Blue Jays at Red Sox

Updated
Rank24
R/G4.1
RA/G4.6
41.7%58.3%
Blue Jays WinRed Sox Win
3.91Projected Runs 4.78
4Final Score 1
Rank19
R/G4.6
RA/G4.6
Rank24
R/G4.1
RA/G4.6
Rank19
R/G4.6
RA/G4.6

Pitching

Yariel Rodríguez (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
50-25.941.92

Kutter Crawford (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
163-73.591.144

Last 5 Games

Toronto Blue Jays
Money Line
W 9-4 at Boston Red SoxTOR: Kevin Gausman • BOS: Brayan Bello+119
L 6-7 at Boston Red SoxTOR: Chris Bassitt • BOS: Tanner Houck+155
L 5-6 at Cleveland GuardiansTOR: Yusei Kikuchi • CLE: Triston McKenzie+104
L 3-6 at Cleveland GuardiansTOR: José Berríos • CLE: Ben Lively+131
L 1-7 at Cleveland GuardiansTOR: Yariel Rodríguez • CLE: Carlos Carrasco+118
Boston Red Sox
Money Line
L 9-4 vs Toronto Blue JaysTOR: Kevin Gausman • BOS: Brayan Bello-125
W 6-7 vs Toronto Blue JaysTOR: Chris Bassitt • BOS: Tanner Houck-148
W 7-4 at Cincinnati RedsBOS: Zack Kelly • CIN: Nick Lodolo+144
W 4-3 at Cincinnati RedsBOS: Nick Pivetta • CIN: Frankie Montas-114
L 2-5 at Cincinnati RedsBOS: Kutter Crawford • CIN: Andrew Abbott-106

Injuries

Toronto Blue Jays

Status
  • SSOrelvis MartinezOut
  • PAlek ManoahOut for Season
  • PJordan Romano15-day IL
  • PYimi Garcia15-day IL
  • LFDaulton VarshoRest

Boston Red Sox

Status
  • CConnor WongOut
  • PGarrett Whitlock60-day IL
  • 2BVaughn Grissom10-day IL
WSW 8 mph
Fenway Park, Boston, MA
WindO/U Effect
To RightVery Small on Over
 
Temp (°F)84°81°78°77°
Humidity55%61%66%74%
Precipitation0%4%5%7%
ConditionPartly CloudyCloudyMostly CloudyCloudy
WindWSW 8 mphSW 6 mphSSW 6 mphSSW 6 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Blue Jays+124+136+130+143+144+143+144+148.1
Red Sox-135-146-155-156-154-156-146-148.1
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Blue Jays+136+138+137+137+138+135+138+148.1
Red Sox-148-148-150-152-150-150-148-148.1

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Blue Jays: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Red Sox: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Blue Jays: 10.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Blue Jays: 0.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Blue Jays: 20.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Blue Jays ML
Red Sox ML moved from -147 to -154

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Blue Jays: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Red Sox: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Blue Jays: 0.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Blue Jays: 0.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Blue Jays: 0.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Blue Jays ML moved from +137 to +130
Red Sox ML moved from -147 to -153

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Blue Jays+1½-157+1½-148+1½-150+1½-148+1½-145+1½-148+1½-145+1½-136
Red Sox-1½+137-1½+132-1½+130-1½+128-1½+125-1½+128-1½+132-1½+136
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Blue Jays+1½-145+1½-155+1½-160+1½-150+1½-150+1½-150+1½-150+1½-136
Red Sox-1½+125-1½+135-1½+141-1½+130-1½+130-1½+130-1½+141-1½+136

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9-125o9½-118o10+100o10-110o10+100o10-110o10+100o10+100
Underu9+105u9½+102u10-120u10-110u10-120u10-110u10-110u10+100
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9½-105o10-105o10+105o10-105o10-105o10+100o10+105o10+100
Underu9½-115u10-115u10-125u10-115u10-115u10-120u10-115u10+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o10-102 to o10-108
The Under moved from u10-113 to u9½-108

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o10+100 to o10-105
The Under moved from u10-115 to u10-125