Plymouth Argyle at Watford

Updated

Plymouth Argyle

15.7%21.0%63.2%
WinDrawWatford Win
0.87Projected Goals 1.97
0Final Score 2

Watford

Last 5 Games

Plymouth Argyle
Money Line
W 0-3 vs Cheltenham Town-325
L 4-2 vs Crystal Palace+450
W 0-2 vs Leyton Orient-140
L 2-0 vs Peterborough United-110
L 1-4 at Swansea City+385
Watford
Money Line
W 0-5 vs Milton Keynes Dons-300
L 3-4 at Stevenage-145
L 2-0 vs Milton Keynes Dons-220
L 3-1 vs Stoke City-120
W 0-1 vs Crystal Palace+150

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
11.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Plymouth Argyle+340+467+460+400+400+400+467+459.9
Watford-135-179-195-217-217-217-179-157.3
Draw+275+351+340+325+325+325+351+375.9
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Plymouth Argyle+325---+340-+340+459.9
Watford-170----180--180-157.3
Draw+280---+295-+295+375.9

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Plymouth Argyle: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Watford: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Plymouth Argyle: 0.0%
Watford: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Plymouth Argyle: 10.0%
Watford: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Plymouth Argyle ML moved from +350 to +340
Watford ML moved from -175 to -185

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Plymouth Argyle: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Watford: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Plymouth Argyle: 0.0%
Watford: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Plymouth Argyle: 0.0%
Watford: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Plymouth Argyle ML moved from +325 to +290
Watford ML moved from -145 to -180

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
6.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¾-118o3-110o3-108o3-109o3-109o3-109o3-108o3+101
Underu2¾-102u3-107u3-112u3-111u3-111u3-111u3-107u3-101
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3+110---o3-105-o3-105o3+101
Underu3-140---u3-125-u3-125u3-101

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o2½-135 to o3+110
The Under moved from u3-140 to u2½+105

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes49.9%
 
No50.1%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 05.85%
Exactly 223.57%
Exactly 415.83%
Exactly 64.25%
Exactly 80.61%
 
Exactly 116.61%
Exactly 322.30%
Exactly 58.98%
Exactly 71.72%
Exactly 90.19%
Exact Goals Scored - Plymouth Argyle
Exactly 042.07%
Exactly 136.43%
Exactly 215.77%
Exactly 34.55%
Exactly 40.99%
Exactly 50.17%
Exact Goals Scored - Watford
Exactly 013.91%
Exactly 127.44%
Exactly 227.06%
Exactly 317.79%
Exactly 48.77%
Exactly 53.46%
Exactly 61.14%
Exactly 70.32%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 026.87%
Exactly 223.20%
Exactly 43.34%
Exactly 60.19%
 
Exactly 135.31%
Exactly 310.16%
Exactly 50.88%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Plymouth Argyle
Exactly 066.97%
Exactly 126.85%
Exactly 25.38%
Exactly 30.72%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Watford
Exactly 040.12%
Exactly 136.64%
Exactly 216.73%
Exactly 35.09%
Exactly 41.16%
Exactly 50.21%

Alternate Props

Spread

Plymouth Argyle
Wins by 2+ goals4.90%
Wins by 3+ goals1.16%
Wins by 4+ goals0.21%
Watford
Wins by 2+ goals38.50%
Wins by 3+ goals19.08%
Wins by 4+ goals7.80%
Wins by 5+ goals2.65%
Wins by 6+ goals0.73%
Wins by 7+ goals0.13%

Exact Winning Margin

Plymouth Argyle
Watford
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Plymouth Argyle
Wins by 1 goal10.82%
Wins by 2 goals3.74%
Wins by 3 goals0.95%
Wins by 4 goals0.18%
Watford
Wins by 1 goal24.64%
Wins by 2 goals19.42%
Wins by 3 goals11.28%
Wins by 4 goals5.15%
Wins by 5 goals1.92%
Wins by 6 goals0.60%
Wins by 7 goals0.13%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.15%5.85%
1.577.54%22.46%
2.553.97%46.03%
3.531.66%68.34%
4.515.84%84.16%
5.56.85%93.15%
6.52.60%97.40%

Total Goals Plymouth Argyle Over/Under

OverUnder
0.557.93%42.07%
1.521.51%78.49%
2.55.74%94.26%
3.51.18%98.82%

Total Goals Watford Over/Under

OverUnder
0.586.09%13.91%
1.558.65%41.35%
2.531.59%68.41%
3.513.80%86.20%
4.55.02%94.98%
5.51.56%98.44%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.573.13%26.87%
1.537.82%62.18%
2.514.62%85.38%
3.54.45%95.55%
4.51.11%98.89%

Score Props

Correct Score

Plymouth Argyle
Watford
Score012345
0
5.85%
11.54%
11.38%
7.49%
3.69%
1.46%
1
5.07%
9.99%
9.86%
6.48%
3.20%
1.26%
2
2.19%
4.33%
4.27%
2.81%
1.38%
0.55%
3
0.63%
1.25%
1.23%
0.81%
0.40%
0.16%
4
0.14%
0.27%
0.27%
0.18%
0.09%
0.03%
Plymouth Argyle
1-05.07%
2-02.19%
2-14.33%
3-00.63%
3-11.25%
3-21.23%
4-00.14%
4-10.27%
4-20.27%
4-30.18%
Draw
0-05.85%
1-19.99%
2-24.27%
3-30.81%
Watford
0-111.54%
0-211.38%
1-29.86%
0-37.49%
1-36.48%
2-32.81%
0-43.69%
1-43.20%
2-41.38%
3-40.40%
0-51.46%
1-51.26%
2-50.55%
3-50.16%

Correct Score - First Half

Plymouth Argyle
Watford
Score012345
0
26.87%
24.54%
11.21%
3.41%
0.78%
0.14%
1
10.77%
9.84%
4.49%
1.37%
0.31%
0.06%
2
2.16%
1.97%
0.90%
0.27%
0.06%
0.01%
3
0.29%
0.26%
0.12%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
Plymouth Argyle
1-010.77%
2-02.16%
2-11.97%
3-00.29%
3-10.26%
3-20.12%
Draw
0-026.87%
1-19.84%
2-20.90%
Watford
0-124.54%
0-211.21%
1-24.49%
0-33.41%
1-31.37%
2-30.27%
0-40.78%
1-40.31%
0-50.14%