Luton Town at Newcastle Utd

Updated

Luton Town

5.5%11.9%82.6%
WinDrawNewcastle Utd Win
0.59Projected Goals 2.77
4Final Score 4

Newcastle United

Last 5 Games

Luton Town
Money Line
W 0-4 vs Brighton and Hove Albion+320
T 1-1 at Burnley+260
L 3-2 vs Chelsea+480
W 3-2 at Sheffield United+211
W 0-1 vs Newcastle United+425
Newcastle United
Money Line
W 3-1 at Aston Villa+295
L 3-2 vs Manchester City+410
L 2-4 at Liverpool+665
L 3-1 vs Nottingham Forest-240
L 0-1 at Luton Town-160

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Luton Town+706+481+475+525+517+525+525+546.8
Newcastle Utd-261-182-185-190-198-190-182-172.5
Draw+418+348+340+355+364+355+364+370.9
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Luton Town+600-+475-+475+480+480+546.8
Newcastle Utd-254--195--270-195-195-172.5
Draw+405-+360-+350+360+360+370.9

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Luton Town: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Newcastle Utd: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Luton Town: 0.0%
Newcastle Utd: 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Luton Town: 20.0%
Newcastle Utd: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Luton Town ML moved from +532 to +520
Newcastle Utd ML moved from -237 to -245

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Luton Town: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Newcastle Utd: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Luton Town: 0.0%
Newcastle Utd: 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Luton Town: 0.0%
Newcastle Utd: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Luton Town ML moved from +520 to +480
No Steam Moves On Newcastle Utd ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-124o3-107o3-108o3-103o3-104o3-103o3-103o3+105
Underu3+106u3-111u3-112u3-113u3-110u3-113u3-110u3-105
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-115o3+100o3-105-o3-115o3-105o3+100o3+105
Underu3-105u3-120u3-115-u3-115u3-115u3-115u3-105

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes41.9%
 
No58.1%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 03.46%
Exactly 219.57%
Exactly 418.46%
Exactly 66.97%
Exactly 81.41%
Exactly 100.18%
 
Exactly 111.63%
Exactly 321.95%
Exactly 512.42%
Exactly 73.35%
Exactly 90.53%
Exact Goals Scored - Luton Town
Exactly 055.33%
Exactly 132.75%
Exactly 29.69%
Exactly 31.91%
Exactly 40.28%
Exact Goals Scored - Newcastle United
Exactly 06.25%
Exactly 117.33%
Exactly 224.02%
Exactly 322.20%
Exactly 415.39%
Exactly 58.53%
Exactly 63.94%
Exactly 71.56%
Exactly 80.54%
Exactly 90.17%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 021.06%
Exactly 225.55%
Exactly 45.17%
Exactly 60.42%
 
Exactly 132.81%
Exactly 313.27%
Exactly 51.61%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Luton Town
Exactly 076.03%
Exactly 120.84%
Exactly 22.86%
Exactly 30.26%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Newcastle United
Exactly 027.70%
Exactly 135.56%
Exactly 222.82%
Exactly 39.77%
Exactly 43.13%
Exactly 50.80%
Exactly 60.17%

Alternate Props

Spread

Luton Town
Wins by 2+ goals1.19%
Wins by 3+ goals0.19%
Newcastle United
Wins by 2+ goals62.61%
Wins by 3+ goals40.38%
Wins by 4+ goals22.15%
Wins by 5+ goals10.43%
Wins by 6+ goals4.25%
Wins by 7+ goals1.50%
Wins by 8+ goals0.45%

Exact Winning Margin

Luton Town
Newcastle United
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Luton Town
Wins by 1 goal4.25%
Wins by 2 goals1.01%
Wins by 3 goals0.17%
Newcastle United
Wins by 1 goal19.93%
Wins by 2 goals22.23%
Wins by 3 goals18.23%
Wins by 4 goals11.72%
Wins by 5 goals6.17%
Wins by 6 goals2.75%
Wins by 7 goals1.06%
Wins by 8 goals0.35%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.596.54%3.46%
1.584.91%15.09%
2.565.34%34.66%
3.543.39%56.61%
4.524.92%75.08%
5.512.50%87.50%
6.55.53%94.47%
7.52.19%97.81%

Total Goals Luton Town Over/Under

OverUnder
0.544.67%55.33%
1.511.92%88.08%
2.52.23%97.77%

Total Goals Newcastle United Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.75%6.25%
1.576.42%23.58%
2.552.40%47.60%
3.530.20%69.80%
4.514.81%85.19%
5.56.27%93.73%
6.52.33%97.67%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.578.94%21.06%
1.546.13%53.87%
2.520.58%79.42%
3.57.31%92.69%
4.52.14%97.86%

Score Props

Correct Score

Luton Town
Newcastle United
Score012345
0
3.46%
9.59%
13.29%
12.28%
8.51%
4.72%
1
2.05%
5.68%
7.87%
7.27%
5.04%
2.79%
2
0.61%
1.68%
2.33%
2.15%
1.49%
0.83%
3
0.12%
0.33%
0.46%
0.42%
0.29%
0.16%
Luton Town
1-02.05%
2-00.61%
2-11.68%
3-00.12%
3-10.33%
3-20.46%
Draw
0-03.46%
1-15.68%
2-22.33%
3-30.42%
Newcastle United
0-19.59%
0-213.29%
1-27.87%
0-312.28%
1-37.27%
2-32.15%
0-48.51%
1-45.04%
2-41.49%
3-40.29%
0-54.72%
1-52.79%
2-50.83%
3-50.16%

Correct Score - First Half

Luton Town
Newcastle United
Score0123456
0
21.06%
27.04%
17.35%
7.43%
2.38%
0.61%
0.13%
1
5.77%
7.41%
4.76%
2.03%
0.65%
0.17%
0.04%
2
0.79%
1.02%
0.65%
0.28%
0.09%
0.02%
0.00%
Luton Town
1-05.77%
2-00.79%
2-11.02%
Draw
0-021.06%
1-17.41%
2-20.65%
Newcastle United
0-127.04%
0-217.35%
1-24.76%
0-37.43%
1-32.03%
2-30.28%
0-42.38%
1-40.65%
0-50.61%
1-50.17%
0-60.13%