Cubs at Marlins

Updated

Chicago Cubs

(83-79)
Rank13
R/G4.5
RA/G4.1
42.9%57.1%
Cubs WinMarlins Win
3.72Projected Runs 4.46
1Final Score 4

Miami Marlins

(62-100)
Rank27
R/G3.9
RA/G5.2
Rank13
R/G4.5
RA/G4.1
Rank27
R/G3.9
RA/G5.2

Pitching

Alec Mills (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
115-44.271.409

Elieser Hernandez (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
20-00.00.0

Last 5 Games

Chicago Cubs
Money Line
L 4-5 at Miami MarlinsCHC: Zach Davies • MIA: Zach Thompson+150
L 10-14 at Miami MarlinsCHC: Adbert Alzolay • MIA: Jesus Luzardo+108
L 17-4 vs Milwaukee BrewersMIL: Brandon Woodruff • CHC: Kyle Hendricks+200
L 10-0 vs Milwaukee BrewersMIL: Corbin Burnes • CHC: Jake Arrieta+233
L 6-3 vs Milwaukee BrewersMIL: Aaron Ashby • CHC: Alec Mills+138
Miami Marlins
Money Line
W 4-5 vs Chicago CubsCHC: Zach Davies • MIA: Zach Thompson-150
W 10-14 vs Chicago CubsCHC: Adbert Alzolay • MIA: Jesus Luzardo-113
W 7-0 at San Diego PadresMIA: Sandy Alcantara • SDP: Ryan Weathers+146
L 5-6 at San Diego PadresMIA: Braxton Garrett • SDP: Craig Stammen+215
L 3-8 at San Diego PadresMIA: Zach Thompson • SDP: Joe Musgrove+230

Injuries

Chicago Cubs

Status
  • RFJason Heyward10-day IL
  • PKohl Stewart60-day IL
  • CWillson Contreras10-day IL
  • 2BNico Hoerner10-day IL
  • PAdbert Alzolay10-day IL
  • PDillon Maples10-day IL

Miami Marlins

Status
  • 1BGarrett Cooper60-day IL
  • 2BJon BertiUnknown
  • PPablo Lopez10-day IL
  • RFJesus Sanchez10-day IL
  • 2BJazz Chisholm JrUnknown
E 5 mph
Marlins Park, Miami, FL
WindO/U Effect
From LeftNo Effect
 
Temp (°F)83°84°85°85°
Humidity77%75%71%78%
Precipitation17%14%11%11%
ConditionHumid and OvercastHumid and OvercastHumid and OvercastHumid and Overcast
WindE 5 mphESE 7 mphESE 11 mphESE 13 mph
Tripp Gibson
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
Lean Away UmpireNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.5%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cubs+143-+120+134+135+134+135-
Marlins-155--140-145-145-145-140-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cubs+146+127+131+132+134+133+134-
Marlins-160-137-143-142-146-143-137-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Cubs: 70.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Marlins: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Cubs: 10.0%
Marlins: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Cubs: 10.0%
Marlins: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Cubs: 20.0%
Marlins: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Cubs ML moved from +130 to +120
No Steam Moves On Marlins ML

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Cubs: 60.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Marlins: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Cubs: 0.0%
Marlins: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Cubs: 10.0%
Marlins: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Cubs: 20.0%
Marlins: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Cubs ML moved from +136 to +127
Marlins ML moved from -150 to -156

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.0%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cubs+1½-155-+1½-165+1½-165+1½-165+1½-165+1½-165-
Marlins-1½+135--1½+145-1½+145-1½+145-1½+145-1½+145-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cubs+1½-154+1½-165+1½-166+1½-160+1½-160+1½-165+1½-160-
Marlins-1½+135-1½+145-1½+147-1½+140-1½+140-1½+145-1½+147-

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo7-125-o7-120o7½+110o7½+110o7½+110o7½+110-
Underu7+105-u7+100u7½-130u7½-130u7½-130u7+100-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo7-125o7-115o7-125o7-120o7-115o7-120o7-115-
Underu7+105u7-105u7+105u7+100u7-105u7+100u7+105-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u7½-123 to u7½-133

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o7½+105 to o7½-115
The Under moved from u7+105 to u7-105