Mariners at Pirates

Updated
Rank16
R/G4.1
RA/G3.8
52.4%47.6%
Mariners WinPirates Win
4.26Projected Runs 4.01
2Final Score 7
Rank24
R/G4.2
RA/G4.6
Rank16
R/G4.1
RA/G3.8
Rank24
R/G4.2
RA/G4.6

Pitching

Luis Castillo (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
2510-113.41.16

Bailey Falter (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
205-74.071.239

Last 5 Games

Seattle Mariners
Money Line
L 3-5 at Pittsburgh PiratesSEA: Logan Gilbert • PIT: Paul Skenes+106
L 1-2 at Detroit TigersSEA: Bryce Miller • DET: Alex Faedo-133
L 2-3 at Detroit TigersSEA: Bryan Woo • DET: Beau Brieske-130
L 1-15 at Detroit TigersSEA: George Kirby • DET: Tarik Skubal+112
W 1-12 vs New York MetsNYM: Luis Severino • SEA: Luis Castillo-118
Pittsburgh Pirates
Money Line
W 3-5 vs Seattle MarinersSEA: Logan Gilbert • PIT: Paul Skenes-110
L 2-8 at San Diego PadresPIT: Mitch Keller • SDP: Martín Pérez+125
L 0-3 at San Diego PadresPIT: Luis Ortiz • SDP: Joe Musgrove+227
L 1-2 at San Diego PadresPIT: Jake Woodford • SDP: Joe Musgrove+181
L 5-6 at Los Angeles DodgersPIT: Bailey Falter • LAD: Tyler Glasnow+240

Injuries

Seattle Mariners

Status
  • PGregory Santos15-day IL
  • SSJ.P. Crawford10-day IL

Pittsburgh Pirates

Status
  • PCarmen Mlodzinski15-day IL
  • SSNick Gonzales10-day IL
  • SSO'Neil CruzIn Lineup
  • PColin Holderman15-day IL
  • CFJoshua Palacios10-day IL
  • PMarco Gonzales60-day IL
  • DHAndrew McCutchen10-day IL
SW 8 mph
PNC Park, Pittsburgh, PA
WindO/U Effect
Right to LeftNo Effect
 
Temp (°F)81°83°84°85°
Humidity67%64%62%59%
Precipitation0%2%34%38%
ConditionCloudyPartly CloudyMostly CloudyPartly Cloudy
WindSW 8 mphSW 9 mphSW 9 mphSW 10 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Mariners-150-143-148-142-142-142-142-135.0
Pirates+138+133+124+130+132+130+133+135.0
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Mariners-153-139-148-153-145-144-139-135.0
Pirates+140+129+135+138+133+132+138+135.0

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Mariners: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Pirates: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Mariners: 0.0%
Pirates: 30.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Mariners: 0.0%
Pirates: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Mariners: 0.0%
Pirates: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Mariners ML moved from -147 to -153
Pirates ML moved from +135 to +129

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Mariners: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Pirates: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Mariners: 0.0%
Pirates: 30.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Mariners: 0.0%
Pirates: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Mariners: 0.0%
Pirates: 10.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Mariners ML moved from -142 to -148
Pirates ML moved from +135 to +126

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Mariners-1½+105-1½+107-1½+110-1½+108-1½+110-1½+108-1½+110-1½+117
Pirates+1½-125+1½-123+1½-130+1½-128+1½-130+1½-128+1½-123+1½-117
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Mariners-1½+105-1½+110-1½+110-1½-105-1½+110-1½+110-1½+110-1½+117
Pirates+1½-125+1½-130+1½-128+1½-115+1½-130+1½-130+1½-115+1½-117

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8-115o8-118o8½+100o8½-108o8-120o8½-108o8½+100o8½+102
Underu8-105u8+102u8½-120u8½-112u8+100u8½-112u8½-112u8½-102
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8-120o8-125o8-115o8-115o8-115o8-120o8-115o8½+102
Underu8+100u8+105u8-105u8-105u8-105u8+100u8+105u8½-102

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8-115 to o8½-108
The Under moved from u8½-115 to u8-105

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8-115 to o8-125
The Under moved from u8½-115 to u8-105