England Championship Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for November 26, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Coventry City
Burnley 		22.8%
51.2%		26.0%
+247
+118
+260
+110
0.91
1.51		2.42
o2¼-111
u2½-132

Volatility Bet Value Active
Sheffield Wednesday
Hull City 		29.1%
43.9%		27.0%
+206
+139
+205
+135
1.07
1.37		2.44
o2½-103
u2½-109

Plymouth Argyle
Norwich City 		12.9%
68.1%		19.0%
+467
-180
+480
-190
0.81
2.14		2.95
o3-110
u3-107

Oxford United
Sheffield United 		8.5%
75.7%		15.7%
+625
-210
+625
-230
0.67
2.40		3.07
o2½-122
u2¾-119

Preston North End
Stoke City 		18.6%
57.9%		23.6%
+238
+122
+230
+120
0.87
1.73		2.60
o2¼-108
u2½-134

Volatility Bet Value Active
Bristol City
Watford 		25.9%
47.8%		26.3%
+209
+136
+205
+130
1.00
1.47		2.47
o2½-107
u2½-105

West Bromwich Albion
Sunderland 		29.0%
43.6%		27.4%
+218
+132
+225
+130
1.04
1.34		2.38
o2¼-101
u2½-142

Volatility Bet Value Active
Games for Nov 25, 2024
Games for Nov 27, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Hull City
Watford		18.4%
58.4%		23.2%
+152
+190
+140
+190
0
0		-1.28388-1.28844-1.46300
Bristol City
Norwich City		22.8%
52.1%		25.1%
+392
-140
+415
-160
1
1		-1.41840-1.47238-1.38234
Millwall
Sunderland		35.2%
35.2%		29.6%
+258
+121
+265
+115
1
0		-1.31230-1.34504-1.04378
West Bromwich Albion
Leicester City		21.3%
55.3%		23.4%
+534
-178
+520
-190
1
2		-0.48521-0.47332-0.59247
Preston North End
Southampton		9.7%
74.2%		16.1%
+880
-304
+900
-340
0
3		-0.31633-0.30341-0.29822
Watford
Southampton		15.3%
64.0%		20.6%
+609
-236
+600
-255
2
3		-0.39019-0.38296-0.44607
Rotherham United
Swansea City		18.0%
59.2%		22.8%
+782
-277
+775
-295
0
1		-0.34752-0.34222-0.52494
Sunderland
West Bromwich Albion		11.2%
70.5%		18.3%
+314
-105
+320
-105
1
0		-1.45098-1.47854-2.19015
Coventry City
Birmingham City		34.4%
36.4%		29.2%
+125
+242
+115
+230
0
3		-1.23457-1.24258-1.01005
Stoke City
Sheffield Wednesday		36.7%
34.4%		28.9%
+177
+168
+170
+170
1
1		-1.22397-1.21503-1.24147
Cardiff City
Millwall		20.9%
54.4%		24.7%
+362
-102
+355
-110
1
3		-0.70924-0.69663-0.60916
Queens Park Rangers
Hull City		24.9%
50.0%		25.1%
+264
+115
+255
+110
0
3		-0.79392-0.79264-0.69355
Huddersfield
Bristol City		24.1%
50.6%		25.3%
+234
+132
+220
+130
1
1		-1.22469-1.24299-1.37476
Middlesbrough
Ipswich Town		32.1%
39.6%		28.2%
+325
-120
+315
-125
1
1		-1.41276-1.41256-1.26514
Norwich City
Preston North End		32.4%
38.4%		29.2%
+145
+217
+135
+210
1
0		-0.92329-0.90429-1.12599
Blackburn
Leeds United		9.4%
75.1%		15.5%
+812
-292
+850
-340
1
0		-2.24309-2.30339-2.36894
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.65913 
Sportsbooks11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.65427 
DRatings11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.66345
-0.00432
-0.00918

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 11/10/24
#TeamWLTPtsWin LeaguePromotionPromotion PlayoffRelegation
1Sheffield United (10-2-3, 33 pts)24.210.411.484.032.6%66.6%30.2%0.0%
2Sunderland (9-2-4, 31 pts)20.112.813.173.43.7%11.5%55.6%0.0%
3Leeds United (8-2-5, 29 pts)24.48.712.986.052.3%78.9%19.2%0.0%
4Burnley (7-2-6, 27 pts)19.611.714.773.44.2%14.9%53.1%0.0%
5West Bromwich Albion (6-2-7, 25 pts)17.911.916.169.91.6%5.7%42.6%0.1%
6Watford (8-6-1, 25 pts)19.117.010.067.20.5%2.1%27.5%0.6%
7Middlesbrough (7-5-3, 24 pts)21.213.211.575.34.9%17.2%59.5%0.0%
8Millwall (6-4-5, 23 pts)16.515.614.063.40.0%0.2%17.1%1.2%
9Blackburn (6-5-4, 22 pts)16.516.513.062.40.0%0.3%12.8%2.1%
10Bristol City (5-3-7, 22 pts)16.113.916.064.20.2%0.9%18.3%1.2%
11Swansea City (5-6-4, 19 pts)16.217.012.861.30.0%0.4%10.3%2.5%
12Derby County (5-6-4, 19 pts)15.018.212.857.90.0%0.1%3.6%7.2%
13Stoke City (5-6-4, 19 pts)15.917.312.860.50.0%0.2%7.3%3.9%
14Norwich City (4-5-6, 18 pts)16.115.014.963.30.0%0.3%17.9%1.3%
15Sheffield Wednesday (5-7-3, 18 pts)15.918.112.159.60.0%0.0%7.0%6.0%
16Oxford United (4-6-5, 17 pts)12.220.313.550.10.0%0.0%0.5%37.7%
17Coventry City (4-7-4, 16 pts)16.117.112.861.00.0%0.7%9.4%4.1%
18Plymouth Argyle (4-7-4, 16 pts)12.321.112.649.60.0%0.0%0.6%45.3%
19Hull City (3-6-6, 15 pts)13.217.914.954.40.0%0.0%1.9%16.7%
20Preston North End (3-6-6, 15 pts)12.219.014.851.40.0%0.0%0.5%31.6%
21Luton Town (4-8-3, 15 pts)15.118.912.157.20.0%0.0%3.2%10.3%
22Cardiff City (4-8-3, 15 pts)14.020.012.054.10.0%0.0%1.3%20.3%
23Portsmouth (2-7-6, 12 pts)10.820.514.747.20.0%0.0%0.1%58.9%
24Queens Park Rangers (1-7-7, 10 pts)10.819.216.048.40.0%0.0%0.5%49.0%

Predictions Methodology

The Championship is England's second division soccer league. The league consists of 24 teams that each play a total of 46 games in their league's season. The top two teams get promoted to the Premier League. The 3rd through 6th places teams play a tournament to see who gets the third promotion spot in the Premier League. The three teams who finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to League One.