Burnley at Sunderland

Updated

Burnley

47.1%27.3%25.6%
Burnley WinDrawSunderland Win
1.38Projected Goals 0.95
4Final Score 2

Sunderland

Last 5 Games

Burnley
Money Line
T 1-1 at Birmingham City+115
W 0-4 vs Swansea City-140
W 1-0 at Coventry City+130
T 1-1 vs Stoke City-160
T 1-1 at Cardiff City+135
Sunderland
Money Line
L 0-2 at Blackburn+220
W 1-2 vs Wigan Athletic+120
L 1-2 at Swansea City+260
T 0-0 vs Blackpool-115
T 0-0 vs Preston North End+120

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Burnley+155+135+135+135-+135+135+142.4
Sunderland+185+230+220+199-+199+230+255.4
Draw+210+220+200+210-+210+220+226.7
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Burnley+145---+110+130+130+142.4
Sunderland+195---+210+225+225+255.4
Draw+230---+205+225+225+226.7

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Burnley: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Sunderland: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Burnley: 20.0%
Sunderland: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Burnley: 0.0%
Sunderland: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Burnley ML moved from +137 to +125
Sunderland ML moved from +200 to +194

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Burnley: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Sunderland: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Burnley: 20.0%
Sunderland: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Burnley: 0.0%
Sunderland: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Burnley ML moved from +125 to +110
Sunderland ML moved from +290 to +190

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼-115o2-146o2¼+102o2¼-105-o2¼-105o2¼+102o2½+140
Underu2¼-105u2+124u2¼-122u2¼-115-u2¼-115u2¼-115u2½-140
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½+140
Under-----u2½-140

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o2¼-114 to o2½-105
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes45.9%
 
No54.1%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 09.69%
Exactly 226.40%
Exactly 411.98%
Exactly 62.18%
Exactly 80.21%
 
Exactly 122.62%
Exactly 320.54%
Exactly 55.59%
Exactly 70.73%
Exact Goals Scored - Burnley
Exactly 024.97%
Exactly 134.65%
Exactly 224.03%
Exactly 311.12%
Exactly 43.86%
Exactly 51.07%
Exactly 60.25%
Exact Goals Scored - Sunderland
Exactly 038.81%
Exactly 136.73%
Exactly 217.38%
Exactly 35.48%
Exactly 41.30%
Exactly 50.25%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 033.94%
Exactly 219.82%
Exactly 41.93%
 
Exactly 136.67%
Exactly 37.14%
Exactly 50.42%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Burnley
Exactly 052.60%
Exactly 133.79%
Exactly 210.85%
Exactly 32.32%
Exactly 40.37%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Sunderland
Exactly 064.52%
Exactly 128.27%
Exactly 26.19%
Exactly 30.90%

Alternate Props

Spread

Burnley
Wins by 2+ goals22.61%
Wins by 3+ goals8.46%
Wins by 4+ goals2.53%
Wins by 5+ goals0.60%
Sunderland
Wins by 2+ goals8.93%
Wins by 3+ goals2.35%
Wins by 4+ goals0.47%

Exact Winning Margin

Burnley
Sunderland
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Burnley
Wins by 1 goal24.43%
Wins by 2 goals14.14%
Wins by 3 goals5.93%
Wins by 4 goals1.93%
Wins by 5 goals0.51%
Sunderland
Wins by 1 goal16.67%
Wins by 2 goals6.58%
Wins by 3 goals1.88%
Wins by 4 goals0.41%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.590.31%9.69%
1.567.69%32.31%
2.541.29%58.71%
3.520.76%79.24%
4.58.78%91.22%
5.53.18%96.82%
6.51.01%98.99%

Total Goals Burnley Over/Under

OverUnder
0.575.03%24.97%
1.540.38%59.62%
2.516.35%83.65%
3.55.23%94.77%
4.51.38%98.62%

Total Goals Sunderland Over/Under

OverUnder
0.561.19%38.81%
1.524.46%75.54%
2.57.07%92.93%
3.51.59%98.41%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.566.06%33.94%
1.529.39%70.61%
2.59.57%90.43%
3.52.43%97.57%

Score Props

Correct Score

Burnley
Sunderland
Score01234
0
9.69%
9.17%
4.34%
1.37%
0.32%
1
13.45%
12.73%
6.02%
1.90%
0.45%
2
9.33%
8.83%
4.18%
1.32%
0.31%
3
4.31%
4.08%
1.93%
0.61%
0.14%
4
1.50%
1.42%
0.67%
0.21%
0.05%
5
0.42%
0.39%
0.19%
0.06%
0.01%
Burnley
1-013.45%
2-09.33%
2-18.83%
3-04.31%
3-14.08%
3-21.93%
4-01.50%
4-11.42%
4-20.67%
4-30.21%
5-00.42%
5-10.39%
5-20.19%
Draw
0-09.69%
1-112.73%
2-24.18%
3-30.61%
Sunderland
0-19.17%
0-24.34%
1-26.02%
0-31.37%
1-31.90%
2-31.32%
0-40.32%
1-40.45%
2-40.31%
3-40.14%

Correct Score - First Half

Burnley
Sunderland
Score0123
0
33.94%
14.87%
3.26%
0.48%
1
21.80%
9.55%
2.09%
0.31%
2
7.00%
3.07%
0.67%
0.10%
3
1.50%
0.66%
0.14%
0.02%
4
0.24%
0.11%
0.02%
0.00%
Burnley
1-021.80%
2-07.00%
2-13.07%
3-01.50%
3-10.66%
3-20.14%
4-00.24%
4-10.11%
Draw
0-033.94%
1-19.55%
2-20.67%
Sunderland
0-114.87%
0-23.26%
1-22.09%
0-30.48%
1-30.31%