Munich+350
Monaco
Money Line
L 0-3 at Arsenal+825
L 3-2 vs Benfica+136
W 1-0 at Bologna+175
W 1-5 vs Red Star-300
T 2-2 at Dinamo Zagreb-140

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Aston Villa+215+169+165+170+165+170+170+179.4
Monaco+115+161+160+167+153+167+167+176.3
Draw+265+250+255+245+253+245+255+257.0
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Aston Villa+205-+167+150+155+170+170+179.4
Monaco+105-+157+150+145+155+157+176.3
Draw+250-+245+240+250+250+250+257.0

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Aston Villa: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Monaco: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Aston Villa: 0.0%
Monaco: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Aston Villa: 0.0%
Monaco: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Aston Villa ML moved from +175 to +165
Monaco ML moved from +155 to +141

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Aston Villa: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Monaco: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Aston Villa: 0.0%
Monaco: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Aston Villa: 0.0%
Monaco: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Aston Villa ML moved from +160 to +150
Monaco ML moved from +165 to +155

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-0.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¾-112o3+110o2¾-120o2¾-120o2¾-118o2¾-120o2¾-118o2¾-109
Underu2¾-108u3-129u2¾+100u2¾+100u2¾-102u2¾+100u3-129u2¾+109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-145o3+105o2½-145o3+100o2½-145o3+110o2½-145o2¾-109
Underu2½+115u3-125u2½+125u3-120u2½+115u3-130u3-120u2¾+109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o2¾-118 to o3-105
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o2½-140 to o3+100
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes52.3%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 07.60%
Exactly 225.24%
Exactly 413.96%
Exactly 63.09%
Exactly 80.37%
 
Exactly 119.59%
Exactly 321.68%
Exactly 57.20%
Exactly 71.14%
Exactly 90.10%
Exact Goals Scored - Aston Villa
Exactly 029.46%
Exactly 136.00%
Exactly 222.00%
Exactly 38.96%
Exactly 42.74%
Exactly 50.67%
Exactly 60.14%
Exact Goals Scored - Monaco
Exactly 025.80%
Exactly 134.95%
Exactly 223.68%
Exactly 310.69%
Exactly 43.62%
Exactly 50.98%
Exactly 60.22%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 030.33%
Exactly 221.59%
Exactly 42.56%
Exactly 60.12%
 
Exactly 136.18%
Exactly 38.58%
Exactly 50.61%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Aston Villa
Exactly 056.79%
Exactly 132.13%
Exactly 29.09%
Exactly 31.71%
Exactly 40.24%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Monaco
Exactly 053.40%
Exactly 133.50%
Exactly 210.51%
Exactly 32.20%
Exactly 40.34%

Alternate Props

Spread

Aston Villa
Wins by 2+ goals14.20%
Wins by 3+ goals4.67%
Wins by 4+ goals1.23%
Wins by 5+ goals0.26%
Monaco
Wins by 2+ goals18.31%
Wins by 3+ goals6.59%
Wins by 4+ goals1.90%
Wins by 5+ goals0.43%

Exact Winning Margin

Aston Villa
Monaco
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Aston Villa
Wins by 1 goal19.42%
Wins by 2 goals9.53%
Wins by 3 goals3.44%
Wins by 4 goals0.97%
Wins by 5 goals0.22%
Monaco
Wins by 1 goal21.53%
Wins by 2 goals11.72%
Wins by 3 goals4.69%
Wins by 4 goals1.47%
Wins by 5 goals0.37%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.40%7.60%
1.572.81%27.19%
2.547.57%52.43%
3.525.90%74.10%
4.511.93%88.07%
5.54.74%95.26%
6.51.64%98.36%

Total Goals Aston Villa Over/Under

OverUnder
0.570.54%29.46%
1.534.53%65.47%
2.512.53%87.47%
3.53.57%96.43%

Total Goals Monaco Over/Under

OverUnder
0.574.20%25.80%
1.539.25%60.75%
2.515.57%84.43%
3.54.88%95.12%
4.51.25%98.75%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.569.67%30.33%
1.533.49%66.51%
2.511.90%88.10%
3.53.32%96.68%

Score Props

Correct Score

Aston Villa
Monaco
Score012345
0
7.60%
10.30%
6.98%
3.15%
1.07%
0.29%
1
9.29%
12.58%
8.53%
3.85%
1.30%
0.35%
2
5.68%
7.69%
5.21%
2.35%
0.80%
0.22%
3
2.31%
3.13%
2.12%
0.96%
0.32%
0.09%
4
0.71%
0.96%
0.65%
0.29%
0.10%
0.03%
5
0.17%
0.23%
0.16%
0.07%
0.02%
0.01%
Aston Villa
1-09.29%
2-05.68%
2-17.69%
3-02.31%
3-13.13%
3-22.12%
4-00.71%
4-10.96%
4-20.65%
4-30.29%
5-00.17%
5-10.23%
5-20.16%
Draw
0-07.60%
1-112.58%
2-25.21%
3-30.96%
Monaco
0-110.30%
0-26.98%
1-28.53%
0-33.15%
1-33.85%
2-32.35%
0-41.07%
1-41.30%
2-40.80%
3-40.32%
0-50.29%
1-50.35%
2-50.22%

Correct Score - First Half

Aston Villa
Monaco
Score01234
0
30.33%
19.02%
5.97%
1.25%
0.20%
1
17.16%
10.76%
3.38%
0.71%
0.11%
2
4.85%
3.05%
0.96%
0.20%
0.03%
3
0.92%
0.57%
0.18%
0.04%
0.01%
4
0.13%
0.08%
0.03%
0.01%
0.00%
Aston Villa
1-017.16%
2-04.85%
2-13.05%
3-00.92%
3-10.57%
3-20.18%
4-00.13%
Draw
0-030.33%
1-110.76%
2-20.96%
Monaco
0-119.02%
0-25.97%
1-23.38%
0-31.25%
1-30.71%
2-30.20%
0-40.20%
1-40.11%