English Premier League Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for November 29, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Southampton
Brighton and Hove Albion 		11.3%
71.4%		17.3%
+635
-231
+595
-250
0.80
2.32		3.12
o3¼-108
u3½-134
o3½+120
u3½-135
Games for Nov 28, 2024
Games for Nov 30, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Newcastle United
Arsenal		13.1%
67.8%		19.1%
+385
-126
+375
-132
0
0		-1.38474-1.37678-1.65789
Fulham
Leicester City		20.5%
56.8%		22.7%
+213
+137
+191
+140
1
0		-1.15265-1.11712-1.58494
Brighton and Hove Albion
Everton		32.1%
39.6%		28.3%
+139
+226
+130
+215
4
1		-0.89038-0.88242-1.13641
Liverpool
Brentford		57.2%
19.7%		23.1%
-184
+526
-200
+530
1
3		-1.85662-1.88243-1.62420
Chelsea
Nottingham Forest		63.6%
14.9%		21.5%
-160
+487
-170
+490
1
1		-1.44949-1.44749-1.53921
Aston Villa
Tottenham		16.2%
64.0%		19.9%
+441
-148
+420
-145
2
0		-1.70777-1.68222-1.82257
Arsenal
Brighton and Hove Albion		43.1%
29.2%		27.6%
-113
+338
-112
+320
4
2		-0.65497-0.68132-0.84111
Crystal Palace
Bournemouth		37.2%
33.5%		29.2%
+165
+202
+160
+190
2
0		-0.99439-0.99474-0.98779
Everton
Manchester City		3.7%
87.7%		8.7%
+1835
-614
+1700
-650
1
1		-2.24990-2.16343-2.44519
Leeds United
Newcastle United		15.1%
64.8%		20.1%
+628
-209
+580
-220
0
0		-1.59042-1.60395-1.60405
Southampton
Fulham		25.9%
49.1%		25.0%
+346
-118
+330
-120
1
2		-0.63358-0.65329-0.71219
Manchester United
Wolverhampton		43.9%
28.6%		27.6%
-106
+320
-115
+325
1
0		-0.68570-0.66890-0.82410
Leicester City
Liverpool		7.9%
78.3%		13.7%
+1150
-379
+1130
-400
1
2		-0.25380-0.26095-0.24409
Brentford
West Ham United		23.7%
51.8%		24.5%
+269
+112
+280
+105
2
0		-1.32591-1.35961-1.44020
Manchester City
Leeds United		81.0%
6.5%		12.4%
-340
+925
-370
+900
3
1		-0.28450-0.28417-0.21077
Nottingham Forest
Manchester United		8.5%
75.8%		15.7%
+893
-280
+850
-315
0
3		-0.31412-0.31891-0.27691
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 11/25/24
#TeamWLTPtsWin PLChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
1Liverpool (10-1-1, 31 pts)24.66.27.181.161.2%99.2%0.6%0.0%
2Manchester City (7-3-2, 23 pts)23.37.37.477.229.0%96.5%2.5%0.0%
3Arsenal (6-2-4, 22 pts)20.07.710.270.37.1%84.2%8.4%0.0%
4Chelsea (6-2-4, 22 pts)17.89.211.064.51.8%47.9%20.2%0.0%
5Brighton and Hove Albion (6-2-4, 22 pts)16.610.211.261.00.4%24.2%20.0%0.0%
6Tottenham (6-5-1, 19 pts)17.612.48.060.80.2%27.0%17.8%0.0%
7Nottingham Forest (5-3-4, 19 pts)12.214.711.147.70.0%0.6%0.9%3.7%
8Aston Villa (5-3-4, 19 pts)15.011.811.356.20.2%8.2%9.5%0.2%
9Newcastle United (5-4-3, 18 pts)14.812.810.354.80.0%5.3%7.5%0.4%
10Fulham (5-4-3, 18 pts)13.414.510.150.30.0%1.8%2.6%1.6%
11Brentford (5-5-2, 17 pts)12.416.78.946.10.0%0.7%0.4%4.3%
12Manchester United (4-4-4, 16 pts)14.312.511.254.10.1%4.2%8.0%0.6%
13Bournemouth (4-5-3, 15 pts)11.716.110.245.30.0%0.1%0.6%7.4%
14West Ham United (4-5-3, 15 pts)11.616.110.345.20.0%0.0%0.7%8.9%
15Everton (2-5-5, 11 pts)9.616.412.040.70.0%0.1%0.2%24.9%
16Leicester City (2-6-4, 10 pts)9.117.911.038.30.0%0.0%0.0%38.9%
17Wolverhampton (2-7-3, 9 pts)9.718.210.139.20.0%0.0%0.1%32.4%
18Ipswich Town (1-5-6, 9 pts)7.218.112.734.20.0%0.0%0.0%66.6%
19Crystal Palace (1-6-5, 8 pts)9.116.912.139.20.0%0.0%0.0%30.6%
20Southampton (1-10-1, 4 pts)7.922.37.831.60.0%0.0%0.0%79.5%

Predictions Methodology

The English Premier League projections are based on our proprietary algorithm which we use to project out soccer matches. The EPL is a twenty team league which plays 38 games through out the season. Currently, the top four teams receive a draw to the Champions League and the fifth place team receives a draw to Europa League. Each year, the 18th through 20th placed team gets relegated to the English Championship division.