German Bundesliga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for November 29, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML
GoalsTotal
Goals
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Holstein Kiel
FC St. Pauli
23.5%
54.6%
21.9%
+315
-115

1.21
1.96
3.17
o2½-114
u2½+100

Games for Nov 28, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML
Final
Goals
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Dortmund
VfL Bochum
64.8%
16.4%
18.8%
-210
+538
-230
+570
1
1
-1.68255-1.71725-1.66924
Union Berlin
Borussia Monchengladbach
14.9%
66.5%
18.6%
+200
+160
+200
+145
1
0
-1.11496-1.14662-1.90253
RB Leipzig
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
33.7%
40.5%
25.7%
+169
+174
+165
+160
0
2
-1.02619-0.99978-0.90283
Schalke 04
Freiburg
13.2%
69.2%
17.6%
+383
-121
+365
-120
0
4
-0.62478-0.64371-0.36865
Eintracht Frankfurt
Dortmund
16.3%
65.4%
18.3%
+433
-163
+396
-170
0
4
-0.49837-0.50569-0.42402
Werder Bremen
Hertha BSC
32.0%
42.8%
25.1%
+217
+141
+205
+135
4
2
-1.16970-1.15350-1.13856
Wolfsburg
VfL Bochum
37.5%
35.8%
26.7%
+126
+224
+121
+215
5
1
-0.83229-0.83961-0.97998
FC Koln
Hoffenheim
22.2%
56.3%
21.5%
+222
+137
+215
+124
3
1
-1.18741-1.19198-1.50539
Bayern Munich
Mainz 05
64.6%
16.1%
19.2%
-190
+545
-190
+465
1
3
-1.88677-1.77732-1.82375
VfB Stuttgart
Augsburg
35.4%
38.2%
26.4%
+126
+233
+119
+215
1
1
-1.31733-1.35174-1.33268
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Wolfsburg
41.6%
32.4%
26.0%
+155
+183
+155
+172
0
0
-1.30394-1.30759-1.34888
VfL Bochum
Union Berlin
23.7%
52.9%
23.4%
+435
-128
+425
-140
1
1
-1.33663-1.33937-1.45064
Freiburg
Werder Bremen
33.6%
40.3%
26.1%
+180
+178
+168
+168
2
1
-1.04842-1.02541-1.09035
Borussia Monchengladbach
Eintracht Frankfurt
24.0%
54.2%
21.8%
+302
-106
+290
-109
1
1
-1.39010-1.39473-1.52124
Mainz 05
FC Koln
27.2%
48.9%
23.9%
+175
+173
+180
+165
1
1
-1.22635-1.23932-1.43108
Hoffenheim
Bayern Munich
7.7%
80.0%
12.3%
+1300
-511
+1255
-550
1
1
-2.13877-2.13979-2.09427
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 11/24/24
#TeamWLTPtsWin LeagueMake Champions LeagueMake Europa LeagueRelegation PlayoffRelegation
1Bayern Munich (9-0-2, 29 pts)22.34.37.474.486.2%99.5%0.4%0.0%0.0%
2Eintracht Frankfurt (7-2-2, 23 pts)16.29.48.557.00.8%52.6%26.2%0.0%0.0%
3RB Leipzig (6-2-3, 21 pts)16.68.39.158.92.5%65.9%21.9%0.0%0.0%
4Bayer 04 Leverkusen (5-1-5, 20 pts)17.75.710.663.89.7%89.1%8.1%0.0%0.0%
5Dortmund (6-4-1, 19 pts)16.010.77.355.30.6%39.8%31.9%0.0%0.0%
6Borussia Monchengladbach (5-4-2, 17 pts)12.712.78.646.70.0%4.9%15.5%0.4%0.3%
7Freiburg (5-4-2, 17 pts)14.111.68.350.50.1%13.6%23.5%0.3%0.1%
8Mainz 05 (4-3-4, 16 pts)11.212.310.544.00.0%2.7%7.7%2.2%0.5%
9VfB Stuttgart (4-3-4, 16 pts)14.09.710.252.30.0%22.7%31.1%0.0%0.0%
10Union Berlin (4-3-4, 16 pts)12.211.410.446.90.1%4.0%13.1%0.6%0.4%
11Wolfsburg (4-4-3, 15 pts)11.712.79.644.70.0%2.9%9.7%1.4%0.5%
12Werder Bremen (4-4-3, 15 pts)11.213.29.743.20.0%1.2%5.4%3.7%1.4%
13Hoffenheim (3-5-3, 12 pts)10.214.49.440.00.0%0.5%2.7%7.0%3.1%
14Augsburg (3-5-3, 12 pts)10.214.49.440.00.0%0.6%2.2%6.4%3.9%
15FC Heidenheim (3-7-1, 10 pts)8.917.87.334.10.0%0.0%0.5%19.5%19.3%
16FC St. Pauli (2-7-2, 8 pts)7.718.18.231.30.0%0.0%0.1%24.7%35.7%
17Holstein Kiel (1-8-2, 5 pts)6.319.87.926.70.0%0.0%0.0%14.2%72.0%
18VfL Bochum (0-9-2, 2 pts)6.619.28.328.00.0%0.0%0.0%19.6%62.8%

Predictions Methodology

The game and score predictions above do not account for injuries, weather or any other random factor that may be cause the outcome to be swayed. See my disclaimer page for information on the benefits and downfalls about these Bundesliga predictions: disclaimer

The German Bundesliga pits all 18 teams against each other in a home-and-home series for a total of 34 games in a season. The top four teams qualify for the Champions League, and the fifth and sixth teams in the final standings qualify for Europa league. The bottom two teams in the Bundesliga get relegated, while the 16th ranked team plays the third ranked team in 2. Bundesliga to determine who will play in the top division for the next season.

These game predictions should be used for entertainment purposes only. The Season Projection for the Bundesliga is based on a simulation with 1,000 iterations.