Athletico Paranaense at Cerro Porteno

Updated 156 days ago

12:30 AM • Jul 19, 2024

Athletico Paranaense

27.3%28.6%44.1%

Athletico Paranaense WinDrawCerro Porteno Win

0.93Projected Goals 1.27

1Final Score 1

Cerro Porteno

Last Games

Athletico Paranaense		Money Line
L 1-0	5/30 vs Sportivo Ameliano
L 2-1	5/15 vs Danubio
W 1-0	4/24 at Danubio
W 0-1	11/20 vs Bragantino	+165
W 0-2	10/01 vs Penarol	+115

Cerro Porteno		Money Line

Money Line Analysis

:1.1%

	Open Line	Heritage	Bovada	BetOnline	YouWager	SportsBetting	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Athletico Paranaense	+183	+180	+175	+180	+170	+180	+180	+194.1
Cerro Porteno	+168	+165	+180	+187	+184	+187	+187	+201.5
Draw	+220	+227	+185	+190	+193	+190	+227	+204.6

	South Point	Circa	Wynn	Stations	Westgate	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Athletico Paranaense	-	-	-	-	-	+194.1
Cerro Porteno	-	-	-	-	-	+201.5
Draw	-	-	-	-	-	+204.6

Overall

Bet Value Inactive

Athletico Paranaense: 0.0%

Bet Value Inactive

Cerro Porteno: 50.0%

Base Rating
Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.
More on Base Rating

Athletico Paranaense: 0.0%

Cerro Porteno: 40.0%

Bet Trends
Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.
More on Bet Trends

Athletico Paranaense: 10.0%

Cerro Porteno: 0.0%

Sharp Line
Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.
More on Sharp Line

Athletico Paranaense: 0.0%

Cerro Porteno: 20.0%

Latest ML
Steam Move
A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.
More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Athletico Paranaense ML

No Steam Moves On Cerro Porteno ML

Over/Under Analysis

:-3.2%

	Open Line	Heritage	Bovada	BetOnline	YouWager	SportsBetting	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Over	o2½+112	o2½+112	o2-105	o2-113	o2-104	o2-113	o2¼+105	o2-103
Under	u2½-132	u2½-132	u2-115	u2-107	u2-118	u2-107	u2½-132	u2+103

	Open Line	South Point	Circa	Wynn	Stations	Westgate	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Over		-	-	-	-	-		o2-103
Under		-	-	-	-	-		u2+103

Overall

Bet Value Inactive

Over: 0.0%

Bet Value Inactive

Under: 0.0%

Base Rating
Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.
More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%

Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends
Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.
More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Under: 0.0%

Sharp Line
Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.
More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%

Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U
Steam Move
A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.
More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over

No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes	43.6%


No	56.4%

Total Goals

Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 0	11.06%
Exactly 2	26.81%
Exactly 4	10.83%
Exactly 6	1.75%
Exactly 8	0.15%


Exactly 1	24.36%
Exactly 3	19.67%
Exactly 5	4.77%
Exactly 7	0.55%

Exact Goals Scored - Athletico Paranaense
Exactly 0	39.35%
Exactly 1	36.70%
Exactly 2	17.12%
Exactly 3	5.32%
Exactly 4	1.24%
Exactly 5	0.23%

Exact Goals Scored - Cerro Porteno
Exactly 0	28.12%
Exactly 1	35.67%
Exactly 2	22.63%
Exactly 3	9.57%
Exactly 4	3.04%
Exactly 5	0.77%
Exactly 6	0.16%

Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 0	36.08%
Exactly 2	18.75%
Exactly 4	1.62%


Exactly 1	36.78%
Exactly 3	6.37%
Exactly 5	0.33%

Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Athletico Paranaense
Exactly 0	64.93%
Exactly 1	28.04%
Exactly 2	6.05%
Exactly 3	0.87%

Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Cerro Porteno
Exactly 0	55.57%
Exactly 1	32.65%
Exactly 2	9.59%
Exactly 3	1.88%
Exactly 4	0.28%

Alternate Props

Spread

Athletico Paranaense
Wins by 2+ goals	9.50%
Wins by 3+ goals	2.49%
Wins by 4+ goals	0.50%

Cerro Porteno
Wins by 2+ goals	19.93%
Wins by 3+ goals	6.95%
Wins by 4+ goals	1.93%
Wins by 5+ goals	0.43%

Exact Winning Margin

Athletico Paranaense

Cerro Porteno

Athletico Paranaense
Wins by 1 goal	17.76%
Wins by 2 goals	7.01%
Wins by 3 goals	1.99%
Wins by 4 goals	0.43%

Cerro Porteno
Wins by 1 goal	24.15%
Wins by 2 goals	12.98%
Wins by 3 goals	5.02%
Wins by 4 goals	1.51%
Wins by 5 goals	0.36%

Total Goals Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	88.94%	11.06%
1.5	64.58%	35.42%
2.5	37.77%	62.23%
3.5	18.09%	81.91%
4.5	7.27%	92.73%
5.5	2.50%	97.50%

Total Goals Athletico Paranaense Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	60.65%	39.35%
1.5	23.95%	76.05%
2.5	6.83%	93.17%
3.5	1.51%	98.49%

Total Goals Cerro Porteno Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	71.88%	28.12%
1.5	36.21%	63.79%
2.5	13.58%	86.42%
3.5	4.00%	96.00%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	63.92%	36.08%
1.5	27.13%	72.87%
2.5	8.39%	91.61%
3.5	2.02%	97.98%

Score Props

Correct Score

Athletico Paranaense

Cerro Porteno

Score	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	11.06%	14.04%	8.91%	3.77%	1.19%	0.30%
1	10.32%	13.09%	8.31%	3.51%	1.11%	0.28%
2	4.81%	6.11%	3.87%	1.64%	0.52%	0.13%
3	1.50%	1.90%	1.20%	0.51%	0.16%	0.04%
4	0.35%	0.44%	0.28%	0.12%	0.04%	0.01%

Athletico Paranaense
1-0	10.32%
2-0	4.81%
2-1	6.11%
3-0	1.50%
3-1	1.90%
3-2	1.20%
4-0	0.35%
4-1	0.44%
4-2	0.28%
4-3	0.12%

Draw
0-0	11.06%
1-1	13.09%
2-2	3.87%
3-3	0.51%

Cerro Porteno
0-1	14.04%
0-2	8.91%
1-2	8.31%
0-3	3.77%
1-3	3.51%
2-3	1.64%
0-4	1.19%
1-4	1.11%
2-4	0.52%
3-4	0.16%
0-5	0.30%
1-5	0.28%
2-5	0.13%

Correct Score - First Half

Athletico Paranaense

Cerro Porteno

Score	0	1	2	3	4
0	36.08%	21.20%	6.23%	1.22%	0.18%
1	15.58%	9.15%	2.69%	0.53%	0.08%
2	3.36%	1.98%	0.58%	0.11%	0.02%
3	0.48%	0.28%	0.08%	0.02%	0.00%

Athletico Paranaense
1-0	15.58%
2-0	3.36%
2-1	1.98%
3-0	0.48%
3-1	0.28%

Draw
0-0	36.08%
1-1	9.15%
2-2	0.58%

Cerro Porteno
0-1	21.20%
0-2	6.23%
1-2	2.69%
0-3	1.22%
1-3	0.53%
2-3	0.11%
0-4	0.18%

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Athletico Paranaense at Cerro Porteno