Phillies at Guardians

Updated
Rank4
R/G4.9
RA/G4.3
56.5%43.5%
Phillies WinGuardians Win
4.52Projected Runs 3.84
8Final Score 5
Rank11
R/G4.6
RA/G4.1
Rank4
R/G4.9
RA/G4.3
Rank11
R/G4.6
RA/G4.1

Pitching

Aaron Nola (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
209-64.271.077

Xzavion Curry (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
13-02.861.132

Last 5 Games

Philadelphia Phillies
Money Line
L 0-1 at Cleveland GuardiansPHI: Zack Wheeler • CLE: Tanner Bibee-120
L 5-6 at Cleveland GuardiansPHI: Ranger Suárez • CLE: Gavin Williams-114
L 4-0 vs Milwaukee BrewersMIL: Corbin Burnes • PHI: Taijuan Walker-102
L 5-3 vs Milwaukee BrewersMIL: Colin Rea • PHI: Cristopher Sánchez-135
W 3-4 vs Milwaukee BrewersMIL: Julio Teheran • PHI: Aaron Nola-184
Cleveland Guardians
Money Line
W 0-1 vs Philadelphia PhilliesPHI: Zack Wheeler • CLE: Tanner Bibee+112
W 5-6 vs Philadelphia PhilliesPHI: Ranger Suárez • CLE: Gavin Williams+108
L 5-7 at Pittsburgh PiratesCLE: Aaron Civale • PIT: Rich Hill-135
W 10-1 at Pittsburgh PiratesCLE: Logan Allen • PIT: Mitch Keller-102
W 11-0 at Pittsburgh PiratesCLE: Xzavion Curry • PIT: Quinn Priester-120

Injuries

Philadelphia Phillies

Status
  • PJose Alvarado15-day IL
  • CFCristian Pache10-day IL

Cleveland Guardians

Status
  • PCal Quantrill15-day IL
  • SSAmed RosarioRest
  • CFMyles StrawRest
  • PShane Bieber15-day IL
  • PTriston McKenzie60-day IL
WSW 5 mph
Progressive Field, Cleveland, OH
WindO/U Effect
Left to RightNo Effect
 
Temp (°F)81°82°82°82°
Humidity54%53%53%53%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionMostly ClearPartly CloudyPartly CloudyPartly Cloudy
WindWSW 5 mphWSW 5 mphWSW 5 mphWSW 5 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Phillies-145-125-133-128-126-128-125-122.4
Guardians+133+116+111+118+116+118+118+122.4
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Phillies-143-130-130-135-130-130-130-122.4
Guardians+125+120+119+115+120+110+120+122.4

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Phillies: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Guardians: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Phillies: 10.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Phillies: 0.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Phillies: 0.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Phillies ML moved from -118 to -125
Guardians ML moved from +117 to +110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Phillies: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Guardians: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Phillies: 10.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Phillies: 0.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Phillies: 0.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Phillies ML
Guardians ML moved from +129 to +120

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Phillies-1½+115-1½+127-1½+120-1½+122-1½+120-1½+122-1½+127-1½+130
Guardians+1½-135+1½-143+1½-140+1½-142+1½-140+1½-142+1½-140+1½-130
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Phillies-1½+114-1½+125-1½+125-1½+122-1½+125-1½+130-1½+130-1½+130
Guardians+1½-134+1½-145+1½-143+1½-145+1½-145+1½-150+1½-143+1½-130

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½-118o8½-123o9+100o9+102o9+105o9+102o9+105o9+111
Underu8½-102u8½+107u9-120u9-122u9-125u9-122u8½+107u9-111
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½-115o8½-120o8½-120o8½-120o8½-120o8½-120o8½-120o9+111
Underu8½-105u8½+100u8½+100u8½+100u8½+100u8½+100u8½+100u9-111

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8½-120 to o9-105
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under