Phillies at Nationals

Updated
Rank4
R/G4.9
RA/G4.3
62.5%37.5%
Phillies WinNationals Win
5.07Projected Runs 3.76
7Final Score 8
Rank25
R/G4.1
RA/G4.7
Rank4
R/G4.9
RA/G4.3
Rank25
R/G4.1
RA/G4.7

Pitching

Michael Lorenzen (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
207-73.231.035

Joan Adon (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
21-05.140.857

Last 5 Games

Philadelphia Phillies
Money Line
W 9-4 at Toronto Blue JaysPHI: Aaron Nola • TOR: Kevin Gausman+122
L 1-2 at Toronto Blue JaysPHI: Zack Wheeler • TOR: Yusei Kikuchi-110
L 3-0 vs Minnesota TwinsMIN: Sonny Gray • PHI: Ranger Suárez-114
L 8-1 vs Minnesota TwinsMIN: Pablo López • PHI: Taijuan Walker+110
W 2-13 vs Minnesota TwinsMIN: Dallas Keuchel • PHI: Cristopher Sánchez-140
Washington Nationals
Money Line
W 7-10 vs Boston Red SoxBOS: Chris Sale • WSN: Patrick Corbin+160
W 2-6 vs Boston Red SoxBOS: James Paxton • WSN: MacKenzie Gore+136
L 5-4 vs Boston Red SoxBOS: Nick Pivetta • WSN: Josiah Gray+153
W 7-8 vs Oakland AthleticsOAK: Ken Waldichuk • WSN: Trevor Williams-137
W 2-3 vs Oakland AthleticsOAK: Luis Medina • WSN: Jake Irvin-131

Injuries

Philadelphia Phillies

Status
  • CFBrandon Marsh10-day IL

Washington Nationals

Status
  • 2BLuis GarciaRest
  • PMason Thompson15-day IL
  • PMacKenzie GoreQuestionable
  • RFAlex CallRest
  • CIsrael Pineda60-day IL
  • PPaolo Espino15-day IL
  • CFVictor Robles60-day IL
NW 10 mph
Nationals Park, Washington, DC
WindO/U Effect
Left to RightNo Effect
 
Temp (°F)81°78°76°74°
Humidity40%43%46%47%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionClearClearClearClear
WindNW 10 mphNW 8 mphNW 8 mphNW 8 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Phillies-210-158-168-161-160-161-158-153.0
Nationals+190+148+140+148+150+148+150+153.0
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Phillies-180-158-162-170-158-165-158-153.0
Nationals+152+148+148+143+145+140+148+153.0

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Phillies: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Nationals: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Phillies: 10.0%
Nationals: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Phillies: 0.0%
Nationals: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Phillies: 0.0%
Nationals: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Phillies ML moved from -185 to -200
Nationals ML moved from +150 to +143

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Phillies: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Nationals: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Phillies: 20.0%
Nationals: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Phillies: 0.0%
Nationals: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Phillies: 0.0%
Nationals: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Phillies ML moved from -155 to -162
Nationals ML moved from +151 to +145

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Phillies-1½-130-1½-108-1½-105-1½-109-1½-110-1½-109-1½-105-1½+101
Nationals+1½+110+1½-108+1½-115+1½-111+1½-110+1½-111+1½-108+1½-101
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Phillies-1½-115-1½-110-1½-106-1½-105-1½-110-1½-110-1½-105-1½+101
Nationals+1½-105+1½-110+1½-112+1½-115+1½-110+1½-110+1½-110+1½-101

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9+100o9-108o9-115o9-109o9-105o9-109o9-105o9+101
Underu9-120u9-108u9-105u9-111u9-115u9-111u9-105u9-101
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9-115o9-105o9-105o9-110o9-110o9-105o9-105o9+101
Underu9-105u9-115u9-115u9-110u9-110u9-115u9-110u9-101

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9-110 to o9-120
The Under moved from u9+100 to u9-110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under