Cubs at Twins

Updated

Chicago Cubs

(83-79)
Rank13
R/G4.5
RA/G4.1
50.5%49.5%
Cubs WinTwins Win
3.57Projected Runs 3.51
3Final Score 16
Rank18
R/G4.6
RA/G4.5
Rank13
R/G4.5
RA/G4.1
Rank18
R/G4.6
RA/G4.5

Pitching

Marcus Stroman (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
82-32.281.056

Louie Varland (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
30-04.321.38

Last 5 Games

Chicago Cubs
Money Line
L 1-11 at Minnesota TwinsCHC: Hayden Wesneski • MIN: Joe Ryan+155
W 6-2 at Minnesota TwinsCHC: Drew Smyly • MIN: Sonny Gray+143
W 4-10 vs St. Louis CardinalsSTL: Jordan Montgomery • CHC: Justin Steele+102
L 6-4 vs St. Louis CardinalsSTL: Jack Flaherty • CHC: Jameson Taillon-111
L 3-1 vs St. Louis CardinalsSTL: Miles Mikolas • CHC: Marcus Stroman-113
Minnesota Twins
Money Line
W 1-11 vs Chicago CubsCHC: Hayden Wesneski • MIN: Joe Ryan-159
L 6-2 vs Chicago CubsCHC: Drew Smyly • MIN: Sonny Gray-148
W 3-5 vs San Diego PadresSDP: Yu Darvish • MIN: Bailey Ober+125
W 3-4 vs San Diego PadresSDP: Seth Lugo • MIN: Pablo Lopez-125
L 6-1 vs San Diego PadresSDP: Michael Wacha • MIN: Louie Varland-109

Injuries

Chicago Cubs

Status
  • 1BEric HosmerRest
  • 2BNico Hoerner10-day IL
  • CFCody BellingerRest
  • PAdrian SampsonUnknown

Minnesota Twins

Status
  • 3BJose MirandaRest
  • PCaleb ThielbarUnknown
  • RFMax Kepler10-day IL
  • PTyler Mahle60-day IL
  • PKenta MaedaUnknown
ENE 8 mph
Target Field, Minneapolis, MN
WindO/U Effect
From LeftModerate on Under
 
Temp (°F)58°60°62°64°
Humidity63%59%58%57%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionCloudyCloudyCloudyCloudy
WindENE 8 mphENE 7 mphE 7 mphE 7 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cubs+105+125+115+124+126+124+126+128.3
Twins-115-135-138-134-136-134-134-128.3
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cubs-105+125+121+118+125+124+125+128.3
Twins-105-135-132-140-135-144-132-128.3

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Cubs: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Twins: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Cubs: 30.0%
Twins: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Cubs: 0.0%
Twins: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Cubs: 10.0%
Twins: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Cubs ML moved from +101 to -105
Twins ML moved from -126 to -136

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Cubs: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Twins: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Cubs: 30.0%
Twins: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Cubs: 0.0%
Twins: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Cubs: 0.0%
Twins: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Cubs ML
Twins ML moved from -130 to -140

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cubs+1½-210+1½-178+1½-180+1½-172+1½-185+1½-172+1½-172+1½-159
Twins-1½+175-1½+157-1½+155-1½+152-1½+160-1½+152-1½+160-1½+159
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cubs-1½+152+1½-180+1½-180+1½-190+1½-180+1½-165+1½-165+1½-159
Twins+1½-180-1½+160-1½+160-1½+158-1½+160-1½+145-1½+160-1½+159

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo7½-115o7½-113o7½-115o7½-114o7½-115o7½-114o7½-113o7½-104
Underu7½-105u7½-103u7½-105u7½-106u7½-105u7½-106u7½-103u7½+104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo7½-115o7½-115o7½-115o7½-115o7½-120o7½-115o7½-115o7½-104
Underu7½-105u7½-105u7½-105u7½-105u7½+100u7½-105u7½+100u7½+104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under