Atalanta at Fiorentina

Updated

Atalanta

54.6%22.5%22.9%
Atalanta WinDrawFiorentina Win
1.88Projected Goals 1.14
0Final Score 1

Fiorentina

Last 5 Games

Atalanta
Money Line
T 1-1 vs Juventus+190
L 2-1 vs Cagliari-420
T 0-0 at Lazio+210
T 0-0 vs Inter+215
W 6-2 at Udinese-145
Fiorentina
Money Line
W 2-1 at Spezia-105
L 3-0 vs Lazio+135
T 1-1 at Cagliari-160
W 0-6 vs Genoa-250
L 0-4 at Torino+145

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
5.0%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Atalanta+135+170+175+173+172+175+175+181.1
Fiorentina+200+155+160+166+158+160+166+170.6
Draw+235+230+250+259+231+250+259+264.0
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Atalanta+145---+145+155+155+181.1
Fiorentina+180---+145+170+170+170.6
Draw+250---+225+245+245+264.0

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Atalanta: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Fiorentina: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Atalanta: 40.0%
Fiorentina: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Atalanta: 0.0%
Fiorentina: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Atalanta ML moved from +170 to +160
Fiorentina ML moved from +162 to +152

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Atalanta: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Fiorentina: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Atalanta: 40.0%
Fiorentina: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Atalanta: 0.0%
Fiorentina: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Atalanta ML moved from +175 to +155
Fiorentina ML moved from +180 to +160

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-2.2%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¾-115o2¾-118o2¾-112o2½-141-o2¾-112o2½-141o2½-133
Underu2¾-105u2¾-102u2¾-108u2½+126-u2¾-108u2¾-102u2½+133
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3+115o2½-130--o3-105o2½-145o2½-130o2½-133
Underu3-135u2½+110--u3-125u2½+125u3-125u2½+133

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o2½-140 to o3+100
The Under moved from u3-140 to u2½+105

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes57.6%
 
No42.4%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 04.89%
Exactly 222.26%
Exactly 416.91%
Exactly 65.14%
Exactly 80.84%
 
Exactly 114.75%
Exactly 322.40%
Exactly 510.21%
Exactly 72.21%
Exactly 90.28%
Exact Goals Scored - Atalanta
Exactly 015.29%
Exactly 128.72%
Exactly 226.96%
Exactly 316.87%
Exactly 47.92%
Exactly 52.97%
Exactly 60.93%
Exactly 70.25%
Exact Goals Scored - Fiorentina
Exactly 031.95%
Exactly 136.45%
Exactly 220.80%
Exactly 37.91%
Exactly 42.26%
Exactly 50.51%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 024.72%
Exactly 224.14%
Exactly 43.93%
Exactly 60.26%
 
Exactly 134.55%
Exactly 311.25%
Exactly 51.10%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Atalanta
Exactly 041.92%
Exactly 136.45%
Exactly 215.84%
Exactly 34.59%
Exactly 41.00%
Exactly 50.17%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Fiorentina
Exactly 058.96%
Exactly 131.15%
Exactly 28.23%
Exactly 31.45%
Exactly 40.19%

Alternate Props

Spread

Atalanta
Wins by 2+ goals31.29%
Wins by 3+ goals14.62%
Wins by 4+ goals5.64%
Wins by 5+ goals1.81%
Fiorentina
Wins by 2+ goals8.72%
Wins by 3+ goals2.57%
Wins by 4+ goals0.57%

Exact Winning Margin

Atalanta
Fiorentina
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Atalanta
Wins by 1 goal23.21%
Wins by 2 goals16.67%
Wins by 3 goals8.98%
Wins by 4 goals3.83%
Wins by 5 goals1.34%
Fiorentina
Wins by 1 goal14.10%
Wins by 2 goals6.15%
Wins by 3 goals2.00%
Wins by 4 goals0.49%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.595.11%4.89%
1.580.36%19.64%
2.558.10%41.90%
3.535.70%64.30%
4.518.79%81.21%
5.58.58%91.42%
6.53.45%96.55%
7.51.23%98.77%

Total Goals Atalanta Over/Under

OverUnder
0.584.71%15.29%
1.555.99%44.01%
2.529.03%70.97%
3.512.15%87.85%
4.54.23%95.77%
5.51.25%98.75%

Total Goals Fiorentina Over/Under

OverUnder
0.568.05%31.95%
1.531.60%68.40%
2.510.80%89.20%
3.52.89%97.11%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.575.28%24.72%
1.540.74%59.26%
2.516.59%83.41%
3.55.35%94.65%
4.51.42%98.58%

Score Props

Correct Score

Atalanta
Fiorentina
Score01234
0
4.89%
5.58%
3.18%
1.21%
0.35%
1
9.18%
10.47%
5.97%
2.27%
0.65%
2
8.61%
9.83%
5.61%
2.13%
0.61%
3
5.39%
6.15%
3.51%
1.33%
0.38%
4
2.53%
2.89%
1.65%
0.63%
0.18%
5
0.95%
1.08%
0.62%
0.24%
0.07%
Atalanta
1-09.18%
2-08.61%
2-19.83%
3-05.39%
3-16.15%
3-23.51%
4-02.53%
4-12.89%
4-21.65%
4-30.63%
5-00.95%
5-11.08%
5-20.62%
5-30.24%
Draw
0-04.89%
1-110.47%
2-25.61%
3-31.33%
4-40.18%
Fiorentina
0-15.58%
0-23.18%
1-25.97%
0-31.21%
1-32.27%
2-32.13%
0-40.35%
1-40.65%
2-40.61%
3-40.38%

Correct Score - First Half

Atalanta
Fiorentina
Score0123
0
24.72%
13.06%
3.45%
0.61%
1
21.49%
11.35%
3.00%
0.53%
2
9.34%
4.93%
1.30%
0.23%
3
2.71%
1.43%
0.38%
0.07%
4
0.59%
0.31%
0.08%
0.01%
5
0.10%
0.05%
0.01%
0.00%
Atalanta
1-021.49%
2-09.34%
2-14.93%
3-02.71%
3-11.43%
3-20.38%
4-00.59%
4-10.31%
5-00.10%
Draw
0-024.72%
1-111.35%
2-21.30%
Fiorentina
0-113.06%
0-23.45%
1-23.00%
0-30.61%
1-30.53%
2-30.23%