Stoke City at Southampton

Updated

Stoke City

14.0%19.5%66.5%
WinDrawSouthampton Win
0.86Projected Goals 2.12
2Final Score 3

Southampton

Last 5 Games

Stoke City
Money Line
W 1-2 vs Fleetwood Town-200
W 5-0 at Middlesbrough+310
W 2-0 at Carlisle United-180
L 0-2 at Bournemouth+380
W 1-6 vs Rotherham United-245
Southampton
Money Line
W 6-5 at Everton+210
W 5-3 at Cardiff City-160
L 1-3 at Gillingham-220
L 1-2 at Newcastle United+770
L 1-0 vs Newcastle United+475

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Stoke City+460+972+1000+950+979+950+1000+1032.9
Southampton-190-379-435-455-442-455-379-316.3
Draw+320+543+500+510+537+510+543+558.2
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Stoke City+525-+950-+625+1000+1000+1032.9
Southampton-205--475--350-400-350-316.3
Draw+355-+525-+375+525+525+558.2

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Stoke City: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Southampton: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Stoke City: 40.0%
Southampton: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Stoke City: 0.0%
Southampton: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Stoke City ML moved from +1100 to +1000
Southampton ML moved from -416 to -437

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Stoke City: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Southampton: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Stoke City: 30.0%
Southampton: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Stoke City: 0.0%
Southampton: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Stoke City ML moved from +1000 to +950
Southampton ML moved from -385 to -500

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¾-120o3-139o3¼+100o3¼+103o3¼-104o3¼+103o3¼+103o3¼+112
Underu2¾+100u3+118u3¼-120u3¼-123u3¼-116u3¼-123u3+118u3¼-112
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3+105-o3-135-o3-125o3-120o3-120o3¼+112
Underu3-125-u3+115-u3-105u3+100u3+115u3¼-112

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o3-120 to o3-145
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes50.6%
 
No49.4%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 05.10%
Exactly 222.58%
Exactly 416.67%
Exactly 64.92%
Exactly 80.78%
 
Exactly 115.17%
Exactly 322.40%
Exactly 59.93%
Exactly 72.09%
Exactly 90.26%
Exact Goals Scored - Stoke City
Exactly 042.55%
Exactly 136.36%
Exactly 215.53%
Exactly 34.42%
Exactly 40.95%
Exactly 50.16%
Exact Goals Scored - Southampton
Exactly 011.98%
Exactly 125.42%
Exactly 226.97%
Exactly 319.08%
Exactly 410.12%
Exactly 54.30%
Exactly 61.52%
Exactly 70.46%
Exactly 80.12%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 025.20%
Exactly 223.94%
Exactly 43.79%
Exactly 60.24%
 
Exactly 134.73%
Exactly 311.00%
Exactly 51.04%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Stoke City
Exactly 067.33%
Exactly 126.64%
Exactly 25.27%
Exactly 30.69%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Southampton
Exactly 037.43%
Exactly 136.78%
Exactly 218.07%
Exactly 35.92%
Exactly 41.45%
Exactly 50.29%

Alternate Props

Spread

Stoke City
Wins by 2+ goals4.26%
Wins by 3+ goals0.99%
Wins by 4+ goals0.17%
Southampton
Wins by 2+ goals42.44%
Wins by 3+ goals22.25%
Wins by 4+ goals9.71%
Wins by 5+ goals3.58%
Wins by 6+ goals1.13%
Wins by 7+ goals0.29%

Exact Winning Margin

Stoke City
Southampton
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Stoke City
Wins by 1 goal9.69%
Wins by 2 goals3.27%
Wins by 3 goals0.81%
Wins by 4 goals0.15%
Southampton
Wins by 1 goal24.08%
Wins by 2 goals20.19%
Wins by 3 goals12.54%
Wins by 4 goals6.13%
Wins by 5 goals2.46%
Wins by 6 goals0.83%
Wins by 7 goals0.24%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.90%5.10%
1.579.74%20.26%
2.557.16%42.84%
3.534.76%65.24%
4.518.08%81.92%
5.58.16%91.84%
6.53.24%96.76%
7.51.14%98.86%

Total Goals Stoke City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.557.45%42.55%
1.521.09%78.91%
2.55.56%94.44%
3.51.13%98.87%

Total Goals Southampton Over/Under

OverUnder
0.588.02%11.98%
1.562.61%37.39%
2.535.64%64.36%
3.516.56%83.44%
4.56.44%93.56%
5.52.14%97.86%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.574.80%25.20%
1.540.06%59.94%
2.516.13%83.87%
3.55.13%94.87%
4.51.34%98.66%

Score Props

Correct Score

Stoke City
Southampton
Score012345
0
5.10%
10.81%
11.48%
8.12%
4.31%
1.83%
1
4.35%
9.24%
9.81%
6.94%
3.68%
1.56%
2
1.86%
3.95%
4.19%
2.96%
1.57%
0.67%
3
0.53%
1.12%
1.19%
0.84%
0.45%
0.19%
4
0.11%
0.24%
0.25%
0.18%
0.10%
0.04%
Stoke City
1-04.35%
2-01.86%
2-13.95%
3-00.53%
3-11.12%
3-21.19%
4-00.11%
4-10.24%
4-20.25%
4-30.18%
Draw
0-05.10%
1-19.24%
2-24.19%
3-30.84%
Southampton
0-110.81%
0-211.48%
1-29.81%
0-38.12%
1-36.94%
2-32.96%
0-44.31%
1-43.68%
2-41.57%
3-40.45%
0-51.83%
1-51.56%
2-50.67%
3-50.19%

Correct Score - First Half

Stoke City
Southampton
Score012345
0
25.20%
24.76%
12.17%
3.99%
0.98%
0.19%
1
9.97%
9.80%
4.81%
1.58%
0.39%
0.08%
2
1.97%
1.94%
0.95%
0.31%
0.08%
0.02%
3
0.26%
0.26%
0.13%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
Stoke City
1-09.97%
2-01.97%
2-11.94%
3-00.26%
3-10.26%
3-20.13%
Draw
0-025.20%
1-19.80%
2-20.95%
Southampton
0-124.76%
0-212.17%
1-24.81%
0-33.99%
1-31.58%
2-30.31%
0-40.98%
1-40.39%
0-50.19%