Milan at Atalanta

Updated

Milan

28.0%24.8%47.1%
Milan WinDrawAtalanta Win
1.17Projected Goals 1.59
1Final Score 2

Atalanta

Last 5 Games

Milan
Money Line
W 0-3 vs Empoli-320
T 0-0 vs Juventus+135
T 3-3 at Cagliari-160
W 1-0 at Monza-160
L 2-0 vs Napoli+180
Atalanta
Money Line
W 2-0 at Roma+115
W 3-1 at Parma-175
W 1-2 vs Udinese-279
W 3-0 at Napoli+260
W 0-2 vs Monza-330

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
5.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Milan+255+248+235+260+254+260+260+272.8
Atalanta+100+114+115+110+108+110+115+117.5
Draw+265+249+250+255+243+255+255+267.7
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Milan+270-+235-+225+235+235+272.8
Atalanta-105-+115--110+115+115+117.5
Draw+275-+246-+240+245+246+267.7

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Milan: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Atalanta: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Milan: 0.0%
Atalanta: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Milan: 10.0%
Atalanta: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Milan ML moved from +242 to +235
Atalanta ML moved from +102 to -101

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Milan: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Atalanta: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Milan: 0.0%
Atalanta: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Milan: 0.0%
Atalanta: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Milan ML moved from +260 to +235
No Steam Moves On Atalanta ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¾-122o2½-125o2¾+100o2¾-110o2¾-101o2¾-110o2½-125o2¾+100
Underu2¾+102u2½+106u2¾-120u2¾-110u2¾-119u2¾-110u2¾-110u2¾+100
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-140o2½-135o2½-130-o2½-140o2½-135o2½-130o2¾+100
Underu2½+120u2½+115u2½+110-u2½+110u2½+115u2½+115u2¾+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u2¾-110 to u2½-101

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes54.9%
 
No45.1%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 06.31%
Exactly 224.09%
Exactly 415.32%
Exactly 63.90%
Exactly 80.53%
 
Exactly 117.44%
Exactly 322.18%
Exactly 58.46%
Exactly 71.54%
Exactly 90.16%
Exact Goals Scored - Milan
Exactly 031.01%
Exactly 136.31%
Exactly 221.26%
Exactly 38.30%
Exactly 42.43%
Exactly 50.57%
Exactly 60.11%
Exact Goals Scored - Atalanta
Exactly 020.36%
Exactly 132.40%
Exactly 225.79%
Exactly 313.68%
Exactly 45.44%
Exactly 51.73%
Exactly 60.46%
Exactly 70.10%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 027.83%
Exactly 222.76%
Exactly 43.10%
Exactly 60.17%
 
Exactly 135.60%
Exactly 39.71%
Exactly 50.79%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Milan
Exactly 058.15%
Exactly 131.52%
Exactly 28.54%
Exactly 31.54%
Exactly 40.21%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Atalanta
Exactly 047.86%
Exactly 135.27%
Exactly 213.00%
Exactly 33.19%
Exactly 40.59%

Alternate Props

Spread

Milan
Wins by 2+ goals11.24%
Wins by 3+ goals3.52%
Wins by 4+ goals0.88%
Wins by 5+ goals0.17%
Atalanta
Wins by 2+ goals24.27%
Wins by 3+ goals9.99%
Wins by 4+ goals3.36%
Wins by 5+ goals0.94%
Wins by 6+ goals0.21%

Exact Winning Margin

Milan
Atalanta
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Milan
Wins by 1 goal16.78%
Wins by 2 goals7.72%
Wins by 3 goals2.64%
Wins by 4 goals0.71%
Wins by 5 goals0.15%
Atalanta
Wins by 1 goal22.82%
Wins by 2 goals14.28%
Wins by 3 goals6.63%
Wins by 4 goals2.42%
Wins by 5 goals0.73%
Wins by 6 goals0.18%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.69%6.31%
1.576.25%23.75%
2.552.16%47.84%
3.529.97%70.03%
4.514.65%85.35%
5.56.19%93.81%
6.52.29%97.71%

Total Goals Milan Over/Under

OverUnder
0.568.99%31.01%
1.532.68%67.32%
2.511.42%88.58%
3.53.13%96.87%

Total Goals Atalanta Over/Under

OverUnder
0.579.64%20.36%
1.547.24%52.76%
2.521.45%78.55%
3.57.77%92.23%
4.52.32%97.68%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.572.17%27.83%
1.536.57%63.43%
2.513.81%86.19%
3.54.10%95.90%

Score Props

Correct Score

Milan
Atalanta
Score012345
0
6.31%
10.05%
8.00%
4.24%
1.69%
0.54%
1
7.39%
11.77%
9.36%
4.97%
1.98%
0.63%
2
4.33%
6.89%
5.48%
2.91%
1.16%
0.37%
3
1.69%
2.69%
2.14%
1.13%
0.45%
0.14%
4
0.49%
0.79%
0.63%
0.33%
0.13%
0.04%
5
0.12%
0.18%
0.15%
0.08%
0.03%
0.01%
Milan
1-07.39%
2-04.33%
2-16.89%
3-01.69%
3-12.69%
3-22.14%
4-00.49%
4-10.79%
4-20.63%
4-30.33%
5-00.12%
5-10.18%
5-20.15%
Draw
0-06.31%
1-111.77%
2-25.48%
3-31.13%
4-40.13%
Atalanta
0-110.05%
0-28.00%
1-29.36%
0-34.24%
1-34.97%
2-32.91%
0-41.69%
1-41.98%
2-41.16%
3-40.45%
0-50.54%
1-50.63%
2-50.37%
3-50.14%

Correct Score - First Half

Milan
Atalanta
Score01234
0
27.83%
20.51%
7.56%
1.86%
0.34%
1
15.09%
11.12%
4.10%
1.01%
0.19%
2
4.09%
3.01%
1.11%
0.27%
0.05%
3
0.74%
0.54%
0.20%
0.05%
0.01%
4
0.10%
0.07%
0.03%
0.01%
0.00%
Milan
1-015.09%
2-04.09%
2-13.01%
3-00.74%
3-10.54%
3-20.20%
4-00.10%
Draw
0-027.83%
1-111.12%
2-21.11%
Atalanta
0-120.51%
0-27.56%
1-24.10%
0-31.86%
1-31.01%
2-30.27%
0-40.34%
1-40.19%