England Championship Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for November 26, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Coventry City
Burnley 		22.8%
51.2%		26.0%
+241
+125
+240
+120
0.91
1.51		2.42
o2¼+102
u2¼-118

Sheffield Wednesday
Hull City 		29.1%
43.9%		27.0%
+210
+139
+210
+135
1.07
1.37		2.44
o2¼-117
u2½-125

Volatility Bet Value Active
Plymouth Argyle
Norwich City 		12.9%
68.1%		19.0%
+577
-215
+550
-220
0.81
2.14		2.95
o3+101
u3-110

Oxford United
Sheffield United 		8.5%
75.7%		15.7%
+716
-218
+750
-240
0.67
2.40		3.07
o2½+103
u2½-111

Preston North End
Stoke City 		18.6%
57.9%		23.6%
+268
+111
+270
+105
0.87
1.73		2.60
o2¼-118
u2½-125

Volatility Bet Value Active
Bristol City
Watford 		25.9%
47.8%		26.3%
+233
+122
+230
+125
1.00
1.47		2.47
o2½-101
u2½-109

West Bromwich Albion
Sunderland 		29.0%
43.6%		27.4%
+219
+136
+230
+130
1.04
1.34		2.38
o2¼-104
u2½-141

Volatility Bet Value Active
Games for Nov 25, 2024
Games for Nov 27, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Plymouth Argyle
Ipswich Town		15.9%
63.1%		20.9%
+653
-269
+650
-275
2
3		-0.35566-0.36071-0.45977
Preston North End
Hull City		25.1%
48.8%		26.2%
+298
+100
+285
+100
0
1		-0.73264-0.74156-0.71808
Bristol City
Cardiff City		28.9%
44.6%		26.5%
+277
+108
+270
+105
0
2		-0.76203-0.76873-0.80854
Swansea City
Blackburn		36.2%
35.5%		28.3%
+284
-105
+265
-110
1
0		-1.37089-1.34442-1.01733
Millwall
Watford		21.6%
52.5%		25.9%
+279
+115
+285
+110
2
2		-1.20815-1.19942-1.35143
Norwich City
Sunderland		38.1%
33.1%		28.9%
+273
+100
+260
+100
1
3		-0.72528-0.74360-1.10609
Leicester City
Queens Park Rangers		54.2%
22.7%		23.1%
-214
+579
-225
+585
2
1		-0.42286-0.41753-0.61328
Stoke City
Middlesbrough		19.4%
57.0%		23.6%
+356
-128
+340
-130
2
0		-1.55632-1.53252-1.63866
Huddersfield
Leeds United		8.1%
77.4%		14.4%
+868
-317
+750
-300
1
4		-0.31357-0.33756-0.25596
Leeds United
Stoke City		46.1%
27.8%		26.1%
-115
+314
-125
+320
0
1		-1.45818-1.48709-1.28093
Coventry City
Rotherham United		31.8%
39.4%		28.9%
-135
+419
-145
+400
0
2		-1.68067-1.65973-0.93260
Southampton
Preston North End		40.9%
31.7%		27.4%
+132
+218
+130
+220
2
2		-1.25839-1.25372-1.29598
Sheffield Wednesday
Plymouth Argyle		28.7%
44.9%		26.4%
+222
+128
+225
+125
0
3		-0.86408-0.85207-0.80004
Ipswich Town
Bristol City		36.1%
35.2%		28.6%
-112
+300
-115
+290
1
0		-0.67806-0.67873-1.01763
Hull City
Birmingham City		26.8%
46.7%		26.5%
+191
+155
+190
+150
2
0		-1.10715-1.11590-1.31785
Sunderland
Leicester City		8.5%
76.7%		14.7%
+488
-184
+520
-205
0
1		-0.47392-0.44687-0.26480
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 11/25/24
#TeamWLTPtsWin LeaguePromotionPromotion PlayoffRelegation
1Sheffield United (10-2-4, 34 pts)23.510.212.382.924.9%56.3%39.4%0.0%
2Leeds United (9-2-5, 32 pts)24.88.712.686.957.6%80.9%18.6%0.0%
3Sunderland (9-2-5, 32 pts)19.912.313.973.53.2%13.1%54.7%0.0%
4Burnley (8-2-6, 30 pts)20.111.314.575.05.2%17.0%59.5%0.0%
5Middlesbrough (8-5-3, 27 pts)21.613.111.376.26.6%21.9%58.7%0.0%
6West Bromwich Albion (6-2-8, 26 pts)17.811.516.770.21.7%5.9%44.5%0.0%
7Watford (8-6-2, 26 pts)18.716.510.866.80.2%1.8%26.8%0.8%
8Millwall (6-4-6, 24 pts)16.215.214.763.20.1%0.8%14.5%1.3%
9Blackburn (6-5-4, 22 pts)16.516.612.962.30.0%0.4%11.7%1.8%
10Bristol City (5-4-7, 22 pts)15.814.515.763.10.0%0.6%14.6%2.0%
11Derby County (5-6-5, 20 pts)14.418.013.756.80.0%0.0%3.1%8.6%
12Stoke City (5-6-5, 20 pts)15.416.913.760.00.2%0.2%5.1%3.8%
13Norwich City (4-5-7, 19 pts)15.714.615.762.80.2%0.5%15.0%1.9%
14Swansea City (5-7-4, 19 pts)15.917.512.660.30.1%0.1%8.6%3.4%
15Sheffield Wednesday (5-7-4, 19 pts)15.617.712.759.60.0%0.1%5.5%4.9%
16Luton Town (5-8-3, 18 pts)15.818.511.859.10.0%0.0%5.2%5.2%
17Coventry City (4-7-5, 17 pts)16.016.513.561.40.0%0.4%11.8%2.4%
18Oxford United (4-7-5, 17 pts)12.220.713.149.60.0%0.0%0.1%39.7%
19Plymouth Argyle (4-7-5, 17 pts)12.120.713.349.50.0%0.0%0.1%42.6%
20Preston North End (3-6-7, 16 pts)11.918.615.551.20.0%0.0%0.4%30.4%
21Cardiff City (4-8-4, 16 pts)13.519.812.653.20.0%0.0%1.0%22.8%
22Hull City (3-7-6, 15 pts)12.618.714.752.50.0%0.0%0.8%22.5%
23Portsmouth (2-7-6, 12 pts)10.720.514.847.00.0%0.0%0.1%56.6%
24Queens Park Rangers (1-7-8, 11 pts)10.518.816.748.20.0%0.0%0.2%49.3%

Predictions Methodology

The Championship is England's second division soccer league. The league consists of 24 teams that each play a total of 46 games in their league's season. The top two teams get promoted to the Premier League. The 3rd through 6th places teams play a tournament to see who gets the third promotion spot in the Premier League. The three teams who finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to League One.