Ajax at FK R?gas FS

Updated

Ajax

72.7%15.6%11.8%
Ajax WinDrawWin
2.65Projected Goals 1.00
0Final Score 1

FK R?gas FS

Last 5 Games

Ajax
Money Line
L 3-1 vs Lazio+125
L 0-2 at Real Sociedad+320
W 0-5 vs Maccabi Tel Aviv-330
W 3-0 at Qarabag+160
T 1-1 at Slavia Prague+275
FK R?gas FS
Money Line
L 1-2 at Maccabi Tel Aviv+500
L 2-0 vs PAOK+330
T 1-1 vs Anderlecht+340
L 0-1 at Eintracht Frankfurt+1700
T 2-2 vs Galatasaray+750

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Ajax-183-223--220-240-220-220-198.2
FK R?gas FS+471+631-+600+617+600+631+624.1
Draw+358+370-+390+366+390+390+406.9
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Ajax-205----300-250-250-198.2
FK R?gas FS+500---+525+680+680+624.1
Draw+375---+360+380+380+406.9

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Ajax: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
FK R?gas FS: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Ajax: 10.0%
FK R?gas FS: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Ajax: 0.0%
FK R?gas FS: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Ajax ML moved from -230 to -252
FK R?gas FS ML moved from +652 to +631

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Ajax: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
FK R?gas FS: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Ajax: 0.0%
FK R?gas FS: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Ajax: 0.0%
FK R?gas FS: 30.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Ajax ML moved from -240 to -250
FK R?gas FS ML moved from +710 to +640

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-112o3+108-o2¾-120o2¾-119o2¾-120o2¾-119o2¾-109
Underu3-105u3-127-u2¾+100u2¾-101u2¾+100u3-127u2¾+109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-120---o3-115o3+105o3+105o2¾-109
Underu3+100---u3-115u3-125u3-115u2¾+109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u3¼-123 to u3-112

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u3-105 to u3-125

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes58.7%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 02.59%
Exactly 217.29%
Exactly 419.23%
Exactly 68.56%
Exactly 82.04%
Exactly 100.30%
 
Exactly 19.46%
Exactly 321.05%
Exactly 514.05%
Exactly 74.47%
Exactly 90.83%
Exactly 110.10%
Exact Goals Scored - Ajax
Exactly 07.01%
Exactly 118.64%
Exactly 224.76%
Exactly 321.93%
Exactly 414.57%
Exactly 57.74%
Exactly 63.43%
Exactly 71.30%
Exactly 80.43%
Exactly 90.13%
Exact Goals Scored - FK R?gas FS
Exactly 036.92%
Exactly 136.79%
Exactly 218.33%
Exactly 36.09%
Exactly 41.52%
Exactly 50.30%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 018.42%
Exactly 226.36%
Exactly 46.29%
Exactly 60.60%
 
Exactly 131.16%
Exactly 314.86%
Exactly 52.13%
Exactly 70.14%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Ajax
Exactly 029.22%
Exactly 135.95%
Exactly 222.11%
Exactly 39.07%
Exactly 42.79%
Exactly 50.69%
Exactly 60.14%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - FK R?gas FS
Exactly 063.05%
Exactly 129.08%
Exactly 26.71%
Exactly 31.03%
Exactly 40.12%

Alternate Props

Spread

Ajax
Wins by 2+ goals51.60%
Wins by 3+ goals31.19%
Wins by 4+ goals16.08%
Wins by 5+ goals7.14%
Wins by 6+ goals2.75%
FK R?gas FS
Wins by 2+ goals3.83%
Wins by 3+ goals0.97%
Wins by 4+ goals0.18%

Exact Winning Margin

Ajax
FK R?gas FS
6
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Ajax
Wins by 1 goal21.03%
Wins by 2 goals20.41%
Wins by 3 goals15.11%
Wins by 4 goals8.94%
Wins by 5 goals4.39%
Wins by 6 goals1.83%
FK R?gas FS
Wins by 1 goal7.88%
Wins by 2 goals2.86%
Wins by 3 goals0.78%
Wins by 4 goals0.16%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.597.41%2.59%
1.587.95%12.05%
2.570.66%29.34%
3.549.61%50.39%
4.530.38%69.62%
5.516.33%83.67%
6.57.78%92.22%
7.53.31%96.69%
8.51.27%98.73%

Total Goals Ajax Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.99%7.01%
1.574.35%25.65%
2.549.58%50.42%
3.527.65%72.35%
4.513.08%86.92%
5.55.34%94.66%
6.51.91%98.09%

Total Goals FK R?gas FS Over/Under

OverUnder
0.563.08%36.92%
1.526.29%73.71%
2.57.96%92.04%
3.51.88%98.12%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.581.58%18.42%
1.550.41%49.59%
2.524.06%75.94%
3.59.19%90.81%
4.52.91%97.09%

Score Props

Correct Score

Ajax
FK R?gas FS
Score01234
0
2.59%
2.58%
1.29%
0.43%
0.11%
1
6.88%
6.86%
3.42%
1.13%
0.28%
2
9.14%
9.11%
4.54%
1.51%
0.38%
3
8.10%
8.07%
4.02%
1.34%
0.33%
4
5.38%
5.36%
2.67%
0.89%
0.22%
5
2.86%
2.85%
1.42%
0.47%
0.12%
6
1.27%
1.26%
0.63%
0.21%
0.05%
Ajax
1-06.88%
2-09.14%
2-19.11%
3-08.10%
3-18.07%
3-24.02%
4-05.38%
4-15.36%
4-22.67%
4-30.89%
5-02.86%
5-12.85%
5-21.42%
5-30.47%
5-40.12%
6-01.27%
6-11.26%
6-20.63%
6-30.21%
Draw
0-02.59%
1-16.86%
2-24.54%
3-31.34%
4-40.22%
FK R?gas FS
0-12.58%
0-21.29%
1-23.42%
0-30.43%
1-31.13%
2-31.51%
0-40.11%
1-40.28%
2-40.38%
3-40.33%

Correct Score - First Half

Ajax
FK R?gas FS
Score0123
0
18.42%
8.50%
1.96%
0.30%
1
22.66%
10.46%
2.41%
0.37%
2
13.94%
6.43%
1.48%
0.23%
3
5.72%
2.64%
0.61%
0.09%
4
1.76%
0.81%
0.19%
0.03%
5
0.43%
0.20%
0.05%
0.01%
Ajax
1-022.66%
2-013.94%
2-16.43%
3-05.72%
3-12.64%
3-20.61%
4-01.76%
4-10.81%
4-20.19%
5-00.43%
5-10.20%
Draw
0-018.42%
1-110.46%
2-21.48%
FK R?gas FS
0-18.50%
0-21.96%
1-22.41%
0-30.30%
1-30.37%
2-30.23%