Millwall at Cardiff City

Updated

Millwall

33.9%29.1%37.0%
Millwall WinDrawCardiff City Win
1.08Projected Goals 1.13
0Final Score 1

Cardiff City

Last 5 Games

Millwall
Money Line
T 1-1 vs Sunderland+210
L 1-3 at Ipswich Town+420
L 3-0 vs Coventry City+165
W 4-0 at Sheffield Wednesday+205
L 1-0 vs Southampton+255
Cardiff City
Money Line
L 0-2 at Southampton+390
L 1-0 vs West Bromwich Albion+215
W 2-1 at Preston North End+225
L 3-2 vs Norwich City+115
T 0-0 at Stoke City+280

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Millwall+276+265+250+235+259+235+265+261.4
Cardiff City+110+117+120+121+119+121+121+138.4
Draw+236+228+205+205+226+205+228+229.1
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Millwall+280---+255+275+275+261.4
Cardiff City+105----105+110+110+138.4
Draw+235---+200+225+225+229.1

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Millwall: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Cardiff City: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Millwall: 30.0%
Cardiff City: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Millwall: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Millwall: 10.0%
Cardiff City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Millwall ML moved from +265 to +259
Cardiff City ML moved from +112 to +106

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Millwall: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Cardiff City: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Millwall: 30.0%
Cardiff City: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Millwall: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Millwall: 20.0%
Cardiff City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Millwall ML moved from +265 to +250
No Steam Moves On Cardiff City ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+121o2-139o2¼+102o2¼+111o2¼+104o2¼+111o2¼+111o2¼+120
Underu2½-143u2+117u2¼-122u2¼-131u2¼-124u2¼-131u2¼-122u2¼-120
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¼+120
Under-----u2¼-120

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes44.6%
 
No55.4%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 011.02%
Exactly 226.80%
Exactly 410.86%
Exactly 61.76%
Exactly 80.15%
 
Exactly 124.31%
Exactly 319.70%
Exactly 54.79%
Exactly 70.55%
Exact Goals Scored - Millwall
Exactly 034.25%
Exactly 136.70%
Exactly 219.66%
Exactly 37.02%
Exactly 41.88%
Exactly 50.40%
Exact Goals Scored - Cardiff City
Exactly 032.19%
Exactly 136.49%
Exactly 220.68%
Exactly 37.82%
Exactly 42.22%
Exactly 50.50%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 036.03%
Exactly 218.77%
Exactly 41.63%
 
Exactly 136.78%
Exactly 36.39%
Exactly 50.33%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Millwall
Exactly 060.89%
Exactly 130.21%
Exactly 27.49%
Exactly 31.24%
Exactly 40.15%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Cardiff City
Exactly 059.16%
Exactly 131.05%
Exactly 28.15%
Exactly 31.43%
Exactly 40.19%

Alternate Props

Spread

Millwall
Wins by 2+ goals13.22%
Wins by 3+ goals3.91%
Wins by 4+ goals0.88%
Wins by 5+ goals0.13%
Cardiff City
Wins by 2+ goals15.13%
Wins by 3+ goals4.70%
Wins by 4+ goals1.12%
Wins by 5+ goals0.17%

Exact Winning Margin

Millwall
Cardiff City
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Millwall
Wins by 1 goal20.59%
Wins by 2 goals9.31%
Wins by 3 goals3.03%
Wins by 4 goals0.75%
Wins by 5 goals0.13%
Cardiff City
Wins by 1 goal21.79%
Wins by 2 goals10.42%
Wins by 3 goals3.59%
Wins by 4 goals0.94%
Wins by 5 goals0.17%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.588.98%11.02%
1.564.67%35.33%
2.537.86%62.14%
3.518.16%81.84%
4.57.30%92.70%
5.52.51%97.49%

Total Goals Millwall Over/Under

OverUnder
0.565.75%34.25%
1.529.05%70.95%
2.59.39%90.61%
3.52.37%97.63%

Total Goals Cardiff City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.567.81%32.19%
1.531.33%68.67%
2.510.65%89.35%
3.52.83%97.17%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.563.97%36.03%
1.527.19%72.81%
2.58.42%91.58%
3.52.03%97.97%

Score Props

Correct Score

Millwall
Cardiff City
Score012345
0
11.02%
12.50%
7.08%
2.68%
0.76%
0.17%
1
11.81%
13.39%
7.59%
2.87%
0.81%
0.18%
2
6.33%
7.17%
4.07%
1.54%
0.44%
0.10%
3
2.26%
2.56%
1.45%
0.55%
0.16%
0.04%
4
0.61%
0.69%
0.39%
0.15%
0.04%
0.01%
5
0.13%
0.15%
0.08%
0.03%
0.01%
0.00%
Millwall
1-011.81%
2-06.33%
2-17.17%
3-02.26%
3-12.56%
3-21.45%
4-00.61%
4-10.69%
4-20.39%
4-30.15%
5-00.13%
5-10.15%
Draw
0-011.02%
1-113.39%
2-24.07%
3-30.55%
Cardiff City
0-112.50%
0-27.08%
1-27.59%
0-32.68%
1-32.87%
2-31.54%
0-40.76%
1-40.81%
2-40.44%
3-40.16%
0-50.17%
1-50.18%

Correct Score - First Half

Millwall
Cardiff City
Score01234
0
36.03%
18.91%
4.96%
0.87%
0.11%
1
17.87%
9.38%
2.46%
0.43%
0.06%
2
4.43%
2.33%
0.61%
0.11%
0.01%
3
0.73%
0.38%
0.10%
0.02%
0.00%
Millwall
1-017.87%
2-04.43%
2-12.33%
3-00.73%
3-10.38%
3-20.10%
Draw
0-036.03%
1-19.38%
2-20.61%
Cardiff City
0-118.91%
0-24.96%
1-22.46%
0-30.87%
1-30.43%
2-30.11%
0-40.11%
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