Millwall at Luton Town

Updated

Millwall

28.6%28.0%43.3%
Millwall WinDrawLuton Town Win
0.99Projected Goals 1.30
2Final Score 2

Luton Town

Last 5 Games

Millwall
Money Line
W 1-0 at Stoke City+235
T 1-1 vs Burnley+220
W 2-3 vs Sheffield United+180
L 0-1 at Coventry City+185
W 2-1 at Queens Park Rangers+180
Luton Town
Money Line
W 1-0 at Birmingham City+145
L 1-0 vs Burnley+245
T 1-1 at Preston North End+165
T 1-1 at Coventry City+225
W 0-1 vs Stoke City+125

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Millwall+200+260+245+230+275+230+275+256.7
Luton Town+140+127+130+125+121+125+130+143.2
Draw+215+211+195+200+202+200+211+224.2
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Millwall+225---+245+260+260+256.7
Luton Town+110---+105+125+125+143.2
Draw+190---+185+205+205+224.2

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Millwall: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Luton Town: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Millwall: 0.0%
Luton Town: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Millwall: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Millwall: 10.0%
Luton Town: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Millwall ML moved from +260 to +253
Luton Town ML moved from +129 to +123

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Millwall: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Luton Town: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Millwall: 0.0%
Luton Town: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Millwall: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Millwall: 0.0%
Luton Town: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Millwall ML moved from +265 to +255
No Steam Moves On Luton Town ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼-102o2-109o2-105o2-109o2-108o2-109o2-105o2+101
Underu2¼-118u2-109u2-115u2-111u2-107u2-111u2-107u2-101
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2+101
Under-----u2-101

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes45.8%
 
No54.2%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 010.10%
Exactly 226.54%
Exactly 411.62%
Exactly 62.04%
Exactly 80.19%
 
Exactly 123.16%
Exactly 320.28%
Exactly 55.33%
Exactly 70.67%
Exact Goals Scored - Millwall
Exactly 036.91%
Exactly 136.79%
Exactly 218.33%
Exactly 36.09%
Exactly 41.52%
Exactly 50.30%
Exact Goals Scored - Luton Town
Exactly 027.37%
Exactly 135.47%
Exactly 222.97%
Exactly 39.92%
Exactly 43.21%
Exactly 50.83%
Exactly 60.18%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 034.60%
Exactly 219.49%
Exactly 41.83%
 
Exactly 136.72%
Exactly 36.89%
Exactly 50.39%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Millwall
Exactly 063.03%
Exactly 129.09%
Exactly 26.71%
Exactly 31.03%
Exactly 40.12%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Luton Town
Exactly 054.89%
Exactly 132.93%
Exactly 29.87%
Exactly 31.97%
Exactly 40.30%

Alternate Props

Spread

Millwall
Wins by 2+ goals10.44%
Wins by 3+ goals2.88%
Wins by 4+ goals0.61%
Luton Town
Wins by 2+ goals19.74%
Wins by 3+ goals6.97%
Wins by 4+ goals1.96%
Wins by 5+ goals0.44%

Exact Winning Margin

Millwall
Luton Town
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Millwall
Wins by 1 goal18.13%
Wins by 2 goals7.56%
Wins by 3 goals2.28%
Wins by 4 goals0.52%
Luton Town
Wins by 1 goal23.57%
Wins by 2 goals12.77%
Wins by 3 goals5.01%
Wins by 4 goals1.53%
Wins by 5 goals0.37%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.589.90%10.10%
1.566.74%33.26%
2.540.19%59.81%
3.519.91%80.09%
4.58.29%91.71%
5.52.96%97.04%

Total Goals Millwall Over/Under

OverUnder
0.563.09%36.91%
1.526.30%73.70%
2.57.97%92.03%
3.51.88%98.12%

Total Goals Luton Town Over/Under

OverUnder
0.572.63%27.37%
1.537.16%62.84%
2.514.19%85.81%
3.54.27%95.73%
4.51.05%98.95%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.565.40%34.60%
1.528.68%71.32%
2.59.19%90.81%
3.52.30%97.70%

Score Props

Correct Score

Millwall
Luton Town
Score012345
0
10.10%
13.09%
8.48%
3.66%
1.19%
0.31%
1
10.07%
13.05%
8.45%
3.65%
1.18%
0.31%
2
5.02%
6.50%
4.21%
1.82%
0.59%
0.15%
3
1.67%
2.16%
1.40%
0.60%
0.20%
0.05%
4
0.42%
0.54%
0.35%
0.15%
0.05%
0.01%
Millwall
1-010.07%
2-05.02%
2-16.50%
3-01.67%
3-12.16%
3-21.40%
4-00.42%
4-10.54%
4-20.35%
4-30.15%
Draw
0-010.10%
1-113.05%
2-24.21%
3-30.60%
Luton Town
0-113.09%
0-28.48%
1-28.45%
0-33.66%
1-33.65%
2-31.82%
0-41.19%
1-41.18%
2-40.59%
3-40.20%
0-50.31%
1-50.31%
2-50.15%

Correct Score - First Half

Millwall
Luton Town
Score01234
0
34.60%
20.75%
6.22%
1.24%
0.19%
1
15.97%
9.58%
2.87%
0.57%
0.09%
2
3.68%
2.21%
0.66%
0.13%
0.02%
3
0.57%
0.34%
0.10%
0.02%
0.00%
Millwall
1-015.97%
2-03.68%
2-12.21%
3-00.57%
3-10.34%
3-20.10%
Draw
0-034.60%
1-19.58%
2-20.66%
Luton Town
0-120.75%
0-26.22%
1-22.87%
0-31.24%
1-30.57%
2-30.13%
0-40.19%
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