Independiente at Lanus

Updated

Independiente

26.2%27.2%46.5%
Independiente WinDrawLanus Win
0.97Projected Goals 1.38
0Final Score 0

Lanus

Last 5 Games

Independiente
Money Line
W 0-4 vs Palestino
T 2-2 at Palestino
W 0-4 vs Always Ready
T 1-1 at Defensa y Just
W 5-1 at U Cesar Vallejo
Lanus
Money Line
W 1-3 vs LDU de Quito
W 2-1 at LDU de Quito
L 1-0 vs Cuiaba
W 0-5 vs Metropolitanos
W 2-0 at Deportivo Garcilaso

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Independiente+385+458+440+480+480+480+480+509.3
Lanus-132-140-145-155-155-155-140-137.3
Draw+240+259+245+270+270+270+270+288.7
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Independiente-----+509.3
Lanus------137.3
Draw-----+288.7

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Independiente: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Lanus: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Independiente: 40.0%
Lanus: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Independiente: 0.0%
Lanus: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Independiente ML
No Steam Moves On Lanus ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼+107o2-138o2¼+102o2¼+103o2¼+103o2¼+103o2-138o2¼+112
Underu2¼-127u2+117u2¼-122u2¼-123u2¼-123u2¼-123u2¼-122u2¼-112
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¼+112
Under-----u2¼-112

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes46.4%
 
No53.6%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 09.54%
Exactly 226.34%
Exactly 412.11%
Exactly 62.23%
Exactly 80.22%
 
Exactly 122.42%
Exactly 320.62%
Exactly 55.69%
Exactly 70.75%
Exact Goals Scored - Independiente
Exactly 038.07%
Exactly 136.77%
Exactly 217.75%
Exactly 35.71%
Exactly 41.38%
Exactly 50.27%
Exact Goals Scored - Lanus
Exactly 025.06%
Exactly 134.68%
Exactly 224.00%
Exactly 311.07%
Exactly 43.83%
Exactly 51.06%
Exactly 60.24%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 033.70%
Exactly 219.94%
Exactly 41.97%
 
Exactly 136.65%
Exactly 37.23%
Exactly 50.43%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Independiente
Exactly 063.95%
Exactly 128.59%
Exactly 26.39%
Exactly 30.95%
Exactly 40.11%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Lanus
Exactly 052.69%
Exactly 133.76%
Exactly 210.81%
Exactly 32.31%
Exactly 40.37%

Alternate Props

Spread

Independiente
Wins by 2+ goals9.27%
Wins by 3+ goals2.48%
Wins by 4+ goals0.50%
Lanus
Wins by 2+ goals22.25%
Wins by 3+ goals8.30%
Wins by 4+ goals2.48%
Wins by 5+ goals0.59%

Exact Winning Margin

Independiente
Lanus
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Independiente
Wins by 1 goal16.91%
Wins by 2 goals6.79%
Wins by 3 goals1.97%
Wins by 4 goals0.44%
Lanus
Wins by 1 goal24.23%
Wins by 2 goals13.95%
Wins by 3 goals5.82%
Wins by 4 goals1.89%
Wins by 5 goals0.49%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.590.46%9.54%
1.568.04%31.96%
2.541.70%58.30%
3.521.08%78.92%
4.58.96%91.04%
5.53.27%96.73%
6.51.04%98.96%

Total Goals Independiente Over/Under

OverUnder
0.561.93%38.07%
1.525.16%74.84%
2.57.41%92.59%
3.51.70%98.30%

Total Goals Lanus Over/Under

OverUnder
0.574.94%25.06%
1.540.25%59.75%
2.516.26%83.74%
3.55.19%94.81%
4.51.36%98.64%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.566.30%33.70%
1.529.65%70.35%
2.59.71%90.29%
3.52.48%97.52%

Score Props

Correct Score

Independiente
Lanus
Score012345
0
9.54%
13.20%
9.14%
4.21%
1.46%
0.40%
1
9.22%
12.75%
8.82%
4.07%
1.41%
0.39%
2
4.45%
6.16%
4.26%
1.96%
0.68%
0.19%
3
1.43%
1.98%
1.37%
0.63%
0.22%
0.06%
4
0.35%
0.48%
0.33%
0.15%
0.05%
0.01%
Independiente
1-09.22%
2-04.45%
2-16.16%
3-01.43%
3-11.98%
3-21.37%
4-00.35%
4-10.48%
4-20.33%
4-30.15%
Draw
0-09.54%
1-112.75%
2-24.26%
3-30.63%
Lanus
0-113.20%
0-29.14%
1-28.82%
0-34.21%
1-34.07%
2-31.96%
0-41.46%
1-41.41%
2-40.68%
3-40.22%
0-50.40%
1-50.39%
2-50.19%

Correct Score - First Half

Independiente
Lanus
Score01234
0
33.70%
21.59%
6.92%
1.48%
0.24%
1
15.07%
9.65%
3.09%
0.66%
0.11%
2
3.37%
2.16%
0.69%
0.15%
0.02%
3
0.50%
0.32%
0.10%
0.02%
0.00%
Independiente
1-015.07%
2-03.37%
2-12.16%
3-00.50%
3-10.32%
3-20.10%
Draw
0-033.70%
1-19.65%
2-20.69%
Lanus
0-121.59%
0-26.92%
1-23.09%
0-31.48%
1-30.66%
2-30.15%
0-40.24%
1-40.11%