English Premier League Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for November 29, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Southampton
Brighton and Hove Albion 		11.3%
71.4%		17.3%
+608
-239
+595
-250
0.80
2.32		3.12
o3¼-106
u3½-124
o3½+120
u3½-135
Volatility Bet Value Active
Games for Nov 28, 2024
Games for Nov 30, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Watford
Crystal Palace		15.5%
62.2%		22.2%
+459
-143
+435
-145
0
1		-0.55054-0.55909-0.47427
Brentford
Manchester United		8.8%
75.9%		15.4%
+370
-127
+365
-128
0
3		-0.59973-0.60651-0.27639
Arsenal
West Ham United		36.5%
35.6%		27.9%
-121
+357
-125
+340
2
1		-0.62168-0.63407-1.00750
Leicester City
Tottenham		19.0%
60.0%		21.0%
+810
-260
+775
-250
1
3		-0.34919-0.36008-0.51136
Chelsea
Everton		61.4%
17.1%		21.5%
-138
+426
-140
+405
0
1		-1.68298-1.66294-1.76849
Manchester City
Leeds United		75.9%
8.9%		15.2%
-295
+847
-320
+800
4
0		-0.31083-0.31780-0.27598
Norwich City
Aston Villa		8.4%
76.7%		14.9%
+697
-234
+700
-238
0
2		-0.38040-0.38346-0.26503
Crystal Palace
Southampton		23.2%
52.4%		24.4%
+216
+145
+210
+141
2
1		-1.18234-1.17115-1.46296
Brighton and Hove Albion
Wolverhampton		27.3%
44.1%		28.5%
+196
+182
+182
+174
3
0		-1.10530-1.07802-1.29828
Liverpool
Newcastle United		73.2%
10.2%		16.6%
-183
+572
-190
+700
1
0		-0.45593-0.41352-0.31147
Chelsea
Manchester United		36.1%
35.7%		28.2%
+113
+265
+115
+259
1
1		-1.30192-1.28172-1.26624
Leeds United
Crystal Palace		23.6%
51.2%		25.1%
+206
+147
+190
+141
0
0		-1.27001-1.28681-1.38043
Everton
Liverpool		5.0%
84.2%		10.7%
+1496
-480
+1600
-540
0
2		-0.21343-0.20517-0.17148
Southampton
Brighton and Hove Albion		27.7%
45.9%		26.4%
+290
+115
+285
+105
2
2		-1.23929-1.25400-1.33306
Wolverhampton
Burnley		28.2%
42.9%		28.9%
+213
+161
+192
+165
0
1		-0.97827-1.01214-0.84679
West Ham United
Chelsea		10.5%
72.6%		16.8%
+713
-225
+675
-240
0
1		-0.39025-0.39576-0.31953
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 11/25/24
#TeamWLTPtsWin PLChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
1Liverpool (10-1-1, 31 pts)24.66.27.181.161.2%99.2%0.6%0.0%
2Manchester City (7-3-2, 23 pts)23.37.37.477.229.0%96.5%2.5%0.0%
3Arsenal (6-2-4, 22 pts)20.07.710.270.37.1%84.2%8.4%0.0%
4Chelsea (6-2-4, 22 pts)17.89.211.064.51.8%47.9%20.2%0.0%
5Brighton and Hove Albion (6-2-4, 22 pts)16.610.211.261.00.4%24.2%20.0%0.0%
6Tottenham (6-5-1, 19 pts)17.612.48.060.80.2%27.0%17.8%0.0%
7Nottingham Forest (5-3-4, 19 pts)12.214.711.147.70.0%0.6%0.9%3.7%
8Aston Villa (5-3-4, 19 pts)15.011.811.356.20.2%8.2%9.5%0.2%
9Newcastle United (5-4-3, 18 pts)14.812.810.354.80.0%5.3%7.5%0.4%
10Fulham (5-4-3, 18 pts)13.414.510.150.30.0%1.8%2.6%1.6%
11Brentford (5-5-2, 17 pts)12.416.78.946.10.0%0.7%0.4%4.3%
12Manchester United (4-4-4, 16 pts)14.312.511.254.10.1%4.2%8.0%0.6%
13Bournemouth (4-5-3, 15 pts)11.716.110.245.30.0%0.1%0.6%7.4%
14West Ham United (4-5-3, 15 pts)11.616.110.345.20.0%0.0%0.7%8.9%
15Everton (2-5-5, 11 pts)9.616.412.040.70.0%0.1%0.2%24.9%
16Leicester City (2-6-4, 10 pts)9.117.911.038.30.0%0.0%0.0%38.9%
17Wolverhampton (2-7-3, 9 pts)9.718.210.139.20.0%0.0%0.1%32.4%
18Ipswich Town (1-5-6, 9 pts)7.218.112.734.20.0%0.0%0.0%66.6%
19Crystal Palace (1-6-5, 8 pts)9.116.912.139.20.0%0.0%0.0%30.6%
20Southampton (1-10-1, 4 pts)7.922.37.831.60.0%0.0%0.0%79.5%

Predictions Methodology

The English Premier League projections are based on our proprietary algorithm which we use to project out soccer matches. The EPL is a twenty team league which plays 38 games through out the season. Currently, the top four teams receive a draw to the Champions League and the fifth place team receives a draw to Europa League. Each year, the 18th through 20th placed team gets relegated to the English Championship division.