English Premier League Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for November 29, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Southampton
Brighton and Hove Albion 		11.3%
71.4%		17.3%
+665
-239
+595
-250
0.80
2.32		3.12
o3¼-110
u3½-124
o3½+120
u3½-135
Volatility Bet Value Active
Games for Nov 28, 2024
Games for Nov 30, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Brighton and Hove Albion
Tottenham		15.0%
64.7%		20.3%
+586
-184
+580
-205
1
0		-1.93905-1.96084-1.89839
Liverpool
Manchester City		23.2%
52.4%		24.5%
+291
+101
+293
+100
2
2		-1.35127-1.36215-1.40780
West Ham United
Brentford		41.1%
31.8%		27.1%
+182
+173
+175
+165
0
2		-1.02354-1.02482-1.14646
Crystal Palace
Leicester City		19.7%
57.2%		23.0%
+201
+157
+180
+155
1
2		-0.96443-0.98195-0.55800
Tottenham
Aston Villa		31.8%
42.5%		25.7%
+121
+250
+115
+235
4
0		-0.80809-0.81362-1.14728
Brighton and Hove Albion
Arsenal		12.7%
67.5%		19.8%
+535
-146
+477
-150
2
1		-1.86253-1.78195-2.06286
Chelsea
Southampton		58.7%
19.2%		22.1%
+101
+297
-105
+288
6
0		-0.72124-0.71200-0.53304
Manchester United
Everton		49.6%
25.5%		24.9%
-107
+316
-117
+340
0
1		-1.44244-1.51417-1.36759
Wolverhampton
Newcastle United		29.2%
42.8%		28.0%
+344
+100
+325
+100
0
1		-0.71231-0.73253-0.84816
Everton
Burnley		29.1%
43.3%		27.5%
+223
+155
+210
+150
2
3		-0.95415-0.96045-0.83614
Arsenal
Crystal Palace		47.3%
26.0%		26.6%
+104
+323
-105
+330
0
3		-1.45852-1.49343-1.34515
Newcastle United
Tottenham		11.8%
71.0%		17.2%
+565
-177
+540
-185
1
5		-0.46694-0.48023-0.34187
Everton
West Ham United		18.6%
59.7%		21.7%
+395
-128
+390
-130
1
2		-0.59957-0.61290-0.51609
Leicester City
Manchester United		15.0%
65.6%		19.4%
+500
-177
+480
-185
1
1		-1.54538-1.52929-1.64041
Norwich City
Brighton and Hove Albion		12.6%
67.0%		20.3%
+680
-196
+665
-210
0
0		-1.48307-1.47661-1.59302
Manchester City
Burnley		74.3%
9.1%		16.5%
-461
+1450
-590
+1550
2
0		-0.22503-0.20701-0.29671
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 11/25/24
#TeamWLTPtsWin PLChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
1Liverpool (10-1-1, 31 pts)24.66.27.181.161.2%99.2%0.6%0.0%
2Manchester City (7-3-2, 23 pts)23.37.37.477.229.0%96.5%2.5%0.0%
3Arsenal (6-2-4, 22 pts)20.07.710.270.37.1%84.2%8.4%0.0%
4Chelsea (6-2-4, 22 pts)17.89.211.064.51.8%47.9%20.2%0.0%
5Brighton and Hove Albion (6-2-4, 22 pts)16.610.211.261.00.4%24.2%20.0%0.0%
6Tottenham (6-5-1, 19 pts)17.612.48.060.80.2%27.0%17.8%0.0%
7Nottingham Forest (5-3-4, 19 pts)12.214.711.147.70.0%0.6%0.9%3.7%
8Aston Villa (5-3-4, 19 pts)15.011.811.356.20.2%8.2%9.5%0.2%
9Newcastle United (5-4-3, 18 pts)14.812.810.354.80.0%5.3%7.5%0.4%
10Fulham (5-4-3, 18 pts)13.414.510.150.30.0%1.8%2.6%1.6%
11Brentford (5-5-2, 17 pts)12.416.78.946.10.0%0.7%0.4%4.3%
12Manchester United (4-4-4, 16 pts)14.312.511.254.10.1%4.2%8.0%0.6%
13Bournemouth (4-5-3, 15 pts)11.716.110.245.30.0%0.1%0.6%7.4%
14West Ham United (4-5-3, 15 pts)11.616.110.345.20.0%0.0%0.7%8.9%
15Everton (2-5-5, 11 pts)9.616.412.040.70.0%0.1%0.2%24.9%
16Leicester City (2-6-4, 10 pts)9.117.911.038.30.0%0.0%0.0%38.9%
17Wolverhampton (2-7-3, 9 pts)9.718.210.139.20.0%0.0%0.1%32.4%
18Ipswich Town (1-5-6, 9 pts)7.218.112.734.20.0%0.0%0.0%66.6%
19Crystal Palace (1-6-5, 8 pts)9.116.912.139.20.0%0.0%0.0%30.6%
20Southampton (1-10-1, 4 pts)7.922.37.831.60.0%0.0%0.0%79.5%

Predictions Methodology

The English Premier League projections are based on our proprietary algorithm which we use to project out soccer matches. The EPL is a twenty team league which plays 38 games through out the season. Currently, the top four teams receive a draw to the Champions League and the fifth place team receives a draw to Europa League. Each year, the 18th through 20th placed team gets relegated to the English Championship division.