English Premier League Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for November 29, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Southampton
Brighton and Hove Albion 		11.3%
71.4%		17.3%
+655
-239
+595
-250
0.80
2.32		3.12
o3¼-106
u3½-124
o3½+120
u3½-135
Volatility Bet Value Active
Games for Nov 28, 2024
Games for Nov 30, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Tottenham
Brentford		49.5%
25.7%		24.8%
-132
+389
-140
+380
0
0		-1.41511-1.40793-1.39517
Aston Villa
Leicester City		29.7%
44.9%		25.4%
+154
+204
+144
+195
0
0		-1.26111-1.25520-1.37212
Watford
Manchester City		2.8%
89.5%		7.8%
+2512
-820
+1975
-840
1
5		-0.13643-0.16175-0.11124
Newcastle United
Norwich City		39.2%
32.6%		28.2%
+128
+254
+123
+250
3
0		-0.83926-0.83850-0.93705
Manchester United
Arsenal		27.7%
46.2%		26.1%
+270
+105
+275
-101
1
3		-0.74579-0.73041-0.77256
Southampton
Burnley		32.1%
40.3%		27.6%
+186
+170
+172
+170
0
2		-1.01162-1.02912-0.90798
Brighton and Hove Albion
Manchester City		4.8%
83.9%		11.3%
+1500
-408
+1350
-450
0
3		-0.23357-0.24577-0.17508
Arsenal
Chelsea		16.7%
61.7%		21.6%
+348
-105
+335
-115
4
2		-1.50896-1.51481-1.79234
Leicester City
Everton		33.3%
40.1%		26.6%
+191
+166
+190
+158
1
1		-1.22687-1.23943-1.32324
Crystal Palace
Newcastle United		29.2%
43.2%		27.6%
+257
+132
+236
+130
0
1		-0.86024-0.87498-0.83901
Manchester United
Liverpool		12.6%
69.0%		18.4%
+830
-289
+825
-310
0
4		-0.32123-0.32147-0.37170
Leicester City
Newcastle United		37.4%
35.4%		27.2%
+288
+109
+280
+110
1
2		-0.75489-0.77072-1.03911
Burnley
West Ham United		16.3%
62.0%		21.8%
+395
-124
+370
-125
1
1		-1.36137-1.34220-1.52496
Norwich City
Manchester United		5.3%
83.0%		11.7%
+925
-350
+1445
-360
2
3		-0.27648-0.23423-0.18644
Arsenal
Southampton		44.2%
29.7%		26.0%
-108
+320
-110
+301
0
1		-1.45740-1.43133-1.21359
Brentford
Watford		34.2%
36.7%		29.1%
+154
+201
+142
+210
2
1		-0.95288-0.92188-1.07403
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 11/25/24
#TeamWLTPtsWin PLChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
1Liverpool (10-1-1, 31 pts)24.66.27.181.161.2%99.2%0.6%0.0%
2Manchester City (7-3-2, 23 pts)23.37.37.477.229.0%96.5%2.5%0.0%
3Arsenal (6-2-4, 22 pts)20.07.710.270.37.1%84.2%8.4%0.0%
4Chelsea (6-2-4, 22 pts)17.89.211.064.51.8%47.9%20.2%0.0%
5Brighton and Hove Albion (6-2-4, 22 pts)16.610.211.261.00.4%24.2%20.0%0.0%
6Tottenham (6-5-1, 19 pts)17.612.48.060.80.2%27.0%17.8%0.0%
7Nottingham Forest (5-3-4, 19 pts)12.214.711.147.70.0%0.6%0.9%3.7%
8Aston Villa (5-3-4, 19 pts)15.011.811.356.20.2%8.2%9.5%0.2%
9Newcastle United (5-4-3, 18 pts)14.812.810.354.80.0%5.3%7.5%0.4%
10Fulham (5-4-3, 18 pts)13.414.510.150.30.0%1.8%2.6%1.6%
11Brentford (5-5-2, 17 pts)12.416.78.946.10.0%0.7%0.4%4.3%
12Manchester United (4-4-4, 16 pts)14.312.511.254.10.1%4.2%8.0%0.6%
13Bournemouth (4-5-3, 15 pts)11.716.110.245.30.0%0.1%0.6%7.4%
14West Ham United (4-5-3, 15 pts)11.616.110.345.20.0%0.0%0.7%8.9%
15Everton (2-5-5, 11 pts)9.616.412.040.70.0%0.1%0.2%24.9%
16Leicester City (2-6-4, 10 pts)9.117.911.038.30.0%0.0%0.0%38.9%
17Wolverhampton (2-7-3, 9 pts)9.718.210.139.20.0%0.0%0.1%32.4%
18Ipswich Town (1-5-6, 9 pts)7.218.112.734.20.0%0.0%0.0%66.6%
19Crystal Palace (1-6-5, 8 pts)9.116.912.139.20.0%0.0%0.0%30.6%
20Southampton (1-10-1, 4 pts)7.922.37.831.60.0%0.0%0.0%79.5%

Predictions Methodology

The English Premier League projections are based on our proprietary algorithm which we use to project out soccer matches. The EPL is a twenty team league which plays 38 games through out the season. Currently, the top four teams receive a draw to the Champions League and the fifth place team receives a draw to Europa League. Each year, the 18th through 20th placed team gets relegated to the English Championship division.