West Brom at Derby County

Updated

West Bromwich Albion

33.3%29.1%37.6%
West Brom WinDrawDerby County Win
1.05Projected Goals 1.15
1Final Score 2

Derby County

Last 5 Games

West Bromwich Albion
Money Line
W 0-2 vs Bristol City+120
L 1-2 at Watford+180
W 0-2 vs Coventry City+145
T 2-2 vs Sheffield United+140
T 1-1 at Preston North End+125
Derby County
Money Line
L 1-2 at Luton Town+250
W 0-4 vs Portsmouth+110
T 0-0 at Burnley+450
L 0-2 at Leeds United+785
L 2-1 vs Sheffield Wednesday+165

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
West Brom+135+165+160+147+156+147+165+166.7
Derby County+200+200+190+188+194+188+200+211.0
Draw+215+203+190+205+201+205+205+229.4
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
West Brom+160---+160+175+175+166.7
Derby County+180---+150+190+190+211.0
Draw+220---+190+195+195+229.4

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
West Brom: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Derby County: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

West Brom: 0.0%
Derby County: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

West Brom: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

West Brom: 0.0%
Derby County: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

West Brom ML moved from +155 to +147
Derby County ML moved from +184 to +174

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
West Brom: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Derby County: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

West Brom: 0.0%
Derby County: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

West Brom: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

West Brom: 20.0%
Derby County: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On West Brom ML
Derby County ML moved from +160 to +150

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼-118o2-110o2-108o2-113o2-108o2-113o2-108o2-103
Underu2¼-102u2-107u2-112u2-107u2-112u2-107u2-107u2+103
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2-103
Under-----u2+103

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes44.6%
 
No55.4%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 011.03%
Exactly 226.80%
Exactly 410.86%
Exactly 61.76%
Exactly 80.15%
 
Exactly 124.31%
Exactly 319.70%
Exactly 54.79%
Exactly 70.55%
Exact Goals Scored - West Bromwich Albion
Exactly 034.67%
Exactly 136.73%
Exactly 219.45%
Exactly 36.87%
Exactly 41.82%
Exactly 50.39%
Exact Goals Scored - Derby County
Exactly 031.80%
Exactly 136.43%
Exactly 220.87%
Exactly 37.97%
Exactly 42.28%
Exactly 50.52%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 036.03%
Exactly 218.77%
Exactly 41.63%
 
Exactly 136.78%
Exactly 36.39%
Exactly 50.33%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - West Bromwich Albion
Exactly 061.24%
Exactly 130.03%
Exactly 27.36%
Exactly 31.20%
Exactly 40.15%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Derby County
Exactly 058.83%
Exactly 131.21%
Exactly 28.28%
Exactly 31.46%
Exactly 40.19%

Alternate Props

Spread

West Bromwich Albion
Wins by 2+ goals12.87%
Wins by 3+ goals3.77%
Wins by 4+ goals0.84%
Wins by 5+ goals0.12%
Derby County
Wins by 2+ goals15.51%
Wins by 3+ goals4.87%
Wins by 4+ goals1.16%
Wins by 5+ goals0.18%

Exact Winning Margin

West Bromwich Albion
Derby County
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
West Bromwich Albion
Wins by 1 goal20.35%
Wins by 2 goals9.10%
Wins by 3 goals2.93%
Wins by 4 goals0.72%
Wins by 5 goals0.12%
Derby County
Wins by 1 goal22.01%
Wins by 2 goals10.64%
Wins by 3 goals3.70%
Wins by 4 goals0.98%
Wins by 5 goals0.18%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.588.97%11.03%
1.564.66%35.34%
2.537.86%62.14%
3.518.16%81.84%
4.57.30%92.70%
5.52.51%97.49%

Total Goals West Bromwich Albion Over/Under

OverUnder
0.565.33%34.67%
1.528.60%71.40%
2.59.15%90.85%
3.52.28%97.72%

Total Goals Derby County Over/Under

OverUnder
0.568.20%31.80%
1.531.77%68.23%
2.510.89%89.11%
3.52.92%97.08%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.563.97%36.03%
1.527.19%72.81%
2.58.42%91.58%
3.52.03%97.97%

Score Props

Correct Score

West Brom
Derby County
Score012345
0
11.03%
12.63%
7.24%
2.76%
0.79%
0.18%
1
11.68%
13.38%
7.66%
2.93%
0.84%
0.19%
2
6.19%
7.09%
4.06%
1.55%
0.44%
0.10%
3
2.18%
2.50%
1.43%
0.55%
0.16%
0.04%
4
0.58%
0.66%
0.38%
0.14%
0.04%
0.01%
5
0.12%
0.14%
0.08%
0.03%
0.01%
0.00%
West Bromwich Albion
1-011.68%
2-06.19%
2-17.09%
3-02.18%
3-12.50%
3-21.43%
4-00.58%
4-10.66%
4-20.38%
4-30.14%
5-00.12%
5-10.14%
Draw
0-011.03%
1-113.38%
2-24.06%
3-30.55%
Derby County
0-112.63%
0-27.24%
1-27.66%
0-32.76%
1-32.93%
2-31.55%
0-40.79%
1-40.84%
2-40.44%
3-40.16%
0-50.18%
1-50.19%
2-50.10%

Correct Score - First Half

West Brom
Derby County
Score01234
0
36.03%
19.11%
5.07%
0.90%
0.12%
1
17.67%
9.37%
2.49%
0.44%
0.06%
2
4.33%
2.30%
0.61%
0.11%
0.01%
3
0.71%
0.38%
0.10%
0.02%
0.00%
West Bromwich Albion
1-017.67%
2-04.33%
2-12.30%
3-00.71%
3-10.38%
Draw
0-036.03%
1-19.37%
2-20.61%
Derby County
0-119.11%
0-25.07%
1-22.49%
0-30.90%
1-30.44%
2-30.11%
0-40.12%
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