Crystal Palace at Aston Villa

Updated

Crystal Palace

17.3%21.9%60.8%
WinDrawAston Villa Win
0.89Projected Goals 1.90
1Final Score 1

Aston Villa

Last 5 Games

Crystal Palace
Money Line
W 0-1 vs Watford-145
W 2-1 at Southampton+210
T 0-0 vs Leeds United+141
L 0-1 at Newcastle United+236
L 1-2 at Leicester City+180
Aston Villa
Money Line
L 2-1 vs Liverpool+650
W 3-1 at Burnley+145
W 0-2 vs Norwich City-238
T 0-0 at Leicester City+144
L 4-0 vs Tottenham+235

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.9%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Crystal Palace+255+330+350+356+321+350+356+373.9
Aston Villa+110-120-112-112-117-112-112-107.2
Draw+225+240+250+257+252+250+257+268.2
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Crystal Palace+256-+332-+275+330+332+373.9
Aston Villa+103--110--120-115-110-107.2
Draw+252-+230-+220+250+250+268.2

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Crystal Palace: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Aston Villa: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Crystal Palace: 0.0%
Aston Villa: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Crystal Palace: 0.0%
Aston Villa: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Crystal Palace ML moved from +340 to +330
Aston Villa ML moved from -115 to -125

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Crystal Palace: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Aston Villa: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Crystal Palace: 0.0%
Aston Villa: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Crystal Palace: 0.0%
Aston Villa: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Crystal Palace ML moved from +252 to +245
Aston Villa ML moved from +100 to -115

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-0.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.0%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼-110o2½+105o2¼-122o2½+106-o2¼-122o2¼-122o2½+114
Underu2¼-110u2½-125u2¼+106u2½-121-u2¼+106u2½-121u2½-114
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-115o2½+100o2½+110-o2½+105o2½+115o2½+115o2½+114
Underu2½-105u2½-120u2½-130-u2½-135u2½-135u2½-120u2½-114

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes50.3%
 
No49.7%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 06.12%
Exactly 223.88%
Exactly 415.54%
Exactly 64.04%
Exactly 80.56%
 
Exactly 117.09%
Exactly 322.24%
Exactly 58.68%
Exactly 71.61%
Exactly 90.18%
Exact Goals Scored - Crystal Palace
Exactly 040.77%
Exactly 136.58%
Exactly 216.41%
Exactly 34.91%
Exactly 41.10%
Exactly 50.20%
Exact Goals Scored - Aston Villa
Exactly 015.00%
Exactly 128.46%
Exactly 226.99%
Exactly 317.07%
Exactly 48.09%
Exactly 53.07%
Exactly 60.97%
Exactly 70.26%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 027.42%
Exactly 222.95%
Exactly 43.20%
Exactly 60.18%
 
Exactly 135.48%
Exactly 39.90%
Exactly 50.83%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Crystal Palace
Exactly 066.01%
Exactly 127.42%
Exactly 25.70%
Exactly 30.79%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Aston Villa
Exactly 041.55%
Exactly 136.49%
Exactly 216.03%
Exactly 34.69%
Exactly 41.03%
Exactly 50.18%

Alternate Props

Spread

Crystal Palace
Wins by 2+ goals5.54%
Wins by 3+ goals1.35%
Wins by 4+ goals0.25%
Aston Villa
Wins by 2+ goals36.06%
Wins by 3+ goals17.32%
Wins by 4+ goals6.85%
Wins by 5+ goals2.25%
Wins by 6+ goals0.60%
Wins by 7+ goals0.11%

Exact Winning Margin

Crystal Palace
Aston Villa
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Crystal Palace
Wins by 1 goal11.69%
Wins by 2 goals4.19%
Wins by 3 goals1.10%
Wins by 4 goals0.22%
Aston Villa
Wins by 1 goal24.71%
Wins by 2 goals18.74%
Wins by 3 goals10.47%
Wins by 4 goals4.60%
Wins by 5 goals1.65%
Wins by 6 goals0.49%
Wins by 7 goals0.11%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.88%6.12%
1.576.79%23.21%
2.552.92%47.08%
3.530.68%69.32%
4.515.14%84.86%
5.56.46%93.54%
6.52.42%97.58%

Total Goals Crystal Palace Over/Under

OverUnder
0.559.23%40.77%
1.522.65%77.35%
2.56.24%93.76%
3.51.33%98.67%

Total Goals Aston Villa Over/Under

OverUnder
0.585.00%15.00%
1.556.54%43.46%
2.529.55%70.45%
3.512.48%87.52%
4.54.38%95.62%
5.51.31%98.69%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.572.58%27.42%
1.537.10%62.90%
2.514.14%85.86%
3.54.25%95.75%
4.51.05%98.95%

Score Props

Correct Score

Crystal Palace
Aston Villa
Score012345
0
6.12%
11.60%
11.00%
6.96%
3.30%
1.25%
1
5.49%
10.41%
9.87%
6.24%
2.96%
1.12%
2
2.46%
4.67%
4.43%
2.80%
1.33%
0.50%
3
0.74%
1.40%
1.32%
0.84%
0.40%
0.15%
4
0.17%
0.31%
0.30%
0.19%
0.09%
0.03%
Crystal Palace
1-05.49%
2-02.46%
2-14.67%
3-00.74%
3-11.40%
3-21.32%
4-00.17%
4-10.31%
4-20.30%
4-30.19%
Draw
0-06.12%
1-110.41%
2-24.43%
3-30.84%
Aston Villa
0-111.60%
0-211.00%
1-29.87%
0-36.96%
1-36.24%
2-32.80%
0-43.30%
1-42.96%
2-41.33%
3-40.40%
0-51.25%
1-51.12%
2-50.50%
3-50.15%

Correct Score - First Half

Crystal Palace
Aston Villa
Score012345
0
27.42%
24.09%
10.58%
3.10%
0.68%
0.12%
1
11.39%
10.01%
4.39%
1.29%
0.28%
0.05%
2
2.37%
2.08%
0.91%
0.27%
0.06%
0.01%
3
0.33%
0.29%
0.13%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
Crystal Palace
1-011.39%
2-02.37%
2-12.08%
3-00.33%
3-10.29%
3-20.13%
Draw
0-027.42%
1-110.01%
2-20.91%
Aston Villa
0-124.09%
0-210.58%
1-24.39%
0-33.10%
1-31.29%
2-30.27%
0-40.68%
1-40.28%
0-50.12%