Cerro Porteno at Athletico Paranaense

Updated

Cerro Porteno

21.1%26.1%52.8%
Cerro Porteno WinDrawAthletico Paranaense Win
0.84Projected Goals 1.51
1Final Score 2

Athletico Paranaense

Last Games

Cerro Porteno
Money Line
T 1-1 vs Athletico Paranaense
Athletico Paranaense
Money Line
T 1-1 at Cerro Porteno
L 1-0 vs Sportivo Ameliano
L 2-1 vs Danubio
W 1-0 at Danubio
W 0-1 vs Bragantino+165

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cerro Porteno+550-+650+650+650+650+650+687.9
Athletico Paranaense-185--220-205-205-205-205-177.6
Draw+280-+310+308+308+308+310+328.6
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cerro Porteno-----+687.9
Athletico Paranaense------177.6
Draw-----+328.6

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Cerro Porteno: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Athletico Paranaense: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Cerro Porteno: 40.0%
Athletico Paranaense: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Cerro Porteno: 0.0%
Athletico Paranaense: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Cerro Porteno ML
No Steam Moves On Athletico Paranaense ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼-112-o2¼-118o2¼-112o2¼-112o2¼-112o2¼-112o2¼-102
Underu2¼-108-u2¼-102u2¼-108u2¼-108u2¼-108u2¼-102u2¼+102
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¼-102
Under-----u2¼+102

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes44.4%
 
No55.6%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 09.50%
Exactly 226.32%
Exactly 412.15%
Exactly 62.24%
Exactly 80.22%
 
Exactly 122.36%
Exactly 320.65%
Exactly 55.72%
Exactly 70.75%
Exact Goals Scored - Cerro Porteno
Exactly 042.91%
Exactly 136.30%
Exactly 215.36%
Exactly 34.33%
Exactly 40.92%
Exactly 50.15%
Exact Goals Scored - Athletico Paranaense
Exactly 022.14%
Exactly 133.38%
Exactly 225.17%
Exactly 312.65%
Exactly 44.77%
Exactly 51.44%
Exactly 60.36%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 033.63%
Exactly 219.97%
Exactly 41.98%
 
Exactly 136.65%
Exactly 37.25%
Exactly 50.43%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Cerro Porteno
Exactly 067.59%
Exactly 126.47%
Exactly 25.18%
Exactly 30.68%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Athletico Paranaense
Exactly 049.75%
Exactly 134.73%
Exactly 212.12%
Exactly 32.82%
Exactly 40.49%

Alternate Props

Spread

Cerro Porteno
Wins by 2+ goals6.69%
Wins by 3+ goals1.59%
Wins by 4+ goals0.29%
Athletico Paranaense
Wins by 2+ goals27.11%
Wins by 3+ goals10.92%
Wins by 4+ goals3.53%
Wins by 5+ goals0.90%
Wins by 6+ goals0.16%

Exact Winning Margin

Cerro Porteno
Athletico Paranaense
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Cerro Porteno
Wins by 1 goal14.38%
Wins by 2 goals5.10%
Wins by 3 goals1.30%
Wins by 4 goals0.25%
Athletico Paranaense
Wins by 1 goal25.62%
Wins by 2 goals16.19%
Wins by 3 goals7.40%
Wins by 4 goals2.62%
Wins by 5 goals0.75%
Wins by 6 goals0.16%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.590.50%9.50%
1.568.14%31.86%
2.541.82%58.18%
3.521.17%78.83%
4.59.02%90.98%
5.53.30%96.70%
6.51.05%98.95%

Total Goals Cerro Porteno Over/Under

OverUnder
0.557.09%42.91%
1.520.78%79.22%
2.55.43%94.57%
3.51.10%98.90%

Total Goals Athletico Paranaense Over/Under

OverUnder
0.577.86%22.14%
1.544.48%55.52%
2.519.31%80.69%
3.56.66%93.34%
4.51.89%98.11%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.566.37%33.63%
1.529.72%70.28%
2.59.75%90.25%
3.52.50%97.50%

Score Props

Correct Score

Cerro Porteno
Athletico Paranaense
Score012345
0
9.50%
14.33%
10.80%
5.43%
2.05%
0.62%
1
8.04%
12.12%
9.14%
4.59%
1.73%
0.52%
2
3.40%
5.13%
3.86%
1.94%
0.73%
0.22%
3
0.96%
1.45%
1.09%
0.55%
0.21%
0.06%
4
0.20%
0.31%
0.23%
0.12%
0.04%
0.01%
Cerro Porteno
1-08.04%
2-03.40%
2-15.13%
3-00.96%
3-11.45%
3-21.09%
4-00.20%
4-10.31%
4-20.23%
4-30.12%
Draw
0-09.50%
1-112.12%
2-23.86%
3-30.55%
Athletico Paranaense
0-114.33%
0-210.80%
1-29.14%
0-35.43%
1-34.59%
2-31.94%
0-42.05%
1-41.73%
2-40.73%
3-40.21%
0-50.62%
1-50.52%
2-50.22%

Correct Score - First Half

Cerro Porteno
Athletico Paranaense
Score01234
0
33.63%
23.48%
8.19%
1.91%
0.33%
1
13.17%
9.20%
3.21%
0.75%
0.13%
2
2.58%
1.80%
0.63%
0.15%
0.03%
3
0.34%
0.24%
0.08%
0.02%
0.00%
Cerro Porteno
1-013.17%
2-02.58%
2-11.80%
3-00.34%
3-10.24%
Draw
0-033.63%
1-19.20%
2-20.63%
Athletico Paranaense
0-123.48%
0-28.19%
1-23.21%
0-31.91%
1-30.75%
2-30.15%
0-40.33%
1-40.13%