Pirates at Brewers

Updated
Rank23
R/G4.1
RA/G4.6
36.8%63.2%
Pirates WinBrewers Win
3.83Projected Runs 5.21
4Final Score 2
Rank7
R/G4.9
RA/G4.0
Rank23
R/G4.1
RA/G4.6
Rank7
R/G4.9
RA/G4.0

Pitching

Mitch Keller (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
224-104.51.483

Jason Alexander (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
72-15.261.623

Last 5 Games

Pittsburgh Pirates
Money Line
L 5-7 at Milwaukee BrewersPIT: Bryse Wilson • MIL: Corbin Burnes+280
W 5-0 at Philadelphia PhilliesPIT: Roansy Contreras • PHI: Noah Syndergaard+220
L 0-6 at Philadelphia PhilliesPIT: Tyler Beede • PHI: Kyle Gibson+250
L 4-7 at Philadelphia PhilliesPIT: Bryse Wilson • PHI: Bailey Falter+235
L 14-2 vs Atlanta BravesATL: Kyle Wright • PIT: Mitch Keller+240
Milwaukee Brewers
Money Line
W 5-7 vs Pittsburgh PiratesPIT: Bryse Wilson • MIL: Corbin Burnes-310
W 7-9 vs Chicago CubsCHC: Adrian Sampson • MIL: Eric Lauer-165
W 0-7 vs Chicago CubsCHC: Drew Smyly • MIL: Brandon Woodruff-185
L 4-3 vs Chicago CubsCHC: Justin Steele • MIL: Freddy Peralta-151
L 6-12 at Los Angeles DodgersMIL: Adrian Houser • LAD: Andrew Heaney+225

Injuries

Pittsburgh Pirates

Status
  • PColin HoldermanUnknown
  • 2BDiego CastilloRest
  • PDillon PetersUnknown
  • PDavid BednarUnknown
  • PBlake Cederlind60-day IL
  • -Yerry De Los Santos60-day IL
  • CRoberto PerezOut for Season

Milwaukee Brewers

Status
  • LFJonathan Davis10-day IL
  • CFTyrone TaylorRest
  • CAlex Jackson60-day IL
  • PTrevor GottUnknown
  • COmar NarvaezRest
  • 3BMichael Brosseau10-day IL
  • 1BRowdy TellezRest
  • PAaron AshbyUnknown
  • 3BLuis UriasRest
WNW 10 mph
Miller Park, Milwaukee, WI
WindO/U Effect
To CenterModerate on Over
 
Temp (°F)73°70°68°67°
Humidity61%67%70%71%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionClearClearClearClear
WindWNW 10 mphWNW 9 mphWNW 9 mphWNW 9 mph
Jordan Baker
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+156+159+144+158+157+158+159+162.7
Brewers-190-172-175-172-172-172-172-162.7
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+157+155+154+150+155+160+160+162.7
Brewers-173-170-169-178-170-170-169-162.7

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Pirates: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Brewers: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Pirates: 0.0%
Brewers: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Pirates: 0.0%
Brewers: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Pirates: 0.0%
Brewers: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Pirates ML moved from +157 to +149
Brewers ML moved from -166 to -172

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Pirates: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Brewers: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Pirates: 0.0%
Brewers: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Pirates: 0.0%
Brewers: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Pirates: 10.0%
Brewers: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Pirates ML moved from +158 to +152
Brewers ML moved from -167 to -173

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+1½-130+1½-133+1½-130+1½-133+1½-133+1½-133+1½-130+1½-124
Brewers-1½+110-1½+117-1½+110-1½+113-1½+113-1½+113-1½+117-1½+124
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+1½-129+1½-125+1½-132+1½-130+1½-125+1½-130+1½-125+1½-124
Brewers-1½+111-1½+105-1½+114-1½+110-1½+105-1½+110-1½+114-1½+124

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9-105o9-103o9+100o9+100o9+100o9+100o9+100o9+109
Underu9-115u9-113u9-120u9-120u9-120u9-120u9-113u9-109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9-105o9-105o9+100o9-105o9-105o9+100o9+100o9+109
Underu9-115u9-115u9-120u9-115u9-115u9-120u9-115u9-109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u9-115 to u9-125

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under