German Bundesliga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for November 29, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML
GoalsTotal
Goals
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Holstein Kiel
FC St. Pauli
23.5%
54.6%
21.9%
+315
-115

1.21
1.96
3.17
o2½-114
u2½+100

Games for Nov 28, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML
Final
Goals
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
VfB Stuttgart
Mainz 05
23.4%
53.6%
23.0%
+160
+180
+155
+180
4
1
-0.98663-0.97859-1.45363
RB Leipzig
Bayern Munich
12.9%
70.1%
17.0%
+496
-184
+453
-195
3
1
-1.80060-1.75510-2.05058
Union Berlin
Hoffenheim
12.4%
70.7%
16.9%
+224
+138
+205
+133
2
4
-0.88559-0.89172-0.34725
VfL Bochum
Hertha BSC
18.1%
61.6%
20.3%
+181
+143
+185
+132
1
1
-1.38067-1.39857-1.59371
FC Koln
Werder Bremen
28.1%
47.9%
24.0%
+173
+152
+162
+160
1
1
-1.36489-1.34228-1.42874
Eintracht Frankfurt
Schalke 04
43.2%
32.2%
24.6%
+143
+191
+132
+185
2
2
-1.34531-1.36916-1.40291
Wolfsburg
Freiburg
17.0%
62.3%
20.7%
+222
+124
+220
+115
0
2
-0.82307-0.80542-0.47350
Werder Bremen
RB Leipzig
13.0%
69.7%
17.3%
+1040
-393
+1150
-450
1
2
-0.25019-0.23614-0.36146
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
VfB Stuttgart
38.6%
35.4%
26.0%
+175
+165
+165
+155
1
1
-1.29346-1.33731-1.34857
Borussia Monchengladbach
Dortmund
14.3%
68.5%
17.2%
+992
-426
+920
-450
2
5
-0.23698-0.24687-0.37864
Hoffenheim
Wolfsburg
37.2%
36.5%
26.3%
+275
-104
+270
-112
1
2
-0.69987-0.68256-1.00794
Schalke 04
Bayern Munich
3.9%
88.0%
8.1%
+1700
-668
+1600
-755
0
6
-0.16124-0.16588-0.12805
Augsburg
VfL Bochum
31.3%
43.2%
25.5%
+215
+129
+220
+125
2
3
-0.85125-0.83993-0.83965
Freiburg
Union Berlin
47.2%
27.5%
25.3%
+315
+113
+307
+110
2
4
-0.77881-0.78054-1.29117
Mainz 05
Eintracht Frankfurt
23.8%
53.8%
22.4%
+250
+111
+240
+105
0
3
-0.77405-0.76462-0.61982
Wolfsburg
Dortmund
10.8%
73.6%
15.6%
+465
-197
+475
-200
0
6
-0.44083-0.43889-0.30601
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 11/24/24
#TeamWLTPtsWin LeagueMake Champions LeagueMake Europa LeagueRelegation PlayoffRelegation
1Bayern Munich (9-0-2, 29 pts)22.34.37.474.486.2%99.5%0.4%0.0%0.0%
2Eintracht Frankfurt (7-2-2, 23 pts)16.29.48.557.00.8%52.6%26.2%0.0%0.0%
3RB Leipzig (6-2-3, 21 pts)16.68.39.158.92.5%65.9%21.9%0.0%0.0%
4Bayer 04 Leverkusen (5-1-5, 20 pts)17.75.710.663.89.7%89.1%8.1%0.0%0.0%
5Dortmund (6-4-1, 19 pts)16.010.77.355.30.6%39.8%31.9%0.0%0.0%
6Borussia Monchengladbach (5-4-2, 17 pts)12.712.78.646.70.0%4.9%15.5%0.4%0.3%
7Freiburg (5-4-2, 17 pts)14.111.68.350.50.1%13.6%23.5%0.3%0.1%
8Mainz 05 (4-3-4, 16 pts)11.212.310.544.00.0%2.7%7.7%2.2%0.5%
9VfB Stuttgart (4-3-4, 16 pts)14.09.710.252.30.0%22.7%31.1%0.0%0.0%
10Union Berlin (4-3-4, 16 pts)12.211.410.446.90.1%4.0%13.1%0.6%0.4%
11Wolfsburg (4-4-3, 15 pts)11.712.79.644.70.0%2.9%9.7%1.4%0.5%
12Werder Bremen (4-4-3, 15 pts)11.213.29.743.20.0%1.2%5.4%3.7%1.4%
13Hoffenheim (3-5-3, 12 pts)10.214.49.440.00.0%0.5%2.7%7.0%3.1%
14Augsburg (3-5-3, 12 pts)10.214.49.440.00.0%0.6%2.2%6.4%3.9%
15FC Heidenheim (3-7-1, 10 pts)8.917.87.334.10.0%0.0%0.5%19.5%19.3%
16FC St. Pauli (2-7-2, 8 pts)7.718.18.231.30.0%0.0%0.1%24.7%35.7%
17Holstein Kiel (1-8-2, 5 pts)6.319.87.926.70.0%0.0%0.0%14.2%72.0%
18VfL Bochum (0-9-2, 2 pts)6.619.28.328.00.0%0.0%0.0%19.6%62.8%

Predictions Methodology

The game and score predictions above do not account for injuries, weather or any other random factor that may be cause the outcome to be swayed. See my disclaimer page for information on the benefits and downfalls about these Bundesliga predictions: disclaimer

The German Bundesliga pits all 18 teams against each other in a home-and-home series for a total of 34 games in a season. The top four teams qualify for the Champions League, and the fifth and sixth teams in the final standings qualify for Europa league. The bottom two teams in the Bundesliga get relegated, while the 16th ranked team plays the third ranked team in 2. Bundesliga to determine who will play in the top division for the next season.

These game predictions should be used for entertainment purposes only. The Season Projection for the Bundesliga is based on a simulation with 1,000 iterations.