Manchester Utd at Brighton

Updated

Manchester United

30.7%27.4%42.0%
Manchester Utd WinDrawBrighton Win
1.09Projected Goals 1.32
2Final Score 0

Brighton and Hove Albion

Last 5 Games

Manchester United
Money Line
W 2-3 vs Newcastle United+175
L 1-0 vs Arsenal+860
L 0-4 at Crystal Palace+260
T 1-1 vs Burnley-200
W 2-4 vs Sheffield United-330
Brighton and Hove Albion
Money Line
L 2-1 vs Chelsea+235
T 1-1 at Newcastle United+400
W 0-1 vs Aston Villa+170
L 0-3 at Bournemouth+250
L 4-0 vs Manchester City+720

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-2.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Manchester Utd+205+143+165+143+139+143+143+151.4
Brighton+110+164+130+168+159+168+168+177.3
Draw+310+300+310+300+300+300+310+313.9
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Manchester Utd+210-+140+190+150+140+190+151.4
Brighton+110-+161+110+115+165+165+177.3
Draw+300-+296+290+280+290+296+313.9

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Manchester Utd: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Brighton: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Manchester Utd: 0.0%
Brighton: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Manchester Utd: 0.0%
Brighton: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Manchester Utd ML moved from +154 to +143
Brighton ML moved from +146 to +138

Overall

Overall Bet Value Active
Manchester Utd: 90.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Brighton: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Manchester Utd: 0.0%
Brighton: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Manchester Utd: 90.0%
Brighton: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Manchester Utd ML moved from +147 to +140
Brighton ML moved from +130 to +115

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3½-110o3½-126o3¾+100o3¾+102o3¾-103o3¾+102o3½-126o3¾+109
Underu3½-110u3½+106u3¾-120u3¾-118u3¾-117u3¾-118u3¾-117u3¾-109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3½-130o3½-130o3½-125o3½-125o3½-130o3½-125o3½-125o3¾+109
Underu3½+110u3½+110u3½+105u3½+105u3½+100u3½+105u3½+110u3¾-109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o3½-110 to o3¾+102
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes48.5%
 
No51.5%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 09.02%
Exactly 226.10%
Exactly 412.59%
Exactly 62.43%
Exactly 80.25%
 
Exactly 121.70%
Exactly 320.93%
Exactly 56.06%
Exactly 70.83%
Exact Goals Scored - Manchester United
Exactly 033.76%
Exactly 136.66%
Exactly 219.90%
Exactly 37.20%
Exactly 41.96%
Exactly 50.42%
Exact Goals Scored - Brighton and Hove Albion
Exactly 026.72%
Exactly 135.26%
Exactly 223.27%
Exactly 310.24%
Exactly 43.38%
Exactly 50.89%
Exactly 60.20%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 032.83%
Exactly 220.37%
Exactly 42.11%
 
Exactly 136.57%
Exactly 37.56%
Exactly 50.47%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Manchester United
Exactly 060.48%
Exactly 130.41%
Exactly 27.64%
Exactly 31.28%
Exactly 40.16%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Brighton and Hove Albion
Exactly 054.28%
Exactly 133.17%
Exactly 210.13%
Exactly 32.06%
Exactly 40.32%

Alternate Props

Spread

Manchester United
Wins by 2+ goals11.86%
Wins by 3+ goals3.50%
Wins by 4+ goals0.79%
Wins by 5+ goals0.11%
Brighton and Hove Albion
Wins by 2+ goals19.18%
Wins by 3+ goals6.83%
Wins by 4+ goals1.95%
Wins by 5+ goals0.44%

Exact Winning Margin

Manchester United
Brighton and Hove Albion
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Manchester United
Wins by 1 goal18.71%
Wins by 2 goals8.36%
Wins by 3 goals2.71%
Wins by 4 goals0.67%
Wins by 5 goals0.11%
Brighton and Hove Albion
Wins by 1 goal22.74%
Wins by 2 goals12.35%
Wins by 3 goals4.89%
Wins by 4 goals1.51%
Wins by 5 goals0.37%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.590.98%9.02%
1.569.28%30.72%
2.543.18%56.82%
3.522.25%77.75%
4.59.66%90.34%
5.53.60%96.40%
6.51.17%98.83%

Total Goals Manchester United Over/Under

OverUnder
0.566.24%33.76%
1.529.58%70.42%
2.59.68%90.32%
3.52.47%97.53%

Total Goals Brighton and Hove Albion Over/Under

OverUnder
0.573.28%26.72%
1.538.02%61.98%
2.514.75%85.25%
3.54.51%95.49%
4.51.13%98.87%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.567.17%32.83%
1.530.60%69.40%
2.510.24%89.76%
3.52.68%97.32%

Score Props

Correct Score

Manchester Utd
Brighton and Hove Albion
Score012345
0
9.02%
11.90%
7.86%
3.46%
1.14%
0.30%
1
9.79%
12.93%
8.53%
3.75%
1.24%
0.33%
2
5.32%
7.02%
4.63%
2.04%
0.67%
0.18%
3
1.93%
2.54%
1.68%
0.74%
0.24%
0.06%
4
0.52%
0.69%
0.46%
0.20%
0.07%
0.02%
5
0.11%
0.15%
0.10%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
Manchester United
1-09.79%
2-05.32%
2-17.02%
3-01.93%
3-12.54%
3-21.68%
4-00.52%
4-10.69%
4-20.46%
4-30.20%
5-00.11%
5-10.15%
Draw
0-09.02%
1-112.93%
2-24.63%
3-30.74%
Brighton and Hove Albion
0-111.90%
0-27.86%
1-28.53%
0-33.46%
1-33.75%
2-32.04%
0-41.14%
1-41.24%
2-40.67%
3-40.24%
0-50.30%
1-50.33%
2-50.18%

Correct Score - First Half

Manchester Utd
Brighton and Hove Albion
Score01234
0
32.83%
20.06%
6.13%
1.25%
0.19%
1
16.51%
10.09%
3.08%
0.63%
0.10%
2
4.15%
2.54%
0.77%
0.16%
0.02%
3
0.70%
0.42%
0.13%
0.03%
0.00%
Manchester United
1-016.51%
2-04.15%
2-12.54%
3-00.70%
3-10.42%
3-20.13%
Draw
0-032.83%
1-110.09%
2-20.77%
Brighton and Hove Albion
0-120.06%
0-26.13%
1-23.08%
0-31.25%
1-30.63%
2-30.16%
0-40.19%