Swansea City at Birmingham City

Updated

Swansea City

30.7%28.0%41.3%
Swansea City WinDrawBirmingham City Win
1.06Projected Goals 1.27
2Final Score 2

Birmingham City

Last 5 Games

Swansea City
Money Line
T 2-2 vs Wigan Athletic+100
L 0-1 at Preston North End+210
T 1-1 at Bristol City+205
W 0-2 vs Cardiff City+115
W 2-3 vs Reading+105
Birmingham City
Money Line
W 2-1 at Stoke City+285
T 0-0 vs Millwall+135
W 0-2 vs Queens Park Rangers+130
L 1-2 at Blackburn+260
T 1-1 vs Burnley+255

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Swansea City+173+174+165+144+172+144+174+179.5
Birmingham City+179+177+180+185+187+185+187+194.9
Draw+218+219+200+215+221+215+221+229.9
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Swansea City+170---+145+165+165+179.5
Birmingham City+120---+155+175+175+194.9
Draw+205---+205+225+225+229.9

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Swansea City: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Birmingham City: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Swansea City: 0.0%
Birmingham City: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Swansea City: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Swansea City: 0.0%
Birmingham City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Swansea City ML moved from +148 to +142
Birmingham City ML moved from +154 to +147

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Swansea City: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Birmingham City: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Swansea City: 0.0%
Birmingham City: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Swansea City: 20.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Swansea City: 0.0%
Birmingham City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Swansea City ML moved from +180 to +150
No Steam Moves On Birmingham City ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+114o2-133o2-128o2-124o2½+140o2-124o2-124o2½+146
Underu2½-134u2+113u2+108u2+104u2½-155u2+104u2+113u2½-146
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½+146
Under-----u2½-146

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes46.9%
 
No53.1%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 09.75%
Exactly 226.42%
Exactly 411.93%
Exactly 62.16%
Exactly 80.21%
 
Exactly 122.70%
Exactly 320.50%
Exactly 55.56%
Exactly 70.72%
Exact Goals Scored - Swansea City
Exactly 034.80%
Exactly 136.73%
Exactly 219.39%
Exactly 36.82%
Exactly 41.80%
Exactly 50.38%
Exact Goals Scored - Birmingham City
Exactly 028.02%
Exactly 135.65%
Exactly 222.68%
Exactly 39.62%
Exactly 43.06%
Exactly 50.78%
Exactly 60.17%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 034.03%
Exactly 219.77%
Exactly 41.91%
 
Exactly 136.68%
Exactly 37.10%
Exactly 50.41%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Swansea City
Exactly 061.34%
Exactly 129.98%
Exactly 27.33%
Exactly 31.19%
Exactly 40.15%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Birmingham City
Exactly 055.48%
Exactly 132.68%
Exactly 29.63%
Exactly 31.89%
Exactly 40.28%

Alternate Props

Spread

Swansea City
Wins by 2+ goals11.70%
Wins by 3+ goals3.39%
Wins by 4+ goals0.75%
Wins by 5+ goals0.11%
Birmingham City
Wins by 2+ goals18.48%
Wins by 3+ goals6.40%
Wins by 4+ goals1.77%
Wins by 5+ goals0.39%

Exact Winning Margin

Swansea City
Birmingham City
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Swansea City
Wins by 1 goal18.94%
Wins by 2 goals8.31%
Wins by 3 goals2.64%
Wins by 4 goals0.64%
Wins by 5 goals0.11%
Birmingham City
Wins by 1 goal22.82%
Wins by 2 goals12.07%
Wins by 3 goals4.63%
Wins by 4 goals1.38%
Wins by 5 goals0.33%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.590.25%9.75%
1.567.56%32.44%
2.541.14%58.86%
3.520.64%79.36%
4.58.71%91.29%
5.53.15%96.85%

Total Goals Swansea City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.565.20%34.80%
1.528.47%71.53%
2.59.08%90.92%
3.52.26%97.74%

Total Goals Birmingham City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.571.98%28.02%
1.536.34%63.66%
2.513.66%86.34%
3.54.04%95.96%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.565.97%34.03%
1.529.29%70.71%
2.59.52%90.48%
3.52.41%97.59%

Score Props

Correct Score

Swansea City
Birmingham City
Score012345
0
9.75%
12.40%
7.89%
3.35%
1.06%
0.27%
1
10.29%
13.09%
8.33%
3.53%
1.12%
0.29%
2
5.43%
6.91%
4.40%
1.86%
0.59%
0.15%
3
1.91%
2.43%
1.55%
0.66%
0.21%
0.05%
4
0.50%
0.64%
0.41%
0.17%
0.06%
0.01%
5
0.11%
0.14%
0.09%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
Swansea City
1-010.29%
2-05.43%
2-16.91%
3-01.91%
3-12.43%
3-21.55%
4-00.50%
4-10.64%
4-20.41%
4-30.17%
5-00.11%
5-10.14%
Draw
0-09.75%
1-113.09%
2-24.40%
3-30.66%
Birmingham City
0-112.40%
0-27.89%
1-28.33%
0-33.35%
1-33.53%
2-31.86%
0-41.06%
1-41.12%
2-40.59%
3-40.21%
0-50.27%
1-50.29%
2-50.15%

Correct Score - First Half

Swansea City
Birmingham City
Score01234
0
34.03%
20.05%
5.91%
1.16%
0.17%
1
16.63%
9.80%
2.89%
0.57%
0.08%
2
4.07%
2.39%
0.71%
0.14%
0.02%
3
0.66%
0.39%
0.11%
0.02%
0.00%
Swansea City
1-016.63%
2-04.07%
2-12.39%
3-00.66%
3-10.39%
3-20.11%
Draw
0-034.03%
1-19.80%
2-20.71%
Birmingham City
0-120.05%
0-25.91%
1-22.89%
0-31.16%
1-30.57%
2-30.14%
0-40.17%
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