Fiorentina at Spezia

Updated

Fiorentina

41.6%26.1%32.3%
Fiorentina WinDrawSpezia Win
1.45Projected Goals 1.13
2Final Score 1

Spezia

Last 5 Games

Fiorentina
Money Line
L 3-0 vs Lazio+135
T 1-1 at Cagliari-160
W 0-6 vs Genoa-250
L 0-4 at Torino+145
T 1-1 at Hellas Verona+140
Spezia
Money Line
T 2-2 at Salernitana+175
W 0-1 vs Sampdoria+165
W 2-1 at Milan+950
W 1-0 at Genoa+260
L 2-1 vs Hellas Verona+240

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.4%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Fiorentina-120+100-105+101-108-105+101+103.4
Spezia+310+275+306+295+285+306+306+314.4
Draw+280+260+260+268+260+260+268+274.6
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Fiorentina-105----130-105-105+103.4
Spezia+295---+290+285+290+314.4
Draw+250---+230+260+260+274.6

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Fiorentina: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Spezia: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Fiorentina: 0.0%
Spezia: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Fiorentina: 0.0%
Spezia: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Fiorentina ML moved from +100 to -105
Spezia ML moved from +330 to +306

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Fiorentina: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Spezia: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Fiorentina: 0.0%
Spezia: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Fiorentina: 0.0%
Spezia: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Fiorentina ML
Spezia ML moved from +310 to +285

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.1%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¾-112o2½-122o2½-120o2½-118-o2½-120o2½-118o2½-109
Underu2¾-108u2½+102u2½+100u2½+103-u2½+100u2½+103u2½+109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-140o2½-125--o2½-140o2½-125o2½-125o2½-109
Underu2½+120u2½+105--u2½+110u2½+105u2½+110u2½+109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes51.8%
 
No48.2%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 07.56%
Exactly 225.20%
Exactly 414.01%
Exactly 63.12%
Exactly 80.37%
 
Exactly 119.52%
Exactly 321.70%
Exactly 57.24%
Exactly 71.15%
Exactly 90.11%
Exact Goals Scored - Fiorentina
Exactly 023.35%
Exactly 133.97%
Exactly 224.70%
Exactly 311.98%
Exactly 44.35%
Exactly 51.27%
Exactly 60.31%
Exact Goals Scored - Spezia
Exactly 032.36%
Exactly 136.51%
Exactly 220.60%
Exactly 37.75%
Exactly 42.18%
Exactly 50.49%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 030.25%
Exactly 221.63%
Exactly 42.58%
Exactly 60.12%
 
Exactly 136.17%
Exactly 38.62%
Exactly 50.62%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Fiorentina
Exactly 051.00%
Exactly 134.34%
Exactly 211.56%
Exactly 32.60%
Exactly 40.44%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Spezia
Exactly 059.31%
Exactly 130.98%
Exactly 28.09%
Exactly 31.41%
Exactly 40.18%

Alternate Props

Spread

Fiorentina
Wins by 2+ goals21.67%
Wins by 3+ goals8.31%
Wins by 4+ goals2.56%
Wins by 5+ goals0.62%
Spezia
Wins by 2+ goals11.50%
Wins by 3+ goals3.47%
Wins by 4+ goals0.79%
Wins by 5+ goals0.12%

Exact Winning Margin

Fiorentina
Spezia
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Fiorentina
Wins by 1 goal22.84%
Wins by 2 goals13.37%
Wins by 3 goals5.75%
Wins by 4 goals1.93%
Wins by 5 goals0.52%
Spezia
Wins by 1 goal17.72%
Wins by 2 goals8.04%
Wins by 3 goals2.67%
Wins by 4 goals0.68%
Wins by 5 goals0.12%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.44%7.56%
1.572.93%27.07%
2.547.72%52.28%
3.526.02%73.98%
4.512.01%87.99%
5.54.78%95.22%
6.51.66%98.34%

Total Goals Fiorentina Over/Under

OverUnder
0.576.65%23.35%
1.542.68%57.32%
2.517.98%82.02%
3.56.01%93.99%
4.51.65%98.35%

Total Goals Spezia Over/Under

OverUnder
0.567.64%32.36%
1.531.13%68.87%
2.510.53%89.47%
3.52.79%97.21%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.569.75%30.25%
1.533.59%66.41%
2.511.96%88.04%
3.53.34%96.66%

Score Props

Correct Score

Fiorentina
Spezia
Score012345
0
7.56%
8.53%
4.81%
1.81%
0.51%
0.12%
1
10.99%
12.40%
7.00%
2.63%
0.74%
0.17%
2
7.99%
9.02%
5.09%
1.91%
0.54%
0.12%
3
3.88%
4.37%
2.47%
0.93%
0.26%
0.06%
4
1.41%
1.59%
0.90%
0.34%
0.10%
0.02%
5
0.41%
0.46%
0.26%
0.10%
0.03%
0.01%
Fiorentina
1-010.99%
2-07.99%
2-19.02%
3-03.88%
3-14.37%
3-22.47%
4-01.41%
4-11.59%
4-20.90%
4-30.34%
5-00.41%
5-10.46%
5-20.26%
Draw
0-07.56%
1-112.40%
2-25.09%
3-30.93%
Spezia
0-18.53%
0-24.81%
1-27.00%
0-31.81%
1-32.63%
2-31.91%
0-40.51%
1-40.74%
2-40.54%
3-40.26%
0-50.12%
1-50.17%
2-50.12%

Correct Score - First Half

Fiorentina
Spezia
Score0123
0
30.25%
15.80%
4.13%
0.72%
1
20.37%
10.64%
2.78%
0.48%
2
6.86%
3.58%
0.94%
0.16%
3
1.54%
0.80%
0.21%
0.04%
4
0.26%
0.14%
0.04%
0.01%
Fiorentina
1-020.37%
2-06.86%
2-13.58%
3-01.54%
3-10.80%
3-20.21%
4-00.26%
4-10.14%
Draw
0-030.25%
1-110.64%
2-20.94%
Spezia
0-115.80%
0-24.13%
1-22.78%
0-30.72%
1-30.48%
2-30.16%