Cubs at Astros

Updated

Chicago Cubs

(83-79)
Rank13
R/G4.5
RA/G4.1
37.8%62.2%
Cubs WinAstros Win
3.22Projected Runs 4.49
4Final Score 6
Rank9
R/G4.6
RA/G4.1
Rank13
R/G4.5
RA/G4.1
Rank9
R/G4.6
RA/G4.1

Pitching

Jameson Taillon (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
50-26.411.475

Framber Valdez (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
83-42.381.038

Last 5 Games

Chicago Cubs
Money Line
L 3-16 at Minnesota TwinsCHC: Marcus Stroman • MIN: Louie Varland+125
L 1-11 at Minnesota TwinsCHC: Hayden Wesneski • MIN: Joe Ryan+155
W 6-2 at Minnesota TwinsCHC: Drew Smyly • MIN: Sonny Gray+143
W 4-10 vs St. Louis CardinalsSTL: Jordan Montgomery • CHC: Justin Steele+102
L 6-4 vs St. Louis CardinalsSTL: Jack Flaherty • CHC: Jameson Taillon-111
Houston Astros
Money Line
W 4-3 at Chicago White SoxHOU: Hunter Brown • CHW: Lucas Giolito-121
L 1-3 at Chicago White SoxHOU: Brandon Bielak • CHW: Dylan Cease+115
W 5-1 at Chicago White SoxHOU: J.P. France • CHW: Michael Kopech-145
W 5-4 at Los Angeles AngelsHOU: Cristian Javier • LAA: Griffin Canning-120
W 3-1 at Los Angeles AngelsHOU: Framber Valdez • LAA: Shohei Ohtani+129

Injuries

Chicago Cubs

Status
  • -Brad BoxbergerUnknown
  • 2BNico Hoerner10-day IL
  • 1BEric HosmerRest
  • PAdrian SampsonUnknown

Houston Astros

Status
  • CFChas McCormickUnknown
  • PJose UrquidyUnknown
  • PLuis GarciaUnknown
SE 4 mph
Minute Maid Park, Houston, TX
WindO/U Effect
To LeftNo Effect
 
Temp (°F)82°80°79°77°
Humidity71%75%78%82%
Precipitation30%0%30%30%
ConditionThunderstormsMostly CloudyThunderstormsThunderstorms
WindSE 4 mphSE 3 mphSSE 4 mphWSW 5 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cubs+157+175+165+176+175+176+176+181.5
Astros-171-190-200-192-185-192-185-181.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cubs+150+180+176+162+176+170+180+181.5
Astros-178-200-195-195-195-200-195-181.5

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Cubs: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Astros: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Cubs: 10.0%
Astros: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Cubs: 0.0%
Astros: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Cubs: 0.0%
Astros: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Cubs ML moved from +170 to +163
Astros ML moved from -177 to -185

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Cubs: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Astros: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Cubs: 20.0%
Astros: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Cubs: 0.0%
Astros: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Cubs: 10.0%
Astros: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Cubs ML
Astros ML moved from -190 to -200

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cubs+1½-140+1½-123+1½-125+1½-129+1½-130+1½-129+1½-123+1½-118
Astros-1½+120-1½+107-1½+105-1½+109-1½+110-1½+109-1½+110-1½+118
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cubs+1½-140+1½-125+1½-130+1½-130+1½-125+1½-125+1½-125+1½-118
Astros-1½+118-1½+105-1½+112-1½+110-1½+105-1½+105-1½+112-1½+118

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8+100o7½-113o7½-110o7½-117o7½-115o7½-117o7½-110o7½-106
Underu8-120u7½-103u7½-110u7½-103u7½-105u7½-103u7½-103u7½+106
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8-105o7½-120o7½-120o7½-120o8+100o7½-110o7½-110o7½-106
Underu8-115u7½+100u7½+100u7½+100u8-120u7½-110u7½+100u7½+106

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8+103 to o8-106
The Under moved from u7½+100 to u7½-110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o7½-110 to o7½-120
The Under moved from u8-115 to u7½-115