Swansea City at Birmingham City

Updated

Swansea City

30.7%28.0%41.3%
Swansea City WinDrawBirmingham City Win
1.06Projected Goals 1.27
2Final Score 2

Birmingham City

Last 5 Games

Swansea City
Money Line
T 2-2 vs Wigan Athletic+100
L 0-1 at Preston North End+210
T 1-1 at Bristol City+205
W 0-2 vs Cardiff City+115
W 2-3 vs Reading+105
Birmingham City
Money Line
W 2-1 at Stoke City+285
T 0-0 vs Millwall+135
W 0-2 vs Queens Park Rangers+130
L 1-2 at Blackburn+260
T 1-1 vs Burnley+255

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Swansea City+173+174+165+144+172+144+174+179.5
Birmingham City+179+177+180+185+187+185+187+194.9
Draw+218+219+200+215+221+215+221+229.9
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Swansea City+170---+145+165+165+179.5
Birmingham City+120---+155+175+175+194.9
Draw+205---+205+225+225+229.9

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Swansea City: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Birmingham City: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Swansea City: 0.0%
Birmingham City: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Swansea City: 0.0%
Birmingham City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Swansea City ML moved from +148 to +142
Birmingham City ML moved from +154 to +147

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Swansea City: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Birmingham City: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Swansea City: 0.0%
Birmingham City: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Swansea City: 0.0%
Birmingham City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Swansea City ML moved from +180 to +150
No Steam Moves On Birmingham City ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+114o2-133o2-128o2-124o2½+140o2-124o2-124o2½+146
Underu2½-134u2+113u2+108u2+104u2½-155u2+104u2+113u2½-146
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½+146
Under-----u2½-146

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes46.9%
 
No53.1%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 09.75%
Exactly 226.42%
Exactly 411.93%
Exactly 62.16%
Exactly 80.21%
 
Exactly 122.70%
Exactly 320.50%
Exactly 55.56%
Exactly 70.72%
Exact Goals Scored - Swansea City
Exactly 034.80%
Exactly 136.73%
Exactly 219.39%
Exactly 36.82%
Exactly 41.80%
Exactly 50.38%
Exact Goals Scored - Birmingham City
Exactly 028.02%
Exactly 135.65%
Exactly 222.68%
Exactly 39.62%
Exactly 43.06%
Exactly 50.78%
Exactly 60.17%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 034.03%
Exactly 219.77%
Exactly 41.91%
 
Exactly 136.68%
Exactly 37.10%
Exactly 50.41%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Swansea City
Exactly 061.34%
Exactly 129.98%
Exactly 27.33%
Exactly 31.19%
Exactly 40.15%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Birmingham City
Exactly 055.48%
Exactly 132.68%
Exactly 29.63%
Exactly 31.89%
Exactly 40.28%

Alternate Props

Spread

Swansea City
Wins by 2+ goals11.70%
Wins by 3+ goals3.39%
Wins by 4+ goals0.75%
Wins by 5+ goals0.11%
Birmingham City
Wins by 2+ goals18.48%
Wins by 3+ goals6.40%
Wins by 4+ goals1.77%
Wins by 5+ goals0.39%

Exact Winning Margin

Swansea City
Birmingham City
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Swansea City
Wins by 1 goal18.94%
Wins by 2 goals8.31%
Wins by 3 goals2.64%
Wins by 4 goals0.64%
Wins by 5 goals0.11%
Birmingham City
Wins by 1 goal22.82%
Wins by 2 goals12.07%
Wins by 3 goals4.63%
Wins by 4 goals1.38%
Wins by 5 goals0.33%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.590.25%9.75%
1.567.56%32.44%
2.541.14%58.86%
3.520.64%79.36%
4.58.71%91.29%
5.53.15%96.85%

Total Goals Swansea City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.565.20%34.80%
1.528.47%71.53%
2.59.08%90.92%
3.52.26%97.74%

Total Goals Birmingham City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.571.98%28.02%
1.536.34%63.66%
2.513.66%86.34%
3.54.04%95.96%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.565.97%34.03%
1.529.29%70.71%
2.59.52%90.48%
3.52.41%97.59%

Score Props

Correct Score

Swansea City
Birmingham City
Score012345
0
9.75%
12.40%
7.89%
3.35%
1.06%
0.27%
1
10.29%
13.09%
8.33%
3.53%
1.12%
0.29%
2
5.43%
6.91%
4.40%
1.86%
0.59%
0.15%
3
1.91%
2.43%
1.55%
0.66%
0.21%
0.05%
4
0.50%
0.64%
0.41%
0.17%
0.06%
0.01%
5
0.11%
0.14%
0.09%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
Swansea City
1-010.29%
2-05.43%
2-16.91%
3-01.91%
3-12.43%
3-21.55%
4-00.50%
4-10.64%
4-20.41%
4-30.17%
5-00.11%
5-10.14%
Draw
0-09.75%
1-113.09%
2-24.40%
3-30.66%
Birmingham City
0-112.40%
0-27.89%
1-28.33%
0-33.35%
1-33.53%
2-31.86%
0-41.06%
1-41.12%
2-40.59%
3-40.21%
0-50.27%
1-50.29%
2-50.15%

Correct Score - First Half

Swansea City
Birmingham City
Score01234
0
34.03%
20.05%
5.91%
1.16%
0.17%
1
16.63%
9.80%
2.89%
0.57%
0.08%
2
4.07%
2.39%
0.71%
0.14%
0.02%
3
0.66%
0.39%
0.11%
0.02%
0.00%
Swansea City
1-016.63%
2-04.07%
2-12.39%
3-00.66%
3-10.39%
3-20.11%
Draw
0-034.03%
1-19.80%
2-20.71%
Birmingham City
0-120.05%
0-25.91%
1-22.89%
0-31.16%
1-30.57%
2-30.14%
0-40.17%