Genoa at Milan

Updated

Genoa

7.4%14.0%78.6%
WinDrawMilan Win
0.67Projected Goals 2.60
0Final Score 0

Milan

Last 5 Games

Genoa
Money Line
T 0-0 vs Torino+140
W 2-0 at Udinese+322
T 2-2 vs Cagliari+160
T 1-1 vs Como+225
W 1-0 at Parma+400
Milan
Money Line
L 1-2 at Atalanta+235
W 0-3 vs Empoli-320
T 0-0 vs Juventus+135
T 3-3 at Cagliari-160
W 1-0 at Monza-160

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Genoa+845+537+500+660+554+660+660+686.4
Milan-313-182-190-195-189-195-182-176.9
Draw+467+320+330+313+312+313+330+327.3
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Genoa+825-+600-+530+580+600+686.4
Milan-330--202--250-200-200-176.9
Draw+465-+315-+290+325+325+327.3

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Genoa: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Milan: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Genoa: 0.0%
Milan: 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Genoa: 30.0%
Milan: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Genoa ML moved from +557 to +540
Milan ML moved from -188 to -206

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Genoa: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Milan: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Genoa: 0.0%
Milan: 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Genoa: 20.0%
Milan: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Genoa ML moved from +610 to +590
Milan ML moved from -200 to -215

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-118o2½-112o2½-108o2½-108o2½-107o2½-108o2½-107o2½+102
Underu3+101u2½-105u2½-112u2½-112u2½-113u2½-112u2½-105u2½-102
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3+100o2½-115o2½+100-o2½-125o2½-115o2½+100o2½+102
Underu3-120u2½-105u2½-120-u2½-105u2½-105u2½-105u2½-102

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u3-125 to u2½+115

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes45.4%
 
No54.6%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 03.80%
Exactly 220.32%
Exactly 418.11%
Exactly 66.46%
Exactly 81.23%
Exactly 100.15%
 
Exactly 112.42%
Exactly 322.15%
Exactly 511.84%
Exactly 73.02%
Exactly 90.45%
Exact Goals Scored - Genoa
Exactly 050.94%
Exactly 134.36%
Exactly 211.59%
Exactly 32.61%
Exactly 40.44%
Exact Goals Scored - Milan
Exactly 07.46%
Exactly 119.36%
Exactly 225.13%
Exactly 321.74%
Exactly 414.11%
Exactly 57.33%
Exactly 63.17%
Exactly 71.18%
Exactly 80.38%
Exactly 90.11%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 022.00%
Exactly 225.22%
Exactly 44.82%
Exactly 60.37%
 
Exactly 133.31%
Exactly 312.73%
Exactly 51.46%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Genoa
Exactly 073.17%
Exactly 122.85%
Exactly 23.57%
Exactly 30.37%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Milan
Exactly 030.06%
Exactly 136.13%
Exactly 221.71%
Exactly 38.70%
Exactly 42.61%
Exactly 50.63%
Exactly 60.13%

Alternate Props

Spread

Genoa
Wins by 2+ goals1.79%
Wins by 3+ goals0.31%
Milan
Wins by 2+ goals57.14%
Wins by 3+ goals35.03%
Wins by 4+ goals18.17%
Wins by 5+ goals8.06%
Wins by 6+ goals3.10%
Wins by 7+ goals1.03%
Wins by 8+ goals0.29%

Exact Winning Margin

Genoa
Milan
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Genoa
Wins by 1 goal5.56%
Wins by 2 goals1.48%
Wins by 3 goals0.28%
Milan
Wins by 1 goal21.42%
Wins by 2 goals22.11%
Wins by 3 goals16.86%
Wins by 4 goals10.10%
Wins by 5 goals4.97%
Wins by 6 goals2.07%
Wins by 7 goals0.74%
Wins by 8 goals0.23%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.596.20%3.80%
1.583.78%16.22%
2.563.46%36.54%
3.541.31%58.69%
4.523.20%76.80%
5.511.36%88.64%
6.54.90%95.10%
7.51.89%98.11%

Total Goals Genoa Over/Under

OverUnder
0.549.06%50.94%
1.514.70%85.30%
2.53.11%96.89%

Total Goals Milan Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.54%7.46%
1.573.18%26.82%
2.548.05%51.95%
3.526.31%73.69%
4.512.20%87.80%
5.54.87%95.13%
6.51.70%98.30%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.578.00%22.00%
1.544.69%55.31%
2.519.47%80.53%
3.56.74%93.26%
4.51.93%98.07%

Score Props

Correct Score

Genoa
Milan
Score012345
0
3.80%
9.86%
12.80%
11.08%
7.19%
3.73%
1
2.56%
6.65%
8.63%
7.47%
4.85%
2.52%
2
0.86%
2.24%
2.91%
2.52%
1.64%
0.85%
3
0.19%
0.50%
0.65%
0.57%
0.37%
0.19%
Genoa
1-02.56%
2-00.86%
2-12.24%
3-00.19%
3-10.50%
3-20.65%
Draw
0-03.80%
1-16.65%
2-22.91%
3-30.57%
Milan
0-19.86%
0-212.80%
1-28.63%
0-311.08%
1-37.47%
2-32.52%
0-47.19%
1-44.85%
2-41.64%
3-40.37%
0-53.73%
1-52.52%
2-50.85%
3-50.19%

Correct Score - First Half

Genoa
Milan
Score012345
0
22.00%
26.44%
15.89%
6.37%
1.91%
0.46%
1
6.87%
8.26%
4.96%
1.99%
0.60%
0.14%
2
1.07%
1.29%
0.77%
0.31%
0.09%
0.02%
3
0.11%
0.13%
0.08%
0.03%
0.01%
0.00%
Genoa
1-06.87%
2-01.07%
2-11.29%
3-00.11%
3-10.13%
Draw
0-022.00%
1-18.26%
2-20.77%
Milan
0-126.44%
0-215.89%
1-24.96%
0-36.37%
1-31.99%
2-30.31%
0-41.91%
1-40.60%
0-50.46%
1-50.14%