Red Sox at Marlins

Updated
Rank11
R/G4.7
RA/G4.2
55.5%44.5%
Red Sox WinMarlins Win
4.52Projected Runs 3.94
7Final Score 2
Rank27
R/G3.5
RA/G5.1
Rank11
R/G4.7
RA/G4.2
Rank27
R/G3.5
RA/G5.1

Pitching

Brayan Bello (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
147-55.551.472

Trevor Rogers (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
161-84.871.561

Last 5 Games

Boston Red Sox
Money Line
W 8-3 at Miami MarlinsBOS: Kutter Crawford • MIA: Valente Bellozo-152
W 1-4 vs San Diego PadresSDP: Matt Waldron • BOS: Josh Winckowski-105
L 11-1 vs San Diego PadresSDP: Michael King • BOS: Tanner Houck-134
L 9-2 vs San Diego PadresSDP: Randy Vásquez • BOS: Nick Pivetta-150
L 9-4 vs Toronto Blue JaysTOR: Kevin Gausman • BOS: Brayan Bello-125
Miami Marlins
Money Line
L 8-3 vs Boston Red SoxBOS: Kutter Crawford • MIA: Valente Bellozo+145
L 6-7 at Philadelphia PhilliesMIA: Yonny Chirinos • PHI: Ranger Suárez+225
W 3-2 at Philadelphia PhilliesMIA: Roddery Muñoz • PHI: Aaron Nola+227
L 0-2 at Philadelphia PhilliesMIA: Kyle Tyler • PHI: Cristopher Sanchez+198
W 7-4 at Philadelphia PhilliesMIA: Trevor Rogers • PHI: Zack Wheeler+263

Injuries

Boston Red Sox

Status
  • 2BVaughn Grissom10-day IL
  • PGarrett Whitlock60-day IL

Miami Marlins

Status
  • PJesus Luzardo15-day IL
  • PRyan Weathers15-day IL
  • PSixto Sanchez60-day IL
  • PBraxton Garrett15-day IL
E 11 mph
Marlins Park, Miami
WindO/U Effect
From LeftSmall on Under
 
Temp (°F)89°87°86°85°
Humidity68%70%74%77%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionMostly ClearClearMostly ClearMostly Clear
WindE 11 mphE 10 mphE 9 mphE 8 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Red Sox-145-123-132-123-126-123-123-117.5
Marlins+133+113+110+113+116+113+116+117.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Red Sox-140-125-127-129-125-126-125-117.5
Marlins+129+115+116+114+115+116+116+117.5

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Red Sox: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Marlins: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Red Sox: 10.0%
Marlins: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Red Sox: 0.0%
Marlins: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Red Sox: 0.0%
Marlins: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Red Sox ML moved from -136 to -144
Marlins ML moved from +124 to +118

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Red Sox: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Marlins: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Red Sox: 10.0%
Marlins: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Red Sox: 0.0%
Marlins: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Red Sox: 0.0%
Marlins: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Red Sox ML
Marlins ML moved from +125 to +119

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Red Sox-1½+120-1½+127-1½+130-1½+130-1½+125-1½+130-1½+130-1½+138
Marlins+1½-140+1½-143+1½-150+1½-150+1½-145+1½-150+1½-143+1½-138
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Red Sox-1½+120-1½+130-1½+131-1½+120-1½+125-1½+120-1½+131-1½+138
Marlins+1½-140+1½-150+1½-150+1½-140+1½-145+1½-140+1½-140+1½-138

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8-115o8+102o7½-120o8+103o8-105o8+103o8+103o8+112
Underu8-105u8-118u7½+100u8-123u8-115u8-123u8-115u8-112
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8-115o8-105o8-105o8+100o8-110o8-105o8+100o8+112
Underu8-105u8-115u8-115u8-120u8-110u8-115u8-110u8-112

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 60.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u8-110 to u7½+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Overall Bet Value Active
Under: 90.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u8-105 to u8-120