Red Sox at Marlins

Updated

Boston Red Sox

(71-70)
Rank16
R/G4.7
RA/G4.8
59.8%40.2%
Red Sox WinMarlins Win
4.51Projected Runs 3.49
6Final Score 5

Miami Marlins

(52-89)
Rank28
R/G3.8
RA/G5.2
Rank16
R/G4.7
RA/G4.8
Rank28
R/G3.8
RA/G5.2

Pitching

Nick Pivetta (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
124-54.521.216

Kyle Tyler (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
20-13.381.219

Last 5 Games

Boston Red Sox
Money Line
W 7-2 at Miami MarlinsBOS: Brayan Bello • MIA: Trevor Rogers-125
W 8-3 at Miami MarlinsBOS: Kutter Crawford • MIA: Valente Bellozo-152
W 1-4 vs San Diego PadresSDP: Matt Waldron • BOS: Josh Winckowski-105
L 11-1 vs San Diego PadresSDP: Michael King • BOS: Tanner Houck-134
L 9-2 vs San Diego PadresSDP: Randy Vásquez • BOS: Nick Pivetta-150
Miami Marlins
Money Line
L 7-2 vs Boston Red SoxBOS: Brayan Bello • MIA: Trevor Rogers+116
L 8-3 vs Boston Red SoxBOS: Kutter Crawford • MIA: Valente Bellozo+145
L 6-7 at Philadelphia PhilliesMIA: Yonny Chirinos • PHI: Ranger Suárez+225
W 3-2 at Philadelphia PhilliesMIA: Roddery Muñoz • PHI: Aaron Nola+227
L 0-2 at Philadelphia PhilliesMIA: Kyle Tyler • PHI: Cristopher Sanchez+198

Injuries

Boston Red Sox

Status
  • PGarrett Whitlock60-day IL
  • 2BVaughn Grissom10-day IL

Miami Marlins

Status
  • PBraxton Garrett15-day IL
  • PSixto Sanchez60-day IL
  • 2BOtto Lopez10-day IL
  • PRyan Weathers15-day IL
  • PJesus Luzardo15-day IL
E 10 mph
Marlins Park, Miami, FL
WindO/U Effect
From LeftVery Small on Under
 
Temp (°F)91°92°92°92°
Humidity64%62%61%61%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionMostly ClearMostly ClearMostly ClearMostly Clear
WindE 10 mphE 11 mphE 11 mphE 10 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Red Sox-153-147-158-148-145-148-145-140.8
Marlins+140+137+132+136+135+136+137+140.8
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Red Sox-161-152-152-151-150-150-150-140.8
Marlins+147+142+139+136+138+135+142+140.8

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Red Sox: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Marlins: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Red Sox: 10.0%
Marlins: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Red Sox: 0.0%
Marlins: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Red Sox: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Red Sox: 0.0%
Marlins: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Red Sox ML
Marlins ML moved from +139 to +133

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Red Sox: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Marlins: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Red Sox: 10.0%
Marlins: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Red Sox: 0.0%
Marlins: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Red Sox: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Red Sox: 0.0%
Marlins: 10.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Red Sox ML moved from -143 to -149
Marlins ML moved from +146 to +137

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Red Sox-1½+110-1½+107-1½+110-1½+106-1½+110-1½+106-1½+110-1½+115
Marlins+1½-130+1½-123+1½-130+1½-126+1½-130+1½-126+1½-123+1½-115
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Red Sox-1½-110-1½+105-1½+105-1½+105-1½+105-1½+105-1½+105-1½+115
Marlins+1½-110+1½-125+1½-123+1½-125+1½-125+1½-125+1½-123+1½-115

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½-103o8-113o8-110o8-115o8-120o8-115o8-110o8-104
Underu8½-117u8-103u8-110u8-105u8+100u8-105u8+100u8+104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½+100o8-120o8-120o8-120o8-115o8-120o8-115o8-104
Underu8½-120u8+100u8+100u8+100u8-105u8+100u8+100u8+104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Overall Bet Value Active
Under: 80.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8-112 to o8-122
The Under moved from u8+100 to u8-110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 60.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8-110 to o8-120
The Under moved from u8½-110 to u8-110
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