Celtic at Aston Villa

Updated

Celtic

10.0%16.0%74.0%
WinDrawAston Villa Win
0.79Projected Goals 2.46
2Final Score 4

Aston Villa

Last 5 Games

Celtic
Money Line
W 0-1 vs Young Boys-370
T 0-0 at Dinamo Zagreb-115
T 1-1 vs Club Brugge+100
W 1-3 vs RB Leipzig+175
T 0-0 at Atalanta+580
Aston Villa
Money Line
L 0-1 at Monaco+170
W 3-2 at RB Leipzig+135
T 0-0 vs Juventus+125
L 0-1 at Club Brugge+115
W 0-2 vs Bologna-155

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Celtic+504+452+500+440+434+440+452+467.1
Aston Villa-187-180-210-180-184-180-180-157.8
Draw+348+363+380+350+355+350+380+372.6
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Celtic+500-+460-+450+450+460+467.1
Aston Villa-200--190--220-185-185-157.8
Draw+360-+360-+350+360+360+372.6

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Celtic: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Aston Villa: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Celtic: 0.0%
Aston Villa: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Celtic: 0.0%
Aston Villa: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Celtic ML moved from +470 to +452
Aston Villa ML moved from -205 to -215

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Celtic: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Aston Villa: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Celtic: 0.0%
Aston Villa: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Celtic: 0.0%
Aston Villa: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Celtic ML moved from +520 to +460
Aston Villa ML moved from -210 to -220

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3+107o3-136o3¼+100o3¼+105o3¼-101o3¼+105o3¼+105o3¼+114
Underu3-125u3+116u3¼-120u3¼-125u3¼-119u3¼-125u3+116u3¼-114
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3+100o3-135o3-130-o3-125o3-135o3-125o3¼+114
Underu3-120u3+115u3+110-u3-105u3+115u3+115u3¼-114

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes50.0%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 03.87%
Exactly 220.45%
Exactly 418.04%
Exactly 66.36%
Exactly 81.20%
Exactly 100.14%
 
Exactly 112.58%
Exactly 322.18%
Exactly 511.73%
Exactly 72.96%
Exactly 90.43%
Exact Goals Scored - Celtic
Exactly 045.30%
Exactly 135.87%
Exactly 214.20%
Exactly 33.75%
Exactly 40.74%
Exactly 50.12%
Exact Goals Scored - Aston Villa
Exactly 08.53%
Exactly 121.00%
Exactly 225.85%
Exactly 321.20%
Exactly 413.05%
Exactly 56.42%
Exactly 62.63%
Exactly 70.93%
Exactly 80.28%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 022.18%
Exactly 225.15%
Exactly 44.75%
Exactly 60.36%
 
Exactly 133.40%
Exactly 312.63%
Exactly 51.43%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Celtic
Exactly 069.31%
Exactly 125.41%
Exactly 24.66%
Exactly 30.57%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Aston Villa
Exactly 032.00%
Exactly 136.46%
Exactly 220.77%
Exactly 37.89%
Exactly 42.25%
Exactly 50.51%

Alternate Props

Spread

Celtic
Wins by 2+ goals2.82%
Wins by 3+ goals0.60%
Aston Villa
Wins by 2+ goals51.57%
Wins by 3+ goals30.14%
Wins by 4+ goals14.84%
Wins by 5+ goals6.21%
Wins by 6+ goals2.22%
Wins by 7+ goals0.65%
Wins by 8+ goals0.13%

Exact Winning Margin

Celtic
Aston Villa
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Celtic
Wins by 1 goal7.19%
Wins by 2 goals2.22%
Wins by 3 goals0.51%
Aston Villa
Wins by 1 goal22.34%
Wins by 2 goals21.43%
Wins by 3 goals15.30%
Wins by 4 goals8.62%
Wins by 5 goals4.00%
Wins by 6 goals1.57%
Wins by 7 goals0.52%
Wins by 8 goals0.13%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.596.13%3.87%
1.583.56%16.44%
2.563.10%36.90%
3.540.93%59.07%
4.522.89%77.11%
5.511.15%88.85%
6.54.79%95.21%
7.51.83%98.17%

Total Goals Celtic Over/Under

OverUnder
0.554.70%45.30%
1.518.83%81.17%
2.54.63%95.37%

Total Goals Aston Villa Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.47%8.53%
1.570.46%29.54%
2.544.62%55.38%
3.523.41%76.59%
4.510.37%89.63%
5.53.95%96.05%
6.51.31%98.69%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.577.82%22.18%
1.544.42%55.58%
2.519.27%80.73%
3.56.64%93.36%
4.51.89%98.11%

Score Props

Correct Score

Celtic
Aston Villa
Score012345
0
3.87%
9.51%
11.71%
9.60%
5.91%
2.91%
1
3.06%
7.53%
9.27%
7.61%
4.68%
2.30%
2
1.21%
2.98%
3.67%
3.01%
1.85%
0.91%
3
0.32%
0.79%
0.97%
0.79%
0.49%
0.24%
Celtic
1-03.06%
2-01.21%
2-12.98%
3-00.32%
3-10.79%
3-20.97%
Draw
0-03.87%
1-17.53%
2-23.67%
3-30.79%
Aston Villa
0-19.51%
0-211.71%
1-29.27%
0-39.60%
1-37.61%
2-33.01%
0-45.91%
1-44.68%
2-41.85%
3-40.49%
0-52.91%
1-52.30%
2-50.91%
3-50.24%

Correct Score - First Half

Celtic
Aston Villa
Score012345
0
22.18%
25.27%
14.40%
5.47%
1.56%
0.36%
1
8.13%
9.27%
5.28%
2.01%
0.57%
0.13%
2
1.49%
1.70%
0.97%
0.37%
0.10%
0.02%
3
0.18%
0.21%
0.12%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
Celtic
1-08.13%
2-01.49%
2-11.70%
3-00.18%
3-10.21%
3-20.12%
Draw
0-022.18%
1-19.27%
2-20.97%
Aston Villa
0-125.27%
0-214.40%
1-25.28%
0-35.47%
1-32.01%
2-30.37%
0-41.56%
1-40.57%
2-40.10%
0-50.36%
1-50.13%