Padres at Pirates

Updated
Rank2
R/G4.9
RA/G4.3
57.9%42.1%
Padres WinPirates Win
4.67Projected Runs 3.84
4Final Score 5
Rank23
R/G4.1
RA/G4.6
Rank2
R/G4.9
RA/G4.3
Rank23
R/G4.1
RA/G4.6

Pitching

Joe Musgrove (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
116-23.881.26

Luis Ortiz (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
00-03.461.308

Last 5 Games

San Diego Padres
Money Line
L 1-7 at Pittsburgh PiratesSDP: Blake Snell • PIT: Mitch Keller-156
L 4-9 at Pittsburgh PiratesSDP: Reiss Knehr • PIT: Rich Hill-140
L 8-3 vs Washington NationalsWSN: MacKenzie Gore • SDP: Seth Lugo-190
L 2-0 vs Washington NationalsWSN: Josiah Gray • SDP: Matt Waldron-172
W 3-13 vs Washington NationalsWSN: Patrick Corbin • SDP: Joe Musgrove-280
Pittsburgh Pirates
Money Line
W 1-7 vs San Diego PadresSDP: Blake Snell • PIT: Mitch Keller+149
W 4-9 vs San Diego PadresSDP: Reiss Knehr • PIT: Rich Hill+132
L 0-2 at Miami MarlinsPIT: Johan Oviedo • MIA: Eury Pérez+155
L 3-4 at Miami MarlinsPIT: Osvaldo Bido • MIA: Bryan Hoeing+155
W 3-1 at Miami MarlinsPIT: Luis Ortiz • MIA: Jesús Luzardo+189

Injuries

San Diego Padres

Status
  • PSteven Wilson15-day IL
  • RFMatt CarpenterRest
  • PYu DarvishQuestionable
  • PReiss Knehr15-day IL
  • -Tom Cosgrove15-day IL
  • CGary SanchezRest

Pittsburgh Pirates

Status
  • PVince VelasquezOut for Season
  • PColin Holderman15-day IL
  • CFBryan Reynolds10-day IL
  • SSRodolfo CastroRest
  • -Rob Zastryzny15-day IL
  • CLuis Hernandez15-day IL
  • CAustin HedgesRest
  • 3BKe'Bryan Hayes10-day IL
SSW 2 mph
PNC Park, Pittsburgh, PA
WindO/U Effect
Right to LeftNo Effect
 
Temp (°F)73°76°78°80°
Humidity63%58%55%51%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionMostly ClearPartly CloudyPartly CloudyMostly Clear
WindSSW 2 mphSSW 2 mphSSW 3 mphSSW 3 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Padres-171-188-210-192-187-192-187-181.5
Pirates+157+174+170+176+177+176+177+181.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Padres-180-190-190-190-190-195-190-181.5
Pirates+164+175+172+158+172+165+175+181.5

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Padres: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Pirates: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Padres: 0.0%
Pirates: 30.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Padres: 0.0%
Pirates: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Padres: 0.0%
Pirates: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Padres ML moved from -200 to -210
Pirates ML moved from +180 to +170

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Padres: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Pirates: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Padres: 0.0%
Pirates: 30.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Padres: 0.0%
Pirates: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Padres: 0.0%
Pirates: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Padres ML moved from -178 to -185
No Steam Moves On Pirates ML

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Padres-1½-120-1½-118-1½-130-1½-123-1½-125-1½-123-1½-118-1½-112
Pirates+1½+100+1½+102+1½+110+1½+103+1½+105+1½+103+1½+110+1½+112
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Padres-1½-115-1½-125-1½-122-1½-125-1½-130-1½-120-1½-120-1½-112
Pirates+1½-105+1½+105+1½+104+1½+105+1½+110+1½+100+1½+110+1½+112

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½-110o8½-118o8½-115o8½-110o8½-110o8½-110o8½-110o8½+100
Underu8½-110u8½+102u8½-105u8½-110u8½-110u8½-110u8½+102u8½+100
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½-105o8½-115o9+100o9+100o8½-115o8½-115o8½-115o8½+100
Underu8½-115u8½-105u9-120u9-120u8½-105u8½-105u9-120u8½+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8½+100 to o8½-110
The Under moved from u8½-110 to u8½-118

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8½-115 to o9+100
The Under moved from u8½+105 to u8½-105