Freiburg at Stuttgart

Updated

Freiburg

27.6%24.4%48.0%
Freiburg WinDrawStuttgart Win
1.19Projected Goals 1.64

VfB Stuttgart

Last 5 Games

Freiburg
Money Line
L 1-4 at Eintracht Frankfurt+380
W 2-3 vs Holstein Kiel-220
L 1-5 at Bayer 04 Leverkusen+700
W 2-3 vs Wolfsburg+135
T 1-1 at Hoffenheim+186
VfB Stuttgart
Money Line
W 1-2 vs RB Leipzig+100
W 1-0 at Augsburg-105
L 1-0 vs FC St. Pauli-200
W 3-1 at FC Heidenheim-130
W 2-3 vs Union Berlin-115

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Freiburg+341+376+350+410-+410+410+427.9
Stuttgart-137-150-150-153--153-150-140.5
Draw+326+336+340+327-+327+350+342.0
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Freiburg-----+427.9
Stuttgart------140.5
Draw-----+342.0

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Freiburg: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Stuttgart: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Freiburg: 40.0%
Stuttgart: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Freiburg: 20.0%
Stuttgart: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Freiburg ML
No Steam Moves On Stuttgart ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-117o3-117o3-112o3-117-o3-117o3-112o3-106
Underu3+100u3+100u3-108u3-103-u3-103u3+100u3+106
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o3-106
Under-----u3+106

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes56.0%
 
No44.0%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 05.93%
Exactly 223.66%
Exactly 415.74%
Exactly 64.19%
Exactly 80.60%
 
Exactly 116.75%
Exactly 322.29%
Exactly 58.90%
Exactly 71.69%
Exactly 90.19%
Exact Goals Scored - Freiburg
Exactly 030.58%
Exactly 136.23%
Exactly 221.46%
Exactly 38.48%
Exactly 42.51%
Exactly 50.59%
Exactly 60.12%
Exact Goals Scored - VfB Stuttgart
Exactly 019.38%
Exactly 131.80%
Exactly 226.09%
Exactly 314.27%
Exactly 45.85%
Exactly 51.92%
Exactly 60.53%
Exactly 70.12%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 027.03%
Exactly 223.13%
Exactly 43.30%
Exactly 60.19%
 
Exactly 135.36%
Exactly 310.09%
Exactly 50.86%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Freiburg
Exactly 057.78%
Exactly 131.69%
Exactly 28.69%
Exactly 31.59%
Exactly 40.22%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - VfB Stuttgart
Exactly 046.78%
Exactly 135.54%
Exactly 213.50%
Exactly 33.42%
Exactly 40.65%

Alternate Props

Spread

Freiburg
Wins by 2+ goals11.10%
Wins by 3+ goals3.50%
Wins by 4+ goals0.88%
Wins by 5+ goals0.18%
VfB Stuttgart
Wins by 2+ goals25.18%
Wins by 3+ goals10.60%
Wins by 4+ goals3.66%
Wins by 5+ goals1.05%
Wins by 6+ goals0.24%

Exact Winning Margin

Freiburg
VfB Stuttgart
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Freiburg
Wins by 1 goal16.46%
Wins by 2 goals7.60%
Wins by 3 goals2.61%
Wins by 4 goals0.71%
Wins by 5 goals0.15%
VfB Stuttgart
Wins by 1 goal22.79%
Wins by 2 goals14.58%
Wins by 3 goals6.94%
Wins by 4 goals2.61%
Wins by 5 goals0.80%
Wins by 6 goals0.21%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.07%5.93%
1.577.32%22.68%
2.553.66%46.34%
3.531.37%68.63%
4.515.63%84.37%
5.56.73%93.27%
6.52.55%97.45%

Total Goals Freiburg Over/Under

OverUnder
0.569.42%30.58%
1.533.18%66.82%
2.511.72%88.28%
3.53.25%96.75%

Total Goals VfB Stuttgart Over/Under

OverUnder
0.580.62%19.38%
1.548.81%51.19%
2.522.72%77.28%
3.58.45%91.55%
4.52.60%97.40%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.572.97%27.03%
1.537.61%62.39%
2.514.48%85.52%
3.54.39%95.61%
4.51.09%98.91%

Score Props

Correct Score

Freiburg
VfB Stuttgart
Score012345
0
5.93%
9.73%
7.98%
4.36%
1.79%
0.59%
1
7.02%
11.52%
9.45%
5.17%
2.12%
0.70%
2
4.16%
6.83%
5.60%
3.06%
1.26%
0.41%
3
1.64%
2.70%
2.21%
1.21%
0.50%
0.16%
4
0.49%
0.80%
0.65%
0.36%
0.15%
0.05%
5
0.12%
0.19%
0.16%
0.08%
0.03%
0.01%
Freiburg
1-07.02%
2-04.16%
2-16.83%
3-01.64%
3-12.70%
3-22.21%
4-00.49%
4-10.80%
4-20.65%
4-30.36%
5-00.12%
5-10.19%
5-20.16%
Draw
0-05.93%
1-111.52%
2-25.60%
3-31.21%
4-40.15%
VfB Stuttgart
0-19.73%
0-27.98%
1-29.45%
0-34.36%
1-35.17%
2-33.06%
0-41.79%
1-42.12%
2-41.26%
3-40.50%
0-50.59%
1-50.70%
2-50.41%
3-50.16%

Correct Score - First Half

Freiburg
VfB Stuttgart
Score01234
0
27.03%
20.53%
7.80%
1.97%
0.38%
1
14.83%
11.26%
4.28%
1.08%
0.21%
2
4.07%
3.09%
1.17%
0.30%
0.06%
3
0.74%
0.56%
0.21%
0.05%
0.01%
4
0.10%
0.08%
0.03%
0.01%
0.00%
Freiburg
1-014.83%
2-04.07%
2-13.09%
3-00.74%
3-10.56%
3-20.21%
4-00.10%
Draw
0-027.03%
1-111.26%
2-21.17%
VfB Stuttgart
0-120.53%
0-27.80%
1-24.28%
0-31.97%
1-31.08%
2-30.30%
0-40.38%
1-40.21%