Athletico Paranaense at Cerro Porteno

Updated

Athletico Paranaense

27.3%28.6%44.1%
Athletico Paranaense WinDrawCerro Porteno Win
0.93Projected Goals 1.27
1Final Score 1

Cerro Porteno

Last Games

Athletico Paranaense
Money Line
L 1-0 vs Sportivo Ameliano
L 2-1 vs Danubio
W 1-0 at Danubio
W 0-1 vs Bragantino+165
W 0-2 vs Penarol+115
Cerro Porteno
Money Line

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Athletico Paranaense+183+180+175+180+170+180+180+194.1
Cerro Porteno+168+165+180+187+184+187+187+201.5
Draw+220+227+185+190+193+190+227+204.6
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Athletico Paranaense-----+194.1
Cerro Porteno-----+201.5
Draw-----+204.6

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Athletico Paranaense: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Cerro Porteno: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Athletico Paranaense: 0.0%
Cerro Porteno: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Athletico Paranaense: 0.0%
Cerro Porteno: 20.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Athletico Paranaense ML
No Steam Moves On Cerro Porteno ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-3.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+112o2½+112o2-105o2-113o2-104o2-113o2¼+105o2-103
Underu2½-132u2½-132u2-115u2-107u2-118u2-107u2½-132u2+103
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2-103
Under-----u2+103

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes43.6%
 
No56.4%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 011.06%
Exactly 226.81%
Exactly 410.83%
Exactly 61.75%
Exactly 80.15%
 
Exactly 124.36%
Exactly 319.67%
Exactly 54.77%
Exactly 70.55%
Exact Goals Scored - Athletico Paranaense
Exactly 039.35%
Exactly 136.70%
Exactly 217.12%
Exactly 35.32%
Exactly 41.24%
Exactly 50.23%
Exact Goals Scored - Cerro Porteno
Exactly 028.12%
Exactly 135.67%
Exactly 222.63%
Exactly 39.57%
Exactly 43.04%
Exactly 50.77%
Exactly 60.16%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 036.08%
Exactly 218.75%
Exactly 41.62%
 
Exactly 136.78%
Exactly 36.37%
Exactly 50.33%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Athletico Paranaense
Exactly 064.93%
Exactly 128.04%
Exactly 26.05%
Exactly 30.87%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Cerro Porteno
Exactly 055.57%
Exactly 132.65%
Exactly 29.59%
Exactly 31.88%
Exactly 40.28%

Alternate Props

Spread

Athletico Paranaense
Wins by 2+ goals9.50%
Wins by 3+ goals2.49%
Wins by 4+ goals0.50%
Cerro Porteno
Wins by 2+ goals19.93%
Wins by 3+ goals6.95%
Wins by 4+ goals1.93%
Wins by 5+ goals0.43%

Exact Winning Margin

Athletico Paranaense
Cerro Porteno
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Athletico Paranaense
Wins by 1 goal17.76%
Wins by 2 goals7.01%
Wins by 3 goals1.99%
Wins by 4 goals0.43%
Cerro Porteno
Wins by 1 goal24.15%
Wins by 2 goals12.98%
Wins by 3 goals5.02%
Wins by 4 goals1.51%
Wins by 5 goals0.36%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.588.94%11.06%
1.564.58%35.42%
2.537.77%62.23%
3.518.09%81.91%
4.57.27%92.73%
5.52.50%97.50%

Total Goals Athletico Paranaense Over/Under

OverUnder
0.560.65%39.35%
1.523.95%76.05%
2.56.83%93.17%
3.51.51%98.49%

Total Goals Cerro Porteno Over/Under

OverUnder
0.571.88%28.12%
1.536.21%63.79%
2.513.58%86.42%
3.54.00%96.00%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.563.92%36.08%
1.527.13%72.87%
2.58.39%91.61%
3.52.02%97.98%

Score Props

Correct Score

Athletico Paranaense
Cerro Porteno
Score012345
0
11.06%
14.04%
8.91%
3.77%
1.19%
0.30%
1
10.32%
13.09%
8.31%
3.51%
1.11%
0.28%
2
4.81%
6.11%
3.87%
1.64%
0.52%
0.13%
3
1.50%
1.90%
1.20%
0.51%
0.16%
0.04%
4
0.35%
0.44%
0.28%
0.12%
0.04%
0.01%
Athletico Paranaense
1-010.32%
2-04.81%
2-16.11%
3-01.50%
3-11.90%
3-21.20%
4-00.35%
4-10.44%
4-20.28%
4-30.12%
Draw
0-011.06%
1-113.09%
2-23.87%
3-30.51%
Cerro Porteno
0-114.04%
0-28.91%
1-28.31%
0-33.77%
1-33.51%
2-31.64%
0-41.19%
1-41.11%
2-40.52%
3-40.16%
0-50.30%
1-50.28%
2-50.13%

Correct Score - First Half

Athletico Paranaense
Cerro Porteno
Score01234
0
36.08%
21.20%
6.23%
1.22%
0.18%
1
15.58%
9.15%
2.69%
0.53%
0.08%
2
3.36%
1.98%
0.58%
0.11%
0.02%
3
0.48%
0.28%
0.08%
0.02%
0.00%
Athletico Paranaense
1-015.58%
2-03.36%
2-11.98%
3-00.48%
3-10.28%
Draw
0-036.08%
1-19.15%
2-20.58%
Cerro Porteno
0-121.20%
0-26.23%
1-22.69%
0-31.22%
1-30.53%
2-30.11%
0-40.18%