English Premier League Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for November 29, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Southampton
Brighton and Hove Albion 		11.3%
71.4%		17.3%
+608
-231
+595
-250
0.80
2.32		3.12
o3¼-106
u3½-134
o3½+120
u3½-135
Games for Nov 28, 2024
Games for Nov 30, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Wolverhampton
West Ham United		20.5%
55.2%		24.2%
+291
+108
+300
+100
0
2		-0.76424-0.73798-0.59379
Brighton and Hove Albion
Liverpool		7.8%
77.2%		15.0%
+585
-210
+578
-225
3
3		-1.61636-1.61566-1.89839
Brentford
Bournemouth		42.9%
29.7%		27.4%
+127
+225
+120
+222
0
0		-1.29642-1.30236-1.29361
Newcastle United
Fulham		39.6%
32.5%		27.9%
+153
+188
+147
+190
4
1		-0.96003-0.94299-0.92571
Everton
Southampton		28.3%
46.3%		25.4%
+225
+138
+230
+130
2
1		-1.20731-1.23395-1.26231
Chelsea
Crystal Palace		43.9%
28.7%		27.4%
-130
+384
-135
+385
2
1		-0.59838-0.60398-0.82289
Tottenham
Arsenal		27.4%
47.7%		25.0%
+280
+101
+280
-105
1
3		-0.72169-0.70885-0.74116
West Ham United
Everton		32.4%
40.8%		26.7%
+155
+194
+148
+190
0
1		-1.10030-1.11021-0.89580
Arsenal
Brentford		44.2%
28.8%		27.0%
-125
+351
-130
+350
3
0		-0.61471-0.61345-0.81572
Leicester City
Tottenham		13.7%
68.3%		18.0%
+545
-192
+550
-210
2
6		-0.44879-0.43697-0.38167
Bournemouth
Newcastle United		19.5%
57.2%		23.3%
+690
-235
+675
-240
1
1		-1.64512-1.59583-1.45655
Manchester City
Wolverhampton		72.7%
10.0%		17.3%
-297
+850
-315
+825
3
0		-0.31712-0.32256-0.31906
Fulham
Nottingham Forest		33.2%
36.9%		30.0%
+161
+183
+165
+185
3
2		-0.98214-1.00095-1.10374
Southampton
Aston Villa		20.3%
57.8%		22.0%
+262
+110
+260
+110
0
1		-0.77169-0.77699-0.54891
Arsenal
Manchester United		25.6%
49.1%		25.4%
+166
+166
+170
+170
1
3		-1.01134-1.03787-0.71194
Leicester City
Brighton and Hove Albion		28.0%
45.5%		26.5%
+330
-105
+345
-120
2
5		-0.68395-0.65670-0.78719
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 11/25/24
#TeamWLTPtsWin PLChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
1Liverpool (10-1-1, 31 pts)24.66.27.181.161.2%99.2%0.6%0.0%
2Manchester City (7-3-2, 23 pts)23.37.37.477.229.0%96.5%2.5%0.0%
3Arsenal (6-2-4, 22 pts)20.07.710.270.37.1%84.2%8.4%0.0%
4Chelsea (6-2-4, 22 pts)17.89.211.064.51.8%47.9%20.2%0.0%
5Brighton and Hove Albion (6-2-4, 22 pts)16.610.211.261.00.4%24.2%20.0%0.0%
6Tottenham (6-5-1, 19 pts)17.612.48.060.80.2%27.0%17.8%0.0%
7Nottingham Forest (5-3-4, 19 pts)12.214.711.147.70.0%0.6%0.9%3.7%
8Aston Villa (5-3-4, 19 pts)15.011.811.356.20.2%8.2%9.5%0.2%
9Newcastle United (5-4-3, 18 pts)14.812.810.354.80.0%5.3%7.5%0.4%
10Fulham (5-4-3, 18 pts)13.414.510.150.30.0%1.8%2.6%1.6%
11Brentford (5-5-2, 17 pts)12.416.78.946.10.0%0.7%0.4%4.3%
12Manchester United (4-4-4, 16 pts)14.312.511.254.10.1%4.2%8.0%0.6%
13Bournemouth (4-5-3, 15 pts)11.716.110.245.30.0%0.1%0.6%7.4%
14West Ham United (4-5-3, 15 pts)11.616.110.345.20.0%0.0%0.7%8.9%
15Everton (2-5-5, 11 pts)9.616.412.040.70.0%0.1%0.2%24.9%
16Leicester City (2-6-4, 10 pts)9.117.911.038.30.0%0.0%0.0%38.9%
17Wolverhampton (2-7-3, 9 pts)9.718.210.139.20.0%0.0%0.1%32.4%
18Ipswich Town (1-5-6, 9 pts)7.218.112.734.20.0%0.0%0.0%66.6%
19Crystal Palace (1-6-5, 8 pts)9.116.912.139.20.0%0.0%0.0%30.6%
20Southampton (1-10-1, 4 pts)7.922.37.831.60.0%0.0%0.0%79.5%

Predictions Methodology

The English Premier League projections are based on our proprietary algorithm which we use to project out soccer matches. The EPL is a twenty team league which plays 38 games through out the season. Currently, the top four teams receive a draw to the Champions League and the fifth place team receives a draw to Europa League. Each year, the 18th through 20th placed team gets relegated to the English Championship division.