Sportivo Ameliano at Athletico Paranaense

Updated 108 days ago

10:00 PM • May 30, 2024

Sportivo Ameliano

11.6%19.9%68.5%

WinDrawAthletico Paranaense Win

0.68Projected Goals 1.99

1Final Score 0

Athletico Paranaense

Last Games

Sportivo Ameliano		Money Line
W 1-2	5/08 vs Danubio

Athletico Paranaense		Money Line
L 2-1	5/15 vs Danubio
W 1-0	4/24 at Danubio
W 0-1	11/20 vs Bragantino	+165
W 0-2	10/01 vs Penarol	+115
W 2-1	9/24 at Penarol	+260

Money Line Analysis

:2.5%

	Open Line	Heritage	Bovada	BetOnline	YouWager	SportsBetting	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Sportivo Ameliano	+1200	+1146	+1300	+950	+1147	+950	+1300	+1056.0
Athletico Paranaense	-460	-404	-500	-500	-534	-500	-404	-311.3
Draw	+500	+533	+550	+480	+556	+480	+556	+538.6

	South Point	Circa	Wynn	Stations	Westgate	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Sportivo Ameliano	-	-	-	-	-	+1056.0
Athletico Paranaense	-	-	-	-	-	-311.3
Draw	-	-	-	-	-	+538.6

Overall

Overall Bet Value Active

Sportivo Ameliano: 100.0%

Bet Value Inactive

Athletico Paranaense: 0.0%

Base Rating
Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.
More on Base Rating

Sportivo Ameliano: 40.0%

Athletico Paranaense: 0.0%

Bet Trends
Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.
More on Bet Trends

Sportivo Ameliano: 10.0%

Athletico Paranaense: 0.0%

Sharp Line
Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.
More on Sharp Line

Sportivo Ameliano: 50.0%

Athletico Paranaense: 0.0%

Latest ML
Steam Move
A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.
More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Sportivo Ameliano ML

No Steam Moves On Athletico Paranaense ML

Over/Under Analysis

:3.6%

	Open Line	Heritage	Bovada	BetOnline	YouWager	SportsBetting	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Over	o2¾-110	o3-101	o3-105	o3-103	o3-104	o3-103	o3-101	o3+106
Under	u2¾-110	u3-117	u3-115	u3-117	u3-118	u3-117	u3-115	u3-106

	Open Line	South Point	Circa	Wynn	Stations	Westgate	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Over		-	-	-	-	-		o3+106
Under		-	-	-	-	-		u3-106

Overall

Bet Value Inactive

Over: 0.0%

Bet Value Inactive

Under: 10.0%

Base Rating
Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.
More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%

Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends
Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.
More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Under: 0.0%

Sharp Line
Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.
More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%

Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U
Steam Move
A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.
More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over

No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes	42.3%


No	57.7%

Total Goals

Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 0	6.95%
Exactly 2	24.71%
Exactly 4	14.64%
Exactly 6	3.47%
Exactly 8	0.44%


Exactly 1	18.53%
Exactly 3	21.96%
Exactly 5	7.80%
Exactly 7	1.32%
Exactly 9	0.13%

Exact Goals Scored - Sportivo Ameliano
Exactly 0	51.06%
Exactly 1	34.32%
Exactly 2	11.54%
Exactly 3	2.58%
Exactly 4	0.43%

Exact Goals Scored - Athletico Paranaense
Exactly 0	13.62%
Exactly 1	27.15%
Exactly 2	27.07%
Exactly 3	17.99%
Exactly 4	8.97%
Exactly 5	3.58%
Exactly 6	1.19%
Exactly 7	0.34%

Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 0	29.10%
Exactly 2	22.17%
Exactly 4	2.82%
Exactly 6	0.14%


Exactly 1	35.92%
Exactly 3	9.12%
Exactly 5	0.70%

Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Sportivo Ameliano
Exactly 0	73.25%
Exactly 1	22.80%
Exactly 2	3.55%
Exactly 3	0.37%

Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Athletico Paranaense
Exactly 0	39.72%
Exactly 1	36.67%
Exactly 2	16.93%
Exactly 3	5.21%
Exactly 4	1.20%
Exactly 5	0.22%

Alternate Props

Spread

Sportivo Ameliano
Wins by 2+ goals	2.92%
Wins by 3+ goals	0.53%

Athletico Paranaense
Wins by 2+ goals	42.96%
Wins by 3+ goals	21.83%
Wins by 4+ goals	9.12%
Wins by 5+ goals	3.17%
Wins by 6+ goals	0.90%
Wins by 7+ goals	0.17%

Exact Winning Margin

Sportivo Ameliano

Athletico Paranaense

Sportivo Ameliano
Wins by 1 goal	8.58%
Wins by 2 goals	2.39%
Wins by 3 goals	0.47%

Athletico Paranaense
Wins by 1 goal	25.47%
Wins by 2 goals	21.13%
Wins by 3 goals	12.71%
Wins by 4 goals	5.95%
Wins by 5 goals	2.27%
Wins by 6 goals	0.72%
Wins by 7 goals	0.17%

Total Goals Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	93.05%	6.95%
1.5	74.51%	25.49%
2.5	49.80%	50.20%
3.5	27.85%	72.15%
4.5	13.21%	86.79%
5.5	5.41%	94.59%
6.5	1.94%	98.06%

Total Goals Sportivo Ameliano Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	48.94%	51.06%
1.5	14.62%	85.38%
2.5	3.08%	96.92%

Total Goals Athletico Paranaense Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	86.38%	13.62%
1.5	59.24%	40.76%
2.5	32.17%	67.83%
3.5	14.18%	85.82%
4.5	5.21%	94.79%
5.5	1.63%	98.37%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	70.90%	29.10%
1.5	34.98%	65.02%
2.5	12.81%	87.19%
3.5	3.68%	96.32%

Score Props

Correct Score

Sportivo Ameliano

Athletico Paranaense

Score	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	6.95%	13.86%	13.82%	9.19%	4.58%	1.83%
1	4.67%	9.32%	9.29%	6.17%	3.08%	1.23%
2	1.57%	3.13%	3.12%	2.08%	1.03%	0.41%
3	0.35%	0.70%	0.70%	0.46%	0.23%	0.09%

Sportivo Ameliano
1-0	4.67%
2-0	1.57%
2-1	3.13%
3-0	0.35%
3-1	0.70%
3-2	0.70%

Draw
0-0	6.95%
1-1	9.32%
2-2	3.12%
3-3	0.46%

Athletico Paranaense
0-1	13.86%
0-2	13.82%
1-2	9.29%
0-3	9.19%
1-3	6.17%
2-3	2.08%
0-4	4.58%
1-4	3.08%
2-4	1.03%
3-4	0.23%
0-5	1.83%
1-5	1.23%
2-5	0.41%

Correct Score - First Half

Sportivo Ameliano

Athletico Paranaense

Score	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	29.10%	26.87%	12.40%	3.82%	0.88%	0.16%
1	9.06%	8.36%	3.86%	1.19%	0.27%	0.05%
2	1.41%	1.30%	0.60%	0.18%	0.04%	0.01%
3	0.15%	0.13%	0.06%	0.02%	0.00%	0.00%

Sportivo Ameliano
1-0	9.06%
2-0	1.41%
2-1	1.30%
3-0	0.15%
3-1	0.13%

Draw
0-0	29.10%
1-1	8.36%
2-2	0.60%

Athletico Paranaense
0-1	26.87%
0-2	12.40%
1-2	3.86%
0-3	3.82%
1-3	1.19%
2-3	0.18%
0-4	0.88%
1-4	0.27%
0-5	0.16%

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