Padres at Red Sox

Updated
Rank9
R/G4.7
RA/G4.3
47.3%52.7%
Padres WinRed Sox Win
4.66Projected Runs 4.94
1Final Score 4
Rank12
R/G4.6
RA/G4.2
Rank9
R/G4.7
RA/G4.3
Rank12
R/G4.6
RA/G4.2

Pitching

Matt Waldron (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
165-63.431.164

Josh Winckowski (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
31-13.261.484

Last 5 Games

San Diego Padres
Money Line
W 11-1 at Boston Red SoxSDP: Michael King • BOS: Tanner Houck+126
W 9-2 at Boston Red SoxSDP: Randy Vásquez • BOS: Nick Pivetta+140
W 5-8 vs Washington NationalsWSN: DJ Herz • SDP: Dylan Cease-180
W 7-9 vs Washington NationalsWSN: MacKenzie Gore • SDP: Adam Mazur+117
W 6-7 vs Washington NationalsWSN: Patrick Corbin • SDP: Matt Waldron-181
Boston Red Sox
Money Line
L 11-1 vs San Diego PadresSDP: Michael King • BOS: Tanner Houck-134
L 9-2 vs San Diego PadresSDP: Randy Vásquez • BOS: Nick Pivetta-150
L 9-4 vs Toronto Blue JaysTOR: Kevin Gausman • BOS: Brayan Bello-125
W 6-7 vs Toronto Blue JaysTOR: Chris Bassitt • BOS: Tanner Houck-148
W 7-4 at Cincinnati RedsBOS: Zack Kelly • CIN: Nick Lodolo+144

Injuries

San Diego Padres

Status
  • SSTucupita MarcanoUnknown
  • CLuis Campusano10-day IL
  • PRandy VasquezQuestionable
  • RFFernando Tatis Jr.10-day IL
  • PYu Darvish15-day IL
  • PJason GroomeOut for Season
  • PJoe Musgrove15-day IL

Boston Red Sox

Status
  • PGarrett Whitlock60-day IL
  • 2BVaughn Grissom10-day IL
SW 11 mph
Fenway Park, Boston
WindO/U Effect
To Right CenterModerate on Over
 
Temp (°F)87°88°87°84°
Humidity65%64%65%72%
Precipitation0%0%40%40%
ConditionCloudyCloudyCloudyCloudy
WindSW 11 mphSW 11 mphSW 12 mphSW 12 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Padres+100-101-105-103-105-103-101+101.9
Red Sox-110-109-115-107-105-107-105-101.9
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Padres+105-104-105-105-102-103-102+101.9
Red Sox-115-106-105-110-108-107-105-101.9

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Padres: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Red Sox: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Padres: 0.0%
Red Sox: 20.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Padres: 0.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Padres: 0.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Padres ML moved from +101 to -101
Red Sox ML moved from -122 to -128

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Padres: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Red Sox: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Padres: 0.0%
Red Sox: 20.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Padres: 0.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Padres: 0.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Padres ML moved from -101 to -107
No Steam Moves On Red Sox ML

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Padres+1½-195+1½-188+1½-200+1½-195+1½-195+1½-195+1½-188+1½-178
Red Sox-1½+170-1½+167-1½+170-1½+170-1½+167-1½+170-1½+170-1½+178
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Padres+1½-190+1½-190+1½-192+1½-180+1½-185+1½-175+1½-180+1½-178
Red Sox-1½+170-1½+170-1½+170-1½+160-1½+165-1½+155-1½+170-1½+178

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9-120o10-108o10-115o10-115o10-115o10-115o10-108o10-104
Underu9+100u10-108u10-105u10-105u10-105u10-105u10-105u10+104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9½-110o10-125o10-115o10½-105o10-115o10-115o10-115o10-104
Underu9½-110u10+105u10-105u10½-115u10-105u10-105u10+105u10+104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o10-110 to o10-115
The Under moved from u10-105 to u10-110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 40.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o10-110 to o10-115
The Under moved from u10+100 to u10-105