Swansea City at Luton Town

Updated

Swansea City

39.4%28.2%32.5%
Swansea City WinDrawLuton Town Win
1.26Projected Goals 1.04
3Final Score 3

Luton Town

Last 5 Games

Swansea City
Money Line
T 0-0 vs Millwall+155
T 0-0 vs Hull City+125
L 1-3 at Preston North End+235
W 1-0 at Bristol City+260
L 3-1 vs Stoke City+200
Luton Town
Money Line
T 1-1 at Bristol City+225
T 2-2 at Blackburn+240
L 5-0 vs Birmingham City+135
W 1-0 at Barnsley+230
L 2-3 at West Bromwich Albion+440

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:5.0%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Swansea City+202+260+255+268+255+255+268+278.2
Luton Town+137+117+119+123+118+119+123+130.2
Draw+225+215+220+224+214+220+224+232.0
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Swansea City+245---+225+260+260+278.2
Luton Town+115---+100+120+120+130.2
Draw+235---+210+215+215+232.0

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Swansea City: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Luton Town: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Swansea City: 40.0%
Luton Town: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Swansea City: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Swansea City: 0.0%
Luton Town: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Swansea City ML moved from +274 to +268
Luton Town ML moved from +117 to +111

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Swansea City: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Luton Town: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Swansea City: 40.0%
Luton Town: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Swansea City: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Swansea City: 0.0%
Luton Town: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Swansea City ML moved from +260 to +245
No Steam Moves On Luton Town ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:0.9%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+118o2½+120o2¼-109o2¼-105-o2¼-109o2¼-105o2¼+102
Underu2½-143u2½-145u2¼-111u2¼-107-u2¼-111u2½-145u2¼-102
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¼+102
Under-----u2¼-102

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes46.3%
 
No53.7%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 010.05%
Exactly 226.53%
Exactly 411.67%
Exactly 62.05%
Exactly 80.19%
 
Exactly 123.10%
Exactly 320.31%
Exactly 55.36%
Exactly 70.67%
Exact Goals Scored - Swansea City
Exactly 028.39%
Exactly 135.75%
Exactly 222.50%
Exactly 39.45%
Exactly 42.97%
Exactly 50.75%
Exactly 60.16%
Exact Goals Scored - Luton Town
Exactly 035.41%
Exactly 136.76%
Exactly 219.08%
Exactly 36.60%
Exactly 41.71%
Exactly 50.36%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 034.52%
Exactly 219.53%
Exactly 41.84%
 
Exactly 136.72%
Exactly 36.92%
Exactly 50.39%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Swansea City
Exactly 055.82%
Exactly 132.54%
Exactly 29.49%
Exactly 31.84%
Exactly 40.27%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Luton Town
Exactly 061.84%
Exactly 129.72%
Exactly 27.14%
Exactly 31.14%
Exactly 40.14%

Alternate Props

Spread

Swansea City
Wins by 2+ goals18.39%
Wins by 3+ goals6.33%
Wins by 4+ goals1.74%
Wins by 5+ goals0.38%
Luton Town
Wins by 2+ goals11.48%
Wins by 3+ goals3.28%
Wins by 4+ goals0.71%
Wins by 5+ goals0.10%

Exact Winning Margin

Swansea City
Luton Town
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Swansea City
Wins by 1 goal22.94%
Wins by 2 goals12.06%
Wins by 3 goals4.59%
Wins by 4 goals1.36%
Wins by 5 goals0.32%
Luton Town
Wins by 1 goal18.92%
Wins by 2 goals8.20%
Wins by 3 goals2.57%
Wins by 4 goals0.61%
Wins by 5 goals0.10%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.589.95%10.05%
1.566.85%33.15%
2.540.32%59.68%
3.520.01%79.99%
4.58.34%91.66%
5.52.98%97.02%

Total Goals Swansea City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.571.61%28.39%
1.535.86%64.14%
2.513.36%86.64%
3.53.91%96.09%

Total Goals Luton Town Over/Under

OverUnder
0.564.59%35.41%
1.527.83%72.17%
2.58.74%91.26%
3.52.14%97.86%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.565.48%34.52%
1.528.76%71.24%
2.59.24%90.76%
3.52.31%97.69%

Score Props

Correct Score

Swansea City
Luton Town
Score012345
0
10.05%
10.44%
5.42%
1.87%
0.49%
0.10%
1
12.66%
13.14%
6.82%
2.36%
0.61%
0.13%
2
7.97%
8.27%
4.29%
1.49%
0.39%
0.08%
3
3.34%
3.47%
1.80%
0.62%
0.16%
0.03%
4
1.05%
1.09%
0.57%
0.20%
0.05%
0.01%
5
0.27%
0.28%
0.14%
0.05%
0.01%
0.00%
Swansea City
1-012.66%
2-07.97%
2-18.27%
3-03.34%
3-13.47%
3-21.80%
4-01.05%
4-11.09%
4-20.57%
4-30.20%
5-00.27%
5-10.28%
5-20.14%
Draw
0-010.05%
1-113.14%
2-24.29%
3-30.62%
Luton Town
0-110.44%
0-25.42%
1-26.82%
0-31.87%
1-32.36%
2-31.49%
0-40.49%
1-40.61%
2-40.39%
3-40.16%
0-50.10%
1-50.13%

Correct Score - First Half

Swansea City
Luton Town
Score0123
0
34.52%
16.59%
3.99%
0.64%
1
20.12%
9.67%
2.32%
0.37%
2
5.87%
2.82%
0.68%
0.11%
3
1.14%
0.55%
0.13%
0.02%
4
0.17%
0.08%
0.02%
0.00%
Swansea City
1-020.12%
2-05.87%
2-12.82%
3-01.14%
3-10.55%
3-20.13%
4-00.17%
Draw
0-034.52%
1-19.67%
2-20.68%
Luton Town
0-116.59%
0-23.99%
1-22.32%
0-30.64%
1-30.37%
2-30.11%
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