Southampton at Ipswich Town

Updated

Southampton

38.4%27.6%34.0%
Southampton WinDrawIpswich Town Win
1.24Projected Goals 1.16
2Final Score 3

Ipswich Town

Last 5 Games

Southampton
Money Line
T 1-1 vs Middlesbrough-180
W 2-4 vs Sunderland-300
W 4-3 at Birmingham City-135
L 2-1 vs Millwall-240
L 2-1 vs Hull City-200
Ipswich Town
Money Line
W 1-0 at Blackburn-110
W 0-6 vs Sheffield Wednesday-170
L 1-2 at Cardiff City-135
W 2-3 vs Bristol City-165
W 2-0 at Plymouth Argyle-125

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Southampton+192+181+175+156+178+156+181+176.3
Ipswich Town+142+139+140+139+141+139+141+158.0
Draw+252+275+255+270+275+270+275+299.3
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Southampton+160---+145+180+180+176.3
Ipswich Town+150---+135+135+135+158.0
Draw+275---+240+275+275+299.3

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Southampton: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Ipswich Town: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Southampton: 30.0%
Ipswich Town: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Southampton: 20.0%
Ipswich Town: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Southampton ML moved from +163 to +156
Ipswich Town ML moved from +142 to +133

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Southampton: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Ipswich Town: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Southampton: 30.0%
Ipswich Town: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Southampton: 10.0%
Ipswich Town: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Southampton ML
Ipswich Town ML moved from +145 to +135

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-132o3-124o3-125o3¼+101o3-123o3¼+101o3-123o3¼+110
Underu2½+112u3+106u3+105u3¼-121u3+103u3¼-121u3¼-121u3¼-110
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o3¼+110
Under-----u3¼-110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o2½-132 to o3+111
The Under moved from u3¼-110 to u3-108

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes48.8%
 
No51.2%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 09.06%
Exactly 226.12%
Exactly 412.56%
Exactly 62.41%
Exactly 80.25%
 
Exactly 121.75%
Exactly 320.91%
Exactly 56.03%
Exactly 70.83%
Exact Goals Scored - Southampton
Exactly 028.75%
Exactly 135.84%
Exactly 222.34%
Exactly 39.28%
Exactly 42.89%
Exactly 50.72%
Exactly 60.15%
Exact Goals Scored - Ipswich Town
Exactly 031.50%
Exactly 136.39%
Exactly 221.02%
Exactly 38.09%
Exactly 42.34%
Exactly 50.54%
Exactly 60.10%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 032.89%
Exactly 220.34%
Exactly 42.10%
 
Exactly 136.57%
Exactly 37.54%
Exactly 50.47%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Southampton
Exactly 056.15%
Exactly 132.41%
Exactly 29.35%
Exactly 31.80%
Exactly 40.26%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Ipswich Town
Exactly 058.57%
Exactly 131.33%
Exactly 28.38%
Exactly 31.49%
Exactly 40.20%

Alternate Props

Spread

Southampton
Wins by 2+ goals16.75%
Wins by 3+ goals5.67%
Wins by 4+ goals1.53%
Wins by 5+ goals0.33%
Ipswich Town
Wins by 2+ goals13.93%
Wins by 3+ goals4.41%
Wins by 4+ goals1.11%
Wins by 5+ goals0.22%

Exact Winning Margin

Southampton
Ipswich Town
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Southampton
Wins by 1 goal21.62%
Wins by 2 goals11.08%
Wins by 3 goals4.14%
Wins by 4 goals1.20%
Wins by 5 goals0.28%
Ipswich Town
Wins by 1 goal20.04%
Wins by 2 goals9.52%
Wins by 3 goals3.30%
Wins by 4 goals0.89%
Wins by 5 goals0.19%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.590.94%9.06%
1.569.19%30.81%
2.543.08%56.92%
3.522.16%77.84%
4.59.61%90.39%
5.53.58%96.42%
6.51.16%98.84%

Total Goals Southampton Over/Under

OverUnder
0.571.25%28.75%
1.535.41%64.59%
2.513.07%86.93%
3.53.79%96.21%

Total Goals Ipswich Town Over/Under

OverUnder
0.568.50%31.50%
1.532.12%67.88%
2.511.10%88.90%
3.53.00%97.00%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.567.11%32.89%
1.530.54%69.46%
2.510.20%89.80%
3.52.66%97.34%

Score Props

Correct Score

Southampton
Ipswich Town
Score012345
0
9.06%
10.46%
6.04%
2.33%
0.67%
0.16%
1
11.29%
13.04%
7.53%
2.90%
0.84%
0.19%
2
7.03%
8.13%
4.69%
1.81%
0.52%
0.12%
3
2.92%
3.38%
1.95%
0.75%
0.22%
0.05%
4
0.91%
1.05%
0.61%
0.23%
0.07%
0.02%
5
0.23%
0.26%
0.15%
0.06%
0.02%
0.00%
Southampton
1-011.29%
2-07.03%
2-18.13%
3-02.92%
3-13.38%
3-21.95%
4-00.91%
4-11.05%
4-20.61%
4-30.23%
5-00.23%
5-10.26%
5-20.15%
Draw
0-09.06%
1-113.04%
2-24.69%
3-30.75%
Ipswich Town
0-110.46%
0-26.04%
1-27.53%
0-32.33%
1-32.90%
2-31.81%
0-40.67%
1-40.84%
2-40.52%
3-40.22%
0-50.16%
1-50.19%
2-50.12%

Correct Score - First Half

Southampton
Ipswich Town
Score01234
0
32.89%
17.59%
4.71%
0.84%
0.11%
1
18.98%
10.15%
2.72%
0.48%
0.06%
2
5.48%
2.93%
0.78%
0.14%
0.02%
3
1.05%
0.56%
0.15%
0.03%
0.00%
4
0.15%
0.08%
0.02%
0.00%
0.00%
Southampton
1-018.98%
2-05.48%
2-12.93%
3-01.05%
3-10.56%
3-20.15%
4-00.15%
Draw
0-032.89%
1-110.15%
2-20.78%
Ipswich Town
0-117.59%
0-24.71%
1-22.72%
0-30.84%
1-30.48%
2-30.14%
0-40.11%