England Championship Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for November 26, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Coventry City
Burnley 		22.8%
51.2%		26.0%
+247
+118
+260
+110
0.91
1.51		2.42
o2¼-111
u2½-132

Volatility Bet Value Active
Sheffield Wednesday
Hull City 		29.1%
43.9%		27.0%
+206
+139
+205
+135
1.07
1.37		2.44
o2½-103
u2½-109

Plymouth Argyle
Norwich City 		12.9%
68.1%		19.0%
+467
-180
+480
-190
0.81
2.14		2.95
o3-110
u3-107

Oxford United
Sheffield United 		8.5%
75.7%		15.7%
+625
-210
+625
-230
0.67
2.40		3.07
o2½-122
u2¾-119

Preston North End
Stoke City 		18.6%
57.9%		23.6%
+238
+122
+230
+120
0.87
1.73		2.60
o2¼-108
u2½-134

Volatility Bet Value Active
Bristol City
Watford 		25.9%
47.8%		26.3%
+209
+136
+205
+130
1.00
1.47		2.47
o2½-107
u2½-105

West Bromwich Albion
Sunderland 		29.0%
43.6%		27.4%
+218
+132
+225
+130
1.04
1.34		2.38
o2¼-101
u2½-142

Volatility Bet Value Active
Games for Nov 25, 2024
Games for Nov 27, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Leicester City
Plymouth Argyle		57.7%
20.2%		22.0%
-225
+590
-230
+560
0
1		-1.96769-1.93829-1.59934
Rotherham United
West Bromwich Albion		12.7%
67.6%		19.7%
+1247
-394
+1250
-450
0
2		-0.25799-0.24921-0.39130
Stoke City
Swansea City		26.9%
46.7%		26.5%
+178
+164
+175
+165
0
3		-0.99875-1.02210-0.76220
Middlesbrough
Hull City		44.4%
28.8%		26.8%
+196
+140
+190
+140
2
2		-1.30250-1.28844-1.31647
Blackburn
Bristol City		27.1%
46.8%		26.1%
+173
+170
+160
+180
0
5		-1.02611-1.07790-0.75976
Watford
Ipswich Town		24.6%
48.7%		26.7%
+490
-180
+525
-200
0
0		-1.54674-1.56921-1.32073
Cardiff City
Birmingham City		26.8%
46.8%		26.4%
+332
-110
+340
-120
1
0		-1.49580-1.53090-1.31759
Sunderland
Leeds United		6.8%
80.2%		13.0%
+803
-293
+800
-300
0
0		-1.73313-1.71630-2.04007
Norwich City
Sheffield Wednesday		33.3%
37.9%		28.8%
+122
+234
+120
+230
2
2		-1.27730-1.27418-1.24431
Coventry City
Southampton		14.7%
65.1%		20.1%
+321
-133
+315
-135
1
2		-0.60077-0.60378-0.42874
Huddersfield
Preston North End		27.0%
45.8%		27.2%
+200
+158
+195
+150
1
4		-0.98067-0.96648-0.78172
Queens Park Rangers
Plymouth Argyle		29.2%
45.0%		25.8%
+158
+200
+150
+205
1
1		-1.19819-1.19171-1.35650
Leicester City
Millwall		43.6%
29.4%		26.9%
-143
+434
-150
+450
0
1		-1.70815-1.75550-1.22326
Bristol City
Sunderland		32.1%
40.3%		27.6%
+239
+135
+235
+125
0
0		-1.20651-1.22806-1.28583
Hull City
Cardiff City		26.2%
47.8%		25.9%
+135
+225
+125
+225
3
1		-0.88826-0.86034-1.33895
Sheffield Wednesday
Queens Park Rangers		25.9%
48.4%		25.6%
+312
+100
+325
-105
2
0		-1.44791-1.48771-1.34935
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.65913 
Sportsbooks11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.65427 
DRatings11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.66345
-0.00432
-0.00918

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 11/10/24
#TeamWLTPtsWin LeaguePromotionPromotion PlayoffRelegation
1Sheffield United (10-2-3, 33 pts)24.210.411.484.032.6%66.6%30.2%0.0%
2Sunderland (9-2-4, 31 pts)20.112.813.173.43.7%11.5%55.6%0.0%
3Leeds United (8-2-5, 29 pts)24.48.712.986.052.3%78.9%19.2%0.0%
4Burnley (7-2-6, 27 pts)19.611.714.773.44.2%14.9%53.1%0.0%
5West Bromwich Albion (6-2-7, 25 pts)17.911.916.169.91.6%5.7%42.6%0.1%
6Watford (8-6-1, 25 pts)19.117.010.067.20.5%2.1%27.5%0.6%
7Middlesbrough (7-5-3, 24 pts)21.213.211.575.34.9%17.2%59.5%0.0%
8Millwall (6-4-5, 23 pts)16.515.614.063.40.0%0.2%17.1%1.2%
9Blackburn (6-5-4, 22 pts)16.516.513.062.40.0%0.3%12.8%2.1%
10Bristol City (5-3-7, 22 pts)16.113.916.064.20.2%0.9%18.3%1.2%
11Swansea City (5-6-4, 19 pts)16.217.012.861.30.0%0.4%10.3%2.5%
12Derby County (5-6-4, 19 pts)15.018.212.857.90.0%0.1%3.6%7.2%
13Stoke City (5-6-4, 19 pts)15.917.312.860.50.0%0.2%7.3%3.9%
14Norwich City (4-5-6, 18 pts)16.115.014.963.30.0%0.3%17.9%1.3%
15Sheffield Wednesday (5-7-3, 18 pts)15.918.112.159.60.0%0.0%7.0%6.0%
16Oxford United (4-6-5, 17 pts)12.220.313.550.10.0%0.0%0.5%37.7%
17Coventry City (4-7-4, 16 pts)16.117.112.861.00.0%0.7%9.4%4.1%
18Plymouth Argyle (4-7-4, 16 pts)12.321.112.649.60.0%0.0%0.6%45.3%
19Hull City (3-6-6, 15 pts)13.217.914.954.40.0%0.0%1.9%16.7%
20Preston North End (3-6-6, 15 pts)12.219.014.851.40.0%0.0%0.5%31.6%
21Luton Town (4-8-3, 15 pts)15.118.912.157.20.0%0.0%3.2%10.3%
22Cardiff City (4-8-3, 15 pts)14.020.012.054.10.0%0.0%1.3%20.3%
23Portsmouth (2-7-6, 12 pts)10.820.514.747.20.0%0.0%0.1%58.9%
24Queens Park Rangers (1-7-7, 10 pts)10.819.216.048.40.0%0.0%0.5%49.0%

Predictions Methodology

The Championship is England's second division soccer league. The league consists of 24 teams that each play a total of 46 games in their league's season. The top two teams get promoted to the Premier League. The 3rd through 6th places teams play a tournament to see who gets the third promotion spot in the Premier League. The three teams who finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to League One.